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Valuentum Commentary
Nov 20, 2019
Economic Commentary: Marks, Dalio, and the Discount Rate
Image Source: Mike Cohen. We sat down with the Valuentum team to discuss their latest thoughts on recent economic developments. To kick off the conversation, let’s start with the team’s views on the latest memo from Oaktree’s Howard Marks: Mysterious. For those that don’t know Howard, he is the Director and Co-Chairman of Oaktree, which managed about $122 billion in AUM, as of September 2019. The memo goes into depth on the reasons for negative interest rates, the impact of negative interest rates, and opines on whether the US will ever see negative interest rates. Then, we’ll go from there! Aug 7, 2019
Join the Conversation on the Market Plunge
The Valuentum team shares its thoughts on the recent surge in volatility and collapse in interest rates amid a trade and currency war between two of the largest economies in the world, the US and China. Jun 4, 2019
Excerpt: Big Six Banks as a Yield Play?
An article excerpt from our monthly High Yield Dividend Newsletter. Order the High Yield Dividend Newsletter here. Apr 23, 2019
Morgan Stanley’s Lumpy Performance Calls Into Question Durability of Earnings Stream
Image Source: reynermedia. If Morgan Stanley’s activities can collapse that quickly, as they did during the fourth-quarter of 2018 when the market swooned, it really calls into question the durability of the earnings stream for all of the global players. Apr 20, 2019
Taking a Fresh Look at Goldman Sachs
Image Source: Goldman Sachs 1Q19 Earnings Slides. After taking a fresh look at our valuation assumptions in the context that Goldman hasn’t really proven that it can earn above the cost of capital through the economic cycle, we have lowered our fair value estimate to $200 per share. Apr 18, 2019
Raising Our Fair Value Estimate for Bank of America
Image shown: Valuentum's fair value estimates for its banks and money center coverage. We've raised our fair value estimate of Bank of America.The only thing not to like with Bank of America is that banks are cyclical and the economy is overdue for a downturn. Everything else is going right at Bank of America. We have raised our fair value estimate for Bank of America to $35 per share. Apr 1, 2019
Big Bank Roundup, Bank of America Catches Our Eye
In this article, let’s catch up with how far the big 6 banks in the US have come since the height of the financial crisis exactly a decade hence. We will highlight the improvements in the banking system, some of the key risks, and a few high level thoughts about the individual franchises leading the US banking system. We like Bank of America the most, and we include diversified banking exposure in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Jan 24, 2019
Our Report on the Regional Banks and Asset Management Stocks
Image Source: Carlssa Rogers. Our report on the Regional Banks and Asset Management companies can be found in this article. Report includes AB, AINV, AMP, ARCC, BCH, BEN, BGCP, BKU, BLK, BMO, BNS, CM, FSIC, ISBC, KKR, LAZ, LM, MAIN, MTB, NABZY, NYCB, OCN, PBCT, PFG, PSEC, RY, SBNY, SBSI, STT, TCBI, TD, VLY, WBK. Jan 15, 2019
Fed Might Slow After All, Bank Reports Just Okay
Image shown: The yield curve is flattening. Source: Federal Reserve Bank, St. Louis. The biggest question with Fed policy is whether the FOMC will purposefully cause an inversion in the yield curve. If it thinks the market is manipulating long rates to influence its policy, it may very well go forward with rate hikes. If it doesn't, it may very well slow the pace of rate hikes or even pause them. The behavioral implications of a yield-curve inversion may be more significant than the inversion, itself, however. No Changes to Simulated Newsletter portfolios Dec 31, 2018
Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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