Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Oct 28, 2019

High Yield Dividend Newsletter Portfolio Holdings AT&T and Philip Morris International Continue to Shine
Image Shown: AT&T continues to surge higher this year as shares of T converge towards their intrinsic value, a process supported by recent activist investor activity directed towards the company. If you may wish to add the High Yield Dividend Newsletter to your membership, please click here.We continue to like the resurgence in AT&T's shares of late. The company is rapidly converging to our $40 per share fair value estimate, and as the company divests assets and pursues deleveraging, its dividend growth profile is enhanced. Shares already yield an enticing 5.3%, too. Philip Morris has rallied considerably since it broke deal talks with Altria, and we believe the company has a relatively lower business risk profile than Altria. Both Philip Morris and Altria have Dividend Cushion ratios below the 1.25x threshold, or GOOD threshold, but given more positive overall trends at Philip Morris, we prefer the company over Altria at this time. Shares of Philip Morris yield a lofty 5.7% at the time of this writing.

Oct 18, 2019

Philip Morris International: Free Cash Flow King With Upside Potential
Image Shown: Philip Morris International's Marlboro cigarette brand remains very popular worldwide. Pricing power is essential to offsetting declines in traditional cigarette sales volumes as the company positions itself for alternative tobacco products to become a larger part of its revenue streams. Image Source: Philip Morris International – Third quarter 2019 earnings presentation. We continue to like Philip Morris International as a quality high-yield play with good dividend coverage in a low interest rate environment. Strong pricing power enables the firm to offset sales declines of its traditional cigarette volumes as the company waits for its alternative smoking offerings (like IQOS) to represent a bigger chunk of company-wide sales. Please note that foreign currency headwinds remain significant, but manageable. As of this writing, Philip Morris International yields 5.8%.

Aug 27, 2019

Altria and Philip Morris to Tie the Knot?
Hitting the wires today is some news that has been rumored in the past, but seems to now be confirmed: Philip Morris and Altria are in merger talks.

Jan 31, 2019

Altria’s Sprawling Business to Underperform Long-Term Bottom-Line Target in 2019
Image Source: Melanie Tata.  Altria’s business has grown increasingly complex recently as it has levered up to add exposure to new growth opportunities. We don’t find the convoluted company attractive, even after considering its lofty yield, and its core cigarette business continues to face material industry-wide volume declines.

Dec 31, 2018

Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29.

Dec 20, 2018

Market Mayhem -- Alerts for Members
Dear members -- we released a number of emails today. Please read and let us know if you have any questions. We're here for you.

Nov 26, 2018

In The News: Record-Low Smoking Rates, China Steel Demand Concerns, and a New Look GM
US smoking rates are at all-time lows, and the FDA is pushing to restrict sales of menthol products and flavored e-cigarettes. Meanwhile General Motors has announced an accelerated restructuring plan, and concerns have cropped up regarding steel demand in China.

Nov 12, 2018

In The News: Market Volatility, iPhone Unit Concerns, Wildfire Liabilities Piling Up
Let’s take a look at some top stories from around the markets including headlines in the biotech and tobacco spaces, some household names facing material selling pressure, and the significant impact of massive wildfires in California.

Oct 18, 2018

In The News: Chemical Margins Tighten, Philip Morris Total Volume Rises, Consolidation in ETFs
PPG Industries is experiencing notable margin headwinds, international tobacco giant Philip Morris has experienced solid total volume performance in 2018, and Invesco continues its pursuit of a significantly larger ETF business.

Oct 12, 2018

In the News: Expensive Energy, China’s Trade Surplus and Auto Market, and Big Tobacco Developments
The IEA is concerned about the impact of rising energy prices on global economic growth, and both it and OPEC have lowered near-term oil demand growth expectations. The impact of the US-China trade dispute continues to be sized up by a number of industries, including automakers, and big tobacco companies may be looking to the cannabis market for future growth as the space remains sensitive to potentially increasing regulations.