Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Symbol Keyword

Aug 19, 2022

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market
Image Source: Tim Green. We outline the '16 Most Important Steps to Understand the Stock Market.' We think it's important to take a read of these key stock market tenets when things are going great -- and perhaps even more important when things aren't going your way. This continues to be a working document.

Jul 11, 2022

Valuentum's Unmatched Product Suite
We continue to be huge believers in the concept of enterprise valuation, which emphasizes the key cash-based sources of intrinsic value--net cash on the balance sheet and strong and growing future expected free cash flows. Meta Platforms, Inc. and Alphabet Inc. remain two of the most underpriced ideas on the market today, and we remain huge fans of their tremendous long-term investment prospects.

Jul 4, 2022

Nelson: I Have Been Wrong About the Prospect of Near-Term Inflationary-Driven Earnings Tailwinds
"Though I have been clearly wrong on my near-term thesis for inflation-driven earnings expansion, we still did great sorting through investment idea considerations. Through late June, for example, the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio has generated 4-5 percentage points of alpha relative to the S&P 500, as measured by the SPY. The simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio is down only modestly this year, also performing better than traditional benchmarks. The simulated High Yield Dividend Newsletter is generating “alpha” against comparable benchmarks, and the Exclusive publication continues to deliver, with both capital appreciation ideas and short idea considerations generating fantastic success rates. ESG and options-idea generation have also been great. With all this being said, in the long run, I believe nominal earnings will expand rapidly from 2021 levels, which is why I remain bullish on stocks. I believe markets tend to overestimate earnings in the near term and underestimate them in the long run. The intelligent investor knows, too, that the most money is made during recessions and bear markets, where steady reinvestment and dollar cost averaging help to better position portfolios for higher returns over the longer run. The newsletter portfolios are well-positioned for continued “outperformance,” in our view, and while we may make a few tweaks to them, we’re not making any material changes at this time."

Jun 14, 2022

Prologis Buying Duke Realty as Logistical Real Estate Market Consolidates Further
Image Shown: Prologis Inc is merging with Duke Realty Corporation through an all-stock acquisition that will see Prologis cement itself as a logistical real estate powerhouse in the US and worldwide. Image Source: Duke Realty Corporation / Prologis Inc – June 2022 IR Presentation announcing the acquisition of Duke Realty by Prologis. On June 13, Prologis Inc announced it was buying Duke Realty Corporation through an all-stock transaction worth ~$26 billion when including the assumption of debt. In the wake of severe capital market volatility, some major deals in the real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) space are still getting done. Back in May 2022, Duke Realty rejected Prologis’ previous offer worth ~$24 billion as being “insufficient” which prompted Prologis to sweeten the pot to get a deal done.

May 26, 2022

American Tower Beats Estimates and Raises Guidance
Image Shown: An overview of American Tower Corporation’s global asset base. Image Source: American Tower Corporation – First Quarter of 2022 IR Earnings Presentation. American Tower Corp is a real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) with a global portfolio of ~221,000 multi-tenant communications properties. We include American Tower as an idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio as its dividend growth track record and outlook are rock-solid. Shares of AMT yield ~2.3% as of this writing. Historically, the REIT has generated substantial “excess” free cash flows (after fully covering its total distribution obligations). Looking ahead, American Tower should continue to be a cash flow cow, highlighting one of the reasons we are big fans of the REIT.

May 26, 2022

Public Storage Is a High-Quality Income Generation Idea
Image Source: Public Storage – March 2022 IR Presentation. On May 3, Public Storage reported first quarter 2022 earnings that missed consensus top-line estimates but beat consensus bottom-line estimates. The company reaffirmed its guidance for 2022 in conjunction with its latest earnings report. We are huge fans of Public Storage’s ample pricing power, strong occupancy rates, stellar cash flow profile, and its bright growth outlook. The self-storage real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) remains one of our favorite income generation ideas, and we include Public Storage in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio. Shares of PSA ~2.6% as of this writing.

Apr 27, 2022

Public Storage Getting Ready To Report First Quarter 2022 Earnings
Image Shown: Public Storage, a longtime idea in our High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, has seen its share price skyrocket over the past year with room for additional upside, in our view. After the market close on May 3, the self-storage real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) Public Storage intends to report its first-quarter earnings for 2022, which will be followed up by an earnings conference call a day later. Shares of PSA have been a long-time idea in the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, and we continue to be enormous fans of the name. The top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $445 per share of Public Storage, indicating that shares of PSA have room to keep running higher. As of this writing, shares of PSA yield ~1.9%.

Feb 23, 2022

High-Yielding American Tower Is a Free Cash Flow Cow
Image Shown: American Tower Corporation operates the tower structure and related land parcel of cell tower assets, while its tenants handle the remainder. Image Source: American Tower Corporation – Third Quarter of 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. Rising geopolitical tensions, inflationary headwinds, supply chain hurdles, and pressures from the rising interest rate environment are all weighing negatively on equity markets. In our view, this sell-off presents an opportunity for investors with a longer-term focus to consider high-quality REITs such as American Tower Corp, which is now trading at a significant discount to our estimate of its intrinsic value.

Feb 23, 2022

High-Yielding Life Storage Has Tremendous Dividend Strength
Image Shown: Life Storage Inc is committed to rewarding income seeking investors. Image Source: Life Storage Inc – January 2022 IR Presentation. We are huge fans of Life Storage and the self-storage industry. Life Storage owns 1,000+ self-storage properties across 30+ states and has received an investment grade credit rating (Baa2/BBB) from two of the ‘Big Three’ rating agencies. The REIT also operates a third-party management platform for self-storage properties. The company’s financials are rock-solid and recent guidance increases speak favorably towards its near term outlook. Shares yield a solid ~3.1% at the time of this writing.

Feb 21, 2022

High-Yielding Income Growth Idea Digital Realty Expects Business Will Continue Recovering
Image Shown: We are big fans of Digital Realty Trust Inc’s global footprint. Image Source: Digital Realty Trust Inc – Fourth Quarter of 2021 IR Earnings Presentation. On February 17, Digital Realty Trust reported fourth quarter 2021 earnings that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates, though its near term guidance came in a tad softer than expected. The data center real estate investment trust (‘REIT’) is facing headwinds from vintage leases rolling off and concerns about surging power costs around the world. On the plus side, Digital Realty is experiencing decent growth at the part of its business where re-leasing terms have been more favorable, and its contracts generally include provisions that allow the REIT to pass on electricity expenses to its tenants. We include Digital Realty as an idea in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter and High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolios.