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Valuentum Commentary
Nov 13, 2019
Keurig Dr Pepper Is Moving in the Right Direction
Image Source: Keurig Dr Pepper – September 2019 IR Presentation. Unlike some of its peers, Keurig Dr Pepper is not trading at a hefty premium to its intrinsic value. Our fair value estimate for shares of KDP stands at $25, with the top end of our fair value estimate range sitting at $30 per share. As of this writing, KDP trades near ~$29 per share, which is within reason in our view. Investors are pricing in Keurig Dr Pepper’s nice underlying sales growth forecast, merger-related synergies, and serious deleveraging efforts which is why KDP trades at the upper end of its fair value estimate range, in our view. We aren’t adding KDP to either of our newsletter portfolios at this time, but should deleveraging activities continue in earnest, that may change our view of the company. Nov 11, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Nonalcoholic Beverages Industry
Image Source: Mike Mozart. We've reallocated our resources to cover more recession-resistant stocks. Oct 21, 2019
Coca-Cola Posts a Nice Quarter But Shares Too Pricey
The top end of our fair value estimate range for Coca-Cola sits at $48 per share, significantly below where shares of KO are trading at as of this writing as we think the market has gotten ahead of itself on this one. While Coca-Cola is targeting higher growth areas, like ready-to-drink coffee beverages, that growth trajectory isn’t strong enough to support its current valuation, in our view.The top end of our fair value estimate range for Coca-Cola sits at $48 per share, significantly below where shares of KO are trading at as of this writing as we think the market has gotten ahead of itself on this one. While Coca-Cola is targeting higher growth areas, like ready-to-drink coffee beverages, that growth trajectory isn’t strong enough to support its current valuation, in our view. Oct 4, 2019
PepsiCo Posts Solid Quarterly Report, Targets Powerful Long-Term Growth Trends
On October 3, PepsiCo reported third quarter earnings for fiscal 2019 (12 week period ended September 7) that were positively received by the market as the beverage and snack company beat both consensus top and bottom line estimates. PepsiCo still has its eyes on the ball in the face of exogenous shocks (i.e. the US-China trade war and the potential for an EU-US trade war) as management targets secular growth trends in emerging and developing markets, but we still think the company’s valuation is stretched after its impressive year-to-date rally. Shares of PEP yield ~2.7% as of this writing. Aug 20, 2019
Owens-Illinois’ Debt Load Is Daunting, We Are Staying Away From This Value Trap
Image Source: Owens-Illinois Inc -- IR Presentation. Due to Owens-Illinois’ onerous leverage, guidance cut, and signs that the global economy is slowing down, we are staying far from the name. While shares of OI trade decently below the low end of our fair value estimate range we caution that the market is likely right on this one. Owens-Illinois is another example of a Value Trap. Jul 24, 2019
Coca-Cola’s Valuation Is Stretched
Image Source: Broderick. While the market clearly liked Coca-Cola’s earnings report, we believe investors are getting ahead of themselves. We aren’t interested in shares of KO at these levels, and we caution readers on the stretched valuation of consumer staples companies in general. Jul 13, 2019
Reviewing PepsiCo’s Latest Earnings
Image Source: Mike Mozart. Shares of PEP trade well above our fair value estimate and as of this writing are trading near the top end of our fair value range. We aren’t looking to add PEP to any newsletter portfolio, but we appreciate PepsiCo’s improving operational and financial performance in the face of foreign currency headwinds, trade wars, and other exogenous events outside of its control. Apr 22, 2019
PepsiCo Fights off Forex Headwinds as it Gets Ready to Take on Amazon
Image Source: PepsiCo Inc -- IR Presentation.As PepsiCo is trading at the upper end of our fair value estimate range and sports a good (but not stellar) dividend growth trajectory, we still prefer ideas in the simulated newsletter portfolios instead. Feb 15, 2019
Cola Giants Fourth Quarter Earnings and Valuation Distributions
Image Source: Sean Loyless. Coca-Cola and PepsiCo expect mid-single-digit organic revenue growth to continue in 2019, but currency headwinds are impacting reported figures. We’re less than enthused about the near-term free cash flow expectations of both companies, and tepid macroeconomic growth expectations and potentially elevated costs, such as freight, are weighing on near-term outlooks. Dec 31, 2018
Valuentum Stock Screeners
Brian Nelson provides members with an update on Valuentum's stock screeners and the significant number of forward-looking data we provide. This article was sent to members via email December 29. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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