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Aug 20, 2019
Owens-Illinois’ Debt Load Is Daunting, We Are Staying Away From This Value Trap
Image Source: Owens-Illinois Inc -- IR Presentation. Due to Owens-Illinois’ onerous leverage, guidance cut, and signs that the global economy is slowing down, we are staying far from the name. While shares of OI trade decently below the low end of our fair value estimate range we caution that the market is likely right on this one. Owens-Illinois is another example of a Value Trap. Aug 18, 2019
Investors Aren’t Sold on Lear’s Ostensibly “Cheap” Valuation and Neither Are We
Image Shown: While Lear Corporation appears attractive at first glance, its technical performance tells a different story. The market is concerned that the global synchronized downturn that has emerged will get worse, which would weigh on Lear’s expected financial trajectory. Global automotive sales are already coming under pressure, and there’s not much Lear, as a leading auto parts supplier, can do about that. We think the market might be right on this one. While Lear appears cheap at first glance, we think this is another Value Trap. Aug 16, 2019
Ebix Might Be a Value Trap
Image Source: Ebix Inc -- IR Presentation. We think Ebix, even after its fall, has the makings of a value trap, and we caution our readers that there may be better opportunities out there. Why catch a falling knife with a low dividend yield? Aug 15, 2019
Macy’s Cuts Guidance, Dividend Cut Could Be on the Horizon
Image Shown: Macy’s cut adjusted EPS guidance for FY2019, which implies a material drop from its FY2018 performance. Flat revenue guidance, gross margin pressure, and rising SG&A expenses all signal there’s likely more pain yet to come. Image Source: Macy’s – IR Presentation. We are staying far away from Macy’s and most retailers in general, but continue to like Dollar General Corporation as the nimble retailer has posted stellar performance since joining the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio in April 2017. Aug 14, 2019
A Tale of Two Big Agricultural Industries: Protein Producers Win and Farm Equipment Manufacturers Lose After Recent USDA Report
Image Shown: The tale of two big agricultural companies in one chart, with shares of poultry producer Sanderson Farms Inc (SAFM) shooting up on Monday, August 12, as chicken feed prices fell after a recent USDA report (which sent corn prices sharply lower) while shares of agricultural equipment manufacturer AGCO Corporation (AGCO) tanked as the market priced in continued pressure on US farm incomes and the dynamic impact that has on demand for farm equipment. We are monitoring the agricultural industry but don’t have any agricultural-oriented equities in our Best Ideas Newsletter or Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios for a reason. In the short- to medium-term, the space will continue to experience volatility as the next chapter of the US-China trade war unfolds. Aug 13, 2019
Thought Piece: The Hidden Advantage
Image Source: Kamilla Oliveira. As activist investing proliferates, investors are becoming more and more familiar with celebrity investing gurus such as Carl Icahn and David Einhorn. Let’s examine how these investing giants have carved out a unique structural advantage over mom-and-pop investors. This article was originally published in June 2014. Aug 12, 2019
DXC Technology’s Guidance Cut Highlights the Value of VBI
Combining technical/momentum indicators with undervalued stocks can help you avoid value traps, and that's exactly what the Valuentum Buying Index did with DXC Technology recently. The VBI helped us avoid a catastrophe. Aug 7, 2019
Sprouts’ Growth Spurt Followed by Weak Operating Margins and Terrible Guidance
Image Source: Sprouts Farmers Market Inc -- IR Presentation. We see shares of SFM as fully valued, if not generously valued, as the organic grocer’s growth story is contending with major headwinds and pressures on its margins don’t appear to be fading anytime soon. Aug 6, 2019
Oil Major Second-Quarter 2019 Earnings Roundup
Image Source: Exxon Mobil Corporation -- IR Presentation. Let’s look at the Oil Majors that have recently reported earnings. Global raw energy resource prices have plunged lower as concerns over the US-China trade war and the possibility a global synchronized slowdown in economic growth are beginning to emerge. We will be monitoring the situation closely going forward. Aug 5, 2019
Markets Crumbling Under Trade War
Just a reminder to lock in the Exclusive today. The price of the publication will go up tomorrow. The Exclusive highlights an income idea, a capital-appreciation idea, and a short idea each month. It is limited to 1,000 subscribers. Learn more here.
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