Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Dec 2, 2021

Best Idea Vertex Pharma Boosts Guidance (Again), Buying Back Stock While Awaiting Key Clinical Trials
Image Shown: Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc is one of our favorite biotech ideas. Image Source: Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc – Third Quarter of 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. Vertex Pharma has a robust drug pipeline, though all eyes are on its potential CTX001 treatment. Should the treatment receive the green light from key healthcare regulators, Vertex Pharma’s financial performance would benefit from a major growth catalyst. In the meantime, we think it is prudent for Vertex Pharma to continue leveraging its financial strength to repurchase sizable chunks of its stock. We like Vertex Pharma as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.

Dec 1, 2021

Large Cap Growth Dominates, MLPs Have Suffered
Image: Sign up to our new options commentary. $1,000/year. 4 ideas per month and more! Image: Win = The options contract was closed as a win. Closed = the options contract was closed at a loss. Expired = The options contract expired worthless. Pie chart above does not consider ideas still open. Data through October 26, 2021. Results are hypothetical. No trading is taking place. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.On behalf of our team at Valuentum, we hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday weekend, and we wish you the very best this holiday season. We're hoping for a nice Santa Claus rally! Godspeed, and thank you for your membership and attention these past many years!

Nov 30, 2021

We Remain Bullish on Disney’s Capital Appreciation Upside Potential
Image Shown: Shares of The Walt Disney Company have shifted lower over the past month, though are still bullish on its capital appreciation upside. Our fair value estimate sits at $192 per share of Disney. The Walt Disney Company reported fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended October 2, 2021) on November 10 that missed consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. While the company’s ‘Disney Parks, Experiences and Products’ segment (includes its theme parks and resorts operations) staged an impressive turnaround last fiscal quarter, its ‘Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution’ segment (includes its video streaming businesses) grew at a slower pace than expected. Shares of Disney sold off after its latest earnings report, though we remain confident that the company’s free cash flow growth outlook remains stellar and continue to view Disney’s capital appreciation upside potential quite favorably. Disney is included as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.

Nov 28, 2021

Bitcoin, U.S. Large Cap Growth, and Technology Continue to Dominate Returns
Image source: Seeking Alpha, retrieved November 28. Bitcoin (GBTC), Technology (XLK), U.S. Large Cap Growth (SCHG), Russell 1000 Growth (IWF), Consumer Discretionary (XLY) have dominated returns the past 5 years. U.S. MLPs (AMLP), Crude Oil (USO), Energy (XLE), Chinese Stocks (FXI), and various bond ETFs (JNK), (AGG), (MUB) have trailed.

Nov 26, 2021

South32 Continues to Improve Its Asset Base
Image Source: South32 – October 2021 Sierra Gorda Acquisition IR Presentation. South32 represents one of our favorite ideas in the mining space, and we include shares of SOUHY as an idea in the new ESG Newsletter portfolio. We view both South32’s capital appreciation and income generation upside quite favorably, keeping in mind the firm has a variable dividend policy that is subject to foreign currency movements. On a scale of 1-100 (with 100 being the best), South32 earns a nice ESG rating of 93 (based on our proprietary ESG rating matrix) as the miner continues to pivot towards commodities that will be essential to making the green energy revolution possible.

Nov 26, 2021

ICYMI: Time to Consider Buying Chinese Equities? Not Exactly.
Image Shown: Shares of Alibaba Group have plummeted over the past year in the wake of Beijing’s crackdown on China’s domestic tech and fintech titans. Is it finally time to start loading up on Chinese equities? We don't think so.

Nov 24, 2021

Ameresco Has Soared, Boosts Guidance (Again)
Image Shown: Shares of Ameresco Inc have boomed higher since we first wrote about the company on V.com back in August 2020. We include Ameresco as an idea in our ESG Newsletter portfolio and see ample room for further capital appreciation upside. On November 1, Ameresco reported mixed third-quarter 2021 earnings that missed top-line consensus estimates but beat bottom-line numbers. The company also raised its full-year guidance (again) for 2021 which saw the firm increase the midpoint of its revenue, gross margin, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, and non-GAAP EPS forecast. Ameresco also raised its full-year guidance for 2021 when it published its first quarter 2021 earnings report. We include Ameresco as an idea in our new ESG Newsletter portfolio and shares of AMRC have surged higher in recent months. On the website, we first wrote about Ameresco back in August 2020 and shares of AMRC have roughly tripled since then as of this writing.

Nov 23, 2021

Nvidia Continues to Deliver in the Face of Global Supply Chain Crunch
Image Source: Nvidia Corporation – September 2021 IR Presentation. On November 17, Nvidia Corp reported third quarter earnings for fiscal 2022 (period ended October 31, 2021) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates, and the firm provided favorable guidance covering the current fiscal quarter. The company has done a solid job navigating the ongoing shortage of semiconductor components along with other hurdles such as logistical bottlenecks and inflationary pressures. Nvidia’s growth runway is enormous as it intends to expand into a new market within the semiconductor space, which we will cover in this note. Shares of NVDA have leapt higher during the past month as the “chip” company’s (Nvidia designs chips that are produced by third parties) fundamental performance has been nothing short of stellar while its outlook continues to get brighter and brighter.

Nov 22, 2021

Tyson’s Pricing Strength Enables Margin Expansion During Turbulent Time
Image Shown: Tyson Foods Inc put up stellar results for fiscal 2021. Image Source: Tyson Foods Inc – Fourth Quarter of Fiscal 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. On November 15, Tyson Foods reported fourth quarter earnings for fiscal 2021 (period ended October 2, 2021) that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates largely due to the firm’s impressive pricing strength, the focus of this article. The company is facing major headwinds from the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic, from labor shortages to supply chain bottlenecks to rising input costs, though Tyson has adeptly navigated this turbulence while bolstering both its revenues and its margins.

Nov 22, 2021

ICYMI: The PayPal Wave Recedes, We Still Like Shares
Image Source: PayPal. We knew something wasn’t quite lining up at digital-payments provider PayPal when the rumor mill started to turn with reports it was interested in scooping up Pinterest for a pretty penny. PayPal has since put to rest rumors about buying Pinterest, but it left investors with a sour outlook when it issued third-quarter results November 8. Though the market wasn’t happy with the forecast for the fourth quarter of 2021 and into 2022, the company continues to grow revenue at a robust pace, and we expect several key initiatives to drive sustainable top-line expansion for many years to come. Our fair value estimate stands north of $270 per share.