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Feb 2, 2025
Altria Expects Modest Earnings Growth in 2025, Shares Yield 7.8%
Image Source: Altria. Altria ended the year with $3.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $24.9 billion in debt. Looking to 2025, Altria expects to deliver full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share in a range of $5.22-$5.37, which reflects a growth rate of 2%-5% from a base of $5.12 in 2024. Management expects 2025 capital expenditures to be between $175-$225 million. Though Altria’s 2025 outlook came in lower than expected, we like the firm’s pricing power and income generation potential with a forward estimated yield of 7.8%. Feb 1, 2025
ASML Holding’s Bookings Soar in Fourth Quarter
Image Source: TradingView. We continue to like ASML as an idea in the ESG Newsletter portfolio, and the company’s bookings number for the fourth quarter was solid, helping to alleviate some concerns that arose by its weak third-quarter bookings result. The company’s first-quarter outlook for net sales came in ahead of what the Street was looking for, and we liked that ASML reiterated its total net sales expectation for 2025 to be between €30 billion and €35 billion. Feb 1, 2025
IBM’s Generative AI Book of Business Doing Well
Image Source: TradingView. For the full year 2024, IBM generated net cash from operating activities, excluding IBM financing receivables, of $13.9 billion and hauled in $12.7 billion in free cash flow for the year, up $1.5 billion, and exceeding dividends paid of $6.1 billion. IBM ended the fourth quarter with $14.8 billion in cash and marketable securities, and debt, including IBM Financing debt of $12.1 billion, totaled $55 billion, down $1.6 billion from the end of 2023. For full year 2025, IBM expects full-year constant currency revenue growth of at least 5% and free cash flow of $13.5 billion for the full year, both measures exceeding the consensus forecast. Shares of IBM yield 2.6% at the time of this writing. Jan 31, 2025
Apple Reports Best Quarter Ever Despite Declining iPhone, China Sales
Image Source: TradingView. During the quarter, Apple returned to shareholders $3.9 billion in dividends and equivalents and $23.3 billion in share repurchases. Looking to the March quarter, management expects total company revenue to grow low to mid-single-digits year-over-year, with Services revenue to grow low double-digits year-over-year. It expects its gross margin to be between 46.5%-47.5%, about in line with the December quarter. We continue to be fans of Apple’s large installed base (2.35 billion active devices) and growing, high-margin Services business, and the company remains a key holding in the newsletter portfolios. Jan 31, 2025
Visa’s Free Cash Flow Margins Are Incredible
Image Source: Visa. Visa’s cash and investment securities were $16.1 billion at the end of the calendar year versus short-and long-term debt of $20.6 billion. For the three months ended December 31, operating cash flow was $5.4 billion, up from $3.6 billion in the year ago period. Capital spending came in at $345 million in the quarter, with the firm hauling in free cash flow of $5.05 billion, revealing a free cash flow margin of 53%. Looking to full year 2025, management is targeting low double-digit growth in net revenue and low-teens earnings per share growth. We continue to like Visa as a top weighting in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $365 per share. Jan 30, 2025
Microsoft Issues Fiscal Second Quarter Results
Image Source: Microsoft. Looking to the fiscal third quarter, Microsoft expects Azure revenue growth to be between 31%-32% in constant currency. Revenue growth for the fiscal third quarter is expected in the range of $67.7-$68.7 billion, below the consensus forecast of $69.8 billion. For all of fiscal 2025, management expects total revenue to grow double digits, operating expenses to grow in the single-digits, and operating income to grow in the double digits. Operating margins are expected to be up slightly year-over-year. Though Azure revenue growth and fiscal third quarter guidance may have come in a little light of what the Street was looking for, we still like Microsoft as a core idea in the newsletter portfolios. Jan 29, 2025
Lockheed Martin’s Earnings Impacted by Classified Program Losses
Image Source: Lockheed Martin. Looking to 2025, Lockheed Martin expects revenue in the range of $73.75-$74.75 billion, in line with the consensus forecast of $74.1 billion, business segment operating profit of $8.1-$8.2 billion, while diluted earnings per share is targeted in the range of $27-$27.30, below the consensus forecast of $27.94. Cash flow from operations is expected in the range of $8.5-$8.7 billion in 2025, while free cash flow is expected in the range of $6.6-$6.8 billion, after roughly $1.9 billion in capital spending. Shares yield 2.9% at the time of this writing. Jan 25, 2025
NextEra Energy Reaffirms Earnings Outlook for Next Couple Years
Image Source: NextEra Energy. NextEra Energy reaffirmed its long-term financial expectations. For 2025, NextEra Energy continues to expect adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.45-$3.70. For 2026 and 2027, NextEra Energy expects adjusted earnings per share to be in the ranges of $3.63-$4.00 and $3.85-$4.32, respectively. The company also continues to expect to grow its dividends per share at a roughly 10% annual clip through at least 2026, off a 2024 base. We continue to like NextEra Energy as a holding in the ESG Newsletter portfolio. Jan 24, 2025
Johnson & Johnson Issues Fourth Quarter Results
Image Source: J&J. For the full year 2024, J&J's free cash flow came in at ~$19.8 billion, up from $18.2 billion last year. The company ended the quarter with ~$12 billion in net debt. J&J made significant pipeline progress in the quarter including RYBREVANT + LAZCLUZE overall survival data, initiation of TAR-200 submission, and the approval of investigational device exemption for its general surgery robotic system, OTTAVA. J&J issued guidance or 2025 calling for operational sales growth of 2.5%-3.5%, below the consensus forecast, and adjusted operational earnings per share growth of $10.75-$10.95, reflecting 8.7% growth at the midpoint. We like J&J, but the company does not make the cut for inclusion in any newsletter portfolio at this time. Jan 23, 2025
Procter & Gamble on Track to Deliver on Fiscal Year Guidance
Image Source: Procter & Gamble. Looking to fiscal 2025 guidance, all-in sales growth is expected in the range of 2%-4% versus the prior year. Organic growth for the fiscal year is targeted in the range of 3%-5%. P&G reiterated its core earnings per share growth for the fiscal year to be in the range of 5%-7%, equating to a range of $6.91-$7.05, or a 6% increase at the midpoint. In fiscal 2025, P&G expects to pay around $10 billion in dividends and repurchase $6-$7 billion of common shares. At the time of this writing, shares of P&G yield ~2.5%.
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