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Valuentum Commentary
Aug 18, 2019
Investors Aren’t Sold on Lear’s Ostensibly “Cheap” Valuation and Neither Are We
Image Shown: While Lear Corporation appears attractive at first glance, its technical performance tells a different story. The market is concerned that the global synchronized downturn that has emerged will get worse, which would weigh on Lear’s expected financial trajectory. Global automotive sales are already coming under pressure, and there’s not much Lear, as a leading auto parts supplier, can do about that. We think the market might be right on this one. While Lear appears cheap at first glance, we think this is another Value Trap. Aug 1, 2019
How About the New Vette? General Motors Bouncing Back
Image Source: GM Chevrolet Next-Generation Corvette, 2020 Stingray revealed July 18. Shares of General Motors held up well in an otherwise weak market August 1 after posting a solid second quarter 2019 earnings report. The new Vette looks sharp. Jul 25, 2019
Viewing Intrinsic Value as a Range of Outcomes: Tesla’s Margins Come Under Fire in Second Quarter, Shares Sell Off
Image Source: The Valuentum Buying Index almost called the top in Tesla's shares. Tesla shares are under considerable pressure, and we can understand why. Investors are concerned positive free cash flows may be farther away than previously anticipated as Tesla’s margins come under pressure from its transition into the mass-market via the Model 3 offering. We value shares of TSLA at $219 per share at the midpoint of our fair value estimate range and are staying away from the electric automaker as it doesn’t appear the company is firing on all cylinders just yet. May 20, 2019
"Hardcore:" Tesla's Stock May Collapse to Double Digits
Image: The Valuentum Buying Index almost called the top in Tesla's shares.Whenever a CEO comes out saying that the company must engage in "hardcore" cost cutting, bad things happen. Morale is likely in the pits at the car company, and cost takeouts will probably cut more than just some excess fat. The downward spiral at Tesla has been in the works for many months now, but the writing is on the wall for a major disappointment that truly resets reality for shareholders. May 14, 2019
Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger
Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a "fully invested" position, from a 30% and 20% cash "weighting" at the high end of the range, respectively. Apr 24, 2019
Earnings Reports Flying In!
Earnings reports are flying in. We thought Air Products', Hasbro's, and Lockheed's quarterly updates were standouts. Apr 9, 2019
Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed
Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don't believe Warren Buffett's "style" is out of favor? Apr 2, 2019
Lyft Takes a Fall, S-1 Reads Like Business School Homework
Image Source: Lyft S-1Reminiscences of the dot-com boom came back to the markets with the over-hyped initial public offering of Lyft, a stock that continues to get shellacked as its first days as a publicly-traded enterprise. Those that know Valuentum know that we wouldn’t touch such investments with a 10-foot pole. The company lost $43 per share in 2018. Mar 29, 2019
ATTN: Advisors and Planners -- Disruption Is Looming
"With the commoditization of investment advice and intense competition from robos and other more cost-efficient solutions, growth-minded advisors want to create bespoke experiences for clients." -- WealthManagement.com Mar 29, 2019
8 Announcements and Top Research You May Have Missed
8 Announcements. This article was sent to members via email March 27. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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