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Valuentum Commentary
Aug 7, 2019
Join the Conversation on the Market Plunge
The Valuentum team shares its thoughts on the recent surge in volatility and collapse in interest rates amid a trade and currency war between two of the largest economies in the world, the US and China. Jul 11, 2019
Valuentum Exclusive Yearly Round Up
"I want finance to learn from the past, the quantitative mistakes of yesteryear that brought the world economy to its knees. The misaligned incentives that created a massive bubble and subsequent housing market crash. The problems of leverage in yet another quant hedge fund Long Term Capital Management that caused panic in the late 1990s. Wall Street is not learning from history, and many are going wildly down the path of destruction. Don’t confuse indexing with a bull market. Pay attention to what you own. Stay diversified, and most of all, do your own due diligence." -- President of Investment Research, Brian Nelson, CFA Jun 3, 2019
Now a Trade War on Multiple Fronts!
“To complicate matters further, President Trump also announced that he is looking to tariffs on Mexico if the country doesn’t take steps to stop the flow of illegal immigration. The US is now fighting a trade war on two fronts.” – Brian Nelson, CFA May 8, 2019
US-China Trade Spats Continue, More Reports
No changes to the newsletter portfolios. In alphabetical order by ticker symbol: AIG, BUD, BYND, EMR, FMC, MOS, SYY. Apr 1, 2019
Big Bank Roundup, Bank of America Catches Our Eye
In this article, let’s catch up with how far the big 6 banks in the US have come since the height of the financial crisis exactly a decade hence. We will highlight the improvements in the banking system, some of the key risks, and a few high level thoughts about the individual franchises leading the US banking system. We like Bank of America the most, and we include diversified banking exposure in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Feb 7, 2019
General Motors Rallies, Tesla and Toyota Improve, Auto Parts Suppliers Getting Squeezed
Image shown: General Motors may very well be on its way to $50+ per share.We continue to like General Motors, and we think Tesla is getting back on the right track with its financials. Toyota is improving, too. Auto parts suppliers, however, are facing pressure as the potential for a slowdown in global light vehicle production rises and input cost inflation makes its presence felt. Jan 30, 2019
Apple’s Services Growth on Track; Weakness to Persist in China
Image Source: William Hook. Apple delivered fiscal first quarter results after the close January 29 that were largely in-line with recently adjusted expectations. China has been and will likely continue to be a soft spot, but the company’s Services revenue continues to impress. Strong free cash flow generation and balance sheet health are synonymous with the company. Jan 20, 2019
Markets Continue to Recover
Image shown: The markets continue to rally significantly since the near-term bottom in December. The decision to move the cash "weightings" to zero in the simulated portfolios of the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter during the trading session December 27 has been quite rewarding for members that have been following our research and newsletters. The S&P 500 SPDR. No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios Jan 7, 2019
Best Ideas Newsletter Idea Dollar General Strong in Difficult Market
Image shown: Dollar General has exceeded the market’s return by more than 50 percentage points since being added to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter in April 2017.The dollar stores are a nice area to be when the economic environment grows more uncertain, and we continue to like Dollar General as the play in this area. It remains a staple in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Jan 2, 2019
Here It Comes… Apple’s Shot Across the Bow
Image Source: Tinh tế Photo. Apple surprised the market by issuing first-quarter 2019 guidance below expectations. The company pointed to weakness in China as the main culprit. We continue to expect heightened levels of volatility, and investors in key American icons that might be impacted by consumer backlash in China should be on high alert. No changes to the simulated newsletter portfolios as a result of the news. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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