Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Symbol Keyword

Feb 7, 2020

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 7
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.

Jan 23, 2020

Resetting Your Mental Model
Image Source: affen ajlfe. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing.

Jan 4, 2020

Valuentum Exclusive Success Rates Trump Even the Best Quant Hedge Funds
Image: President of Investment Research Brian Nelson, CFA. A new book, “The Man Who Solved the Market,” hit bookshelves last year, and thus far it has been a hit. The text goes into the story of quant hedge fund Renaissance Technologies and its hedge fund, the Medallion Fund, which has put up mammoth returns since inception.

Dec 18, 2019

FedEx’s Earnings Miss
Image Source: FedEx Corporation – 2019 Annual Stockholders Meeting September 2019 IR Presentation. In the days leading up to FedEx Corp latest earnings report where the firm missed by a mile, news broke that Amazon is now blocking third-party sellers that use its marketplace platform from using the FedEx Ground delivery service (which handles North American volumes) to ship to Prime customers. This comes on the heels of FedEx and Amazon ending two significant shipping contracts earlier this year, including the arrangement where FedEx Ground would handle some of Amazon’s packages, a deal that expired at the end of August. Please note that FedEx Ground is a small-package delivery service that caters to America and Canada, and that other FedEx options for certain packages bought through or sold by Amazon are still available. We are still staying away from FedEx as its ability to generate free cash flows remains pressured by its need to invest heavily in the business to keep up with the likes of Amazon and others. FedEx’s dividend payout could be at risk should exogenous shocks (i.e. a breakdown in the partial US-China trade war truce) continue weakening its financial performance.

Sep 19, 2019

FedEx Bemoans Trade Wars and Issues Weak Guidance, Shares Get Crushed
Image Source: FedEx Corp -- IR Presentation. Global logistics and shipping giant FedEx Corp reported first-quarter earnings for its fiscal 2020 (ended August 31) on September 17 that underwhelmed, sending shares sharply lower (down almost 13%) on September 18. As a capital intensive business operating in a cyclical industry, FedEx is stuck in a bind. Either pursue its drive for greater efficiency, greater scale, and (in theory) greater profits in the future while acknowledging that significant headwinds in the short- to medium-term will pressure free cash flows at a time of significant capital investment, or attempt to scale back which hollows out the core of management’s capital allocation strategy. Please note FedEx’s future aircraft purchase commitments make cutting capital expenditures by a meaningful amount a significantly harder task, reducing its financial flexibility. Management has opted to push forward into the fray. We are remaining firmly away from FedEx at this time.

Sep 4, 2019

A Tale of Two Package Delivery Companies
Shares of both FedEx Corporation (indicated by the orange line above) and United Parcel Service Inc (indicated by the blue line above) have come under a tremendous amount of pressure over the past year as the industry navigates the fallout from the US-China trade war. Both companies are investing heavily to improve their offerings to stay ahead of the game as large tech companies increasingly encroach on the shipping industry’s traditional turf. The S&P 500 index is indicted by the purple line above.

Aug 28, 2019

Our Reports on Stocks in the Air Freight & Logistics Industry
We've optimized our industrials coverage.

Mar 21, 2019

In the News: Dividend Growth Still on Hold at General Mills After Strong Quarter, Avoiding FedEx and BMW After Warnings on Bottom-Line Weakness, and a Biogen as a Prime Example of Risks to Avoid in Biotech
General Mills raised bottom-line and free cash flow conversion expectations for fiscal 2019, but we’re not interested in shares as it continues to prioritize deleveraging over dividend growth in a slow growth environment. International corporations continue to weigh the impact of slowing macroeconomic activity and global trade tensions, as evidenced by FedEx and BMW slashing bottom-line expectations, and shares of Biogen have been rocked by news that it terminated two late-stage studies of a key Alzheimer’s treatment.

Feb 8, 2019

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 8
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.

Dec 31, 2018

Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29.