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Apr 30, 2025
Visa’s Free Cash Flow Generation Remains Phenomenal
Image: Visa continues to translate a high percentage of revenue into free cash flow generation. Visa’s payments volume increased 8% in the fiscal second quarter, while cross border volume increased 13%. Processed transactions increased 9% from the same period a year ago. For the six months ended March 31, net cash provided by operating activities came in at $10.1 billion, up from $8.2 billion over the same period last year. Capital expenditures were $672 million over the six month period, up from $548 million in the year-ago period. Free cash flow for the six months ended March 31 was $9.4 billion, or 49.3% of total revenue. We continue to be fans of Visa’s business model and strong free cash flow generation. Apr 30, 2025
Republic Services Continues to Price Ahead of Inflation
Image: Republic Services’ shares have done quite well the past few years. Republic Services reported net income of $1.58 per diluted share in the first quarter, up from $1.44 per share in last year’s quarter. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $1.27 billion, while its adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 140 basis points from the prior year. The garbage hauler generated cash flow from operations of $1.025 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $727 million. In the quarter, cash returned to shareholders was $226 million, which included $45 million of share repurchases and $181 million of dividends paid. We continue to like Republic Services in the newsletter portfolios. Apr 29, 2025
What Causes Fair Value Estimates to Change?
Image: A screenshot of the discounted cash-flow learning tool for individual investors. So you noticed a fair value estimate changed, and you weren’t sure why? This article is for you. Apr 28, 2025
Alphabet Remains a Top Consideration for Long Term Capital Appreciation
Image Source: TradingView. Alphabet raised its dividend 5%, and spent $2.4 billion on dividends during the three months ended March 31. The Board of Directors also authorized the repurchase of up to an additional $70 billion of its Class A and Class C shares. As of March 31, total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $95.3 billion, while long-term debt totaled $10.9 billion at the end of the quarter. Net cash provided by operating activities was $36.2 billion in the quarter, while the firm spent $17.2 billion in capital expenditures, resulting in free cash flow of ~$19 billion. We continue to like Alphabet as a top consideration in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Apr 28, 2025
Domino’s Pizza Misses First Quarter U.S. Same Store Sales Consensus Estimate
Image Source: Domino's. Excluding foreign currency impacts, Domino’s income from operations increased 1.4% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter. Net cash provided by operating activities was $179.1 million in the quarter with the firm spending $14.7 million in capital expenditures, resulting in free cash flow of $164.4 million in the period, up 59.1% from last year’s quarter. During the first quarter of 2025, Domino’s repurchased 115,280 shares for a total of $50 million. It still has $764.3 million in remaining authorized amount for share repurchases. We continue to like the long-term picture at Domino’s, and the company remains an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Apr 25, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of April 25
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Apr 24, 2025
Chipotle’s Comparable Restaurant Sales Fall in First Quarter
Image Source: Valuentum. During the first quarter, Chipotle opened 57 company-owned restaurants with 48 of them including a Chipotlane. Management noted that “Chipotlanes continue to perform well and are helping enhance guest access and convenience, as well as increase new restaurant sales, margins, and returns,” but comparable restaurant sales still faced headwinds due to lower transactions, offset in part by an increase in the average check. For 2025, management anticipates full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the low single digit range and for the firm to add 315-345 new company-owned restaurants with over 80% having a Chipotlane. Though Chipotle’s first quarter results weren’t great, we continue to like its long-term story. Apr 23, 2025
Philip Morris Hits Record High!
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to all of 2025, Philip Morris’ net revenue growth is targeted around 6-8% on an organic basis, with organic operating income growth to be between 10.5%-12.5%. The tobacco giant expects reported diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.01-$7.14, with adjusted diluted earnings per share targeted at $7.36-$7.49 (up 12%-14%) and adjusted diluted earnings per share, excluding currency, expected to be between $7.26-$7.39 (up 10.5%-12.5%). 2025 operating cash flow is targeted to be more than $11 billion at prevailing exchange rates, with capital expenditures of around $1.5 billion, which includes further investments in ZYN capacity in the U.S. We're huge fans of Philip Morris' stock. Apr 23, 2025
Tesla’s Revenue Falls in First Quarter, Pulls 2025 Outlook
Image Source: Tesla. Tesla’s non-GAAP net income attributable to common shareholders dropped 39% in the first quarter, while non-GAAP earnings per share fell 40%. Net cash provided by operating activities increased to $2.2 billion in the first quarter, while capital expenditures fell 46%, to $1.5 billion, resulting in free cash flow of $664 million in the period. Tesla’s cash and investments balance increased $0.4 billion at the end of the quarter, to $37 billion. Due to “the impacts of shifting global trade policy on the automotive and energy supply chains,” management pulled its 2025 guidance, noting that it will revisit it in its second quarter update. CEO Elon Musk said that his DOGE work is mostly done and beginning in May, his time allocated to DOGE will drop significantly. We like Tesla, but don’t include it in any newsletter portfolio. Apr 22, 2025
Verizon’s Dividend Is Nice But Its Debt Keeps Us on the Sidelines
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to 2025, Verizon expects total wireless service revenue growth between 2-2.8%, while adjusted EBITDA growth is targeted in the range of 2-3.5%, with adjusted earnings per share growth of 0-3%. Cash flow from operations is expected in the range of $35-$37 billion with capital spending expected in the range of $17.5-$18.5 billion, resulting in free cash flow of $17.5-$18.5 billion. Verizon ended the first quarter with total unsecured debt of $117.3 billion, compared to $117.9 billion on a sequential basis. Though Verizon has an attractive dividend yield of 6.3%, we continue to remain on the sidelines due to its enormous debt load.
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