Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Novartis Gearing Up for Growth
Image Source: Novartis. Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea Novartis continues to grow its free cash flow stream while producing a string of products still in the infancy of their respective growth curves. The pharma/biotech realm remains bedeviled with patent issues that can disrupt cash flow generation once protection is lost, causing us to look for companies positioned for a fresh leg of growth. To that end, let’s take a look at Novartis’ pipeline, near-term potential, and how it relates to its dividend health.

Oct 12, 2017

An Overview on Valuing Junior Biotech Companies -- Does Clovis Fit the Bill?
The biotech industry remains one of the most fascinating yet perplexing industries for investors. Anecdotes of the entry-stage biotech with a home-run new therapy are often romanticized, but the reality is the vast majority of molecules fail in various stages of clinical testing. Due to the boom-bust nature of the industry, many are wary of investing in the space, and traditional valuation metrics are not as useful due to a large number of such speculative entities being in the pre-revenue stage. With this in mind, let’s take a glimpse into our thought process when evaluating upstart biotech companies.

Sep 22, 2017

Best in Biotech? Global Blood Therapeutics' Promising Treatment for Sickle Cell Anemia
Image Source: National Institute for Health. We remain impressed with the depth of research conducted over a wide host of disease states. Though a molecule may appear to hold significant promise in the pre-clinical phase, we have often witnessed the unique ability of the human body to react to various treatments. Often an unwanted side effect can torpedo a treatment, thus relegating millions of dollars of research obsolete. However, if a promising molecule is brought to market, the payoff is often well worth the effort. Our goal is to sift through the various clinical data to unearth the most promising treatments with the understanding that nothing is assured until the FDA authorizes the product for marketing in the US. We believe we have identified a promising junior biotech in the rare drug field with a promising treatment for sickle-cell anemia.

Sep 14, 2017

Upadacitinib Posts Impressive Data for AbbVie
Image Source: AbbVie. In the pharmaceutical realm, the productivity of the clinical pipeline is essential to replace the loss of revenue due to an expiration of the patent life of a product. AbbVie is facing the monumental task of having to diversify away from the top-selling pharmaceutical product in the world with little in the way of assurances the transition will be a success. We are pleased with the recent data release on Upadacitinib as we view the molecule as AbbVie’s top R&D product.

Aug 3, 2017

Our Bullish Thesis on Gilead Sciences
Image Source: Gilead. We have become enamored with the potential of Gilead Sciences once again as the recent slide in the share price has in our view shaken out the speculative money that fueled the meteoric rise of the equity in 2015. As a value-based research publisher, we tend to focus on the sustainability of cash flow. In the case of Gilead, many believed that all hope had been lost as the continued decline in its Hepatitis C franchise would depress potential future gains. We are heartened by the recent earnings release and technical move, which have combined to give us comfort in adding Gilead Sciences to both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.

Jul 19, 2017

Novartis’ Clinical Pipeline Continues to Innovate
Image Source: Novartis. We continue to be impressed with the depth of Novartis’ clinical pipeline, which should aid in the company’s acceleration from the revenue cliff experienced as a result of the patent loss of top-selling product Gleevec. We are adding Novartis to the portfolio of the Dividend Growth Newsletter.

Jun 28, 2017

Incyte, Examining Epacadosat's Recent Data
Image shown: Incyte's stock price performance since the beginning of 2014.The need for innovative advances in oncology remains unmet in spite of the entrance of next-generation treatments. We will examine the recent data release from Incyte pertaining to its novel treatment Epacadosat. Incyte hopes it will boost response rates which will greatly expand the number of patients that can be effectively treated. Let’s examine the details of the data release.

Jun 14, 2017

Bristol-Myers Squibb Disappoints
Shares of Bristol-Myers Squibb have come under intense selling pressure off the heels of disappointing performance at ASCO. Let’s examine the situation.

May 2, 2017

How the FDA’s Delay of Baricitinib Impacts Eli Lilly and Incyte
Image Source: Paul Sableman. The FDA dealt Eli Lilly and Incyte an unforeseen blow recently by rejecting their marketing application for Rheumatoid Arthritis candidate Baricitinib. Where does the duo go from here?

Apr 17, 2017

Which Mid-Stage Biotech Can Grow Into the Next Large Cap Biotech Behemoth?
Image Source: Steven Depolo. The biotech field is on the cutting edge of scientific research. The production of new therapies often positively affects the share price of these innovative companies as long-term revenue and earnings expectations become embedded in the stock price. Let’s take a look at several mid-stage biotechs that may grow into dominant players.

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