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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 6, 2024
Constellation Brands’ Beer Business Continues to Propel Results
Image Source: Constellation Brands. On July 3, alcoholic beverages giant Constellation Brands reported mixed first quarter fiscal 2025 results, where revenue came in a bit light relative to expectations, but non-GAAP earnings per share was better than the consensus forecast. Comparable net sales increased 6%, while comparable operating income jumped 12%. Comparable earnings per share advanced 17%, to $3.57. Shares yield ~1.6% at the time of this writing.
Jul 6, 2024
Tesla’s Deliveries Bounce Back in Second Quarter
Source: Tesla. On July 2, Tesla released its production and delivery numbers for the second quarter of 2024. Production of Model 3/Y and other models totaled 410,831, while total deliveries came in at 443,956 units, consisting of 422,405 Model 3/Y and the balance coming from other models. The results were better than expected and helped to propel shares of the electric-vehicle maker higher. Tesla’s equity has shot up past the high end of our fair value estimate range, and while we liked the better-than-feared news regarding its deliveries, we continue to be on the sidelines with respect to Tesla’s shares. The next big catalysts for Tesla’s shares are its earnings release on July 23 and its robotaxi event on August 8. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $224, shy of where the company’s equity is trading ($250+).
Jul 5, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of July 5
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.
Jul 3, 2024
High Yield Dividend Income Investing Is Not as Easy as Chasing the Highest Yield
Image: EpicTop10.com. The skills to successfully invest for long-term capital gains or long-term dividend growth are much different than those required for generating high yield dividend income. Income investing is a much different proposition. However, the skills do center on a similar equity evaluation process, but one that requires an acknowledgement and heightened awareness of considerably greater downside risks. Income investing, or high yield dividend income investing, should at times be considered among the riskiest forms of investing, as many high dividend-yielding securities tend to trade closer to the characteristics of junk-rated bonds than they do most net cash rich and free cash flow generating powerhouses that we like so much in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.
Jul 1, 2024
Boeing to Acquire Spirit AeroSystems
Image: Boeing’s shares have traded sideways the past few years as it works to fix safety issues. Boeing benefits from its global oligopoly with Airbus, but the company is in a world of hurt at the moment. Looking at its first-quarter results shows a sizable core non-GAAP net loss per share, operating cash flow burn of $3.4 billion, as well as free cash flow burn of $3.9 billion. We think the near term will continue to be difficult for Boeing as it struggles to right the ship, but a more bullish take will point to its total company backlog of $539 billion, which includes 5,600+ commercial airplanes, as one reason to be optimistic. To us, however, Boeing continues to be a show-me story, and we remain on the sidelines with respect to shares.
Jun 28, 2024
Nike’s Revenue Under Pressure
Image: Nike’s shares have languished of late, and a comeback will take some time. Nike retains one of the strongest brand names across our coverage universe, and customer loyalty remains a key attribute to a bull case for shares. However, the company’s fiscal 2025 will be challenging, with considerable weakness during the first quarter of fiscal 2025. We like Nike’s business model, but we remain on the sidelines as we adjust our valuation model to reflect the lower-than-expected fiscal 2025 performance.
Jun 28, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 28
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.
Jun 27, 2024
Shares of Walgreens Boots Alliance Collapse
Image: Walgreens’ shares have been under constant pressure for some time now. On June 27, Walgreens Boots Alliance reported mixed third quarter results for fiscal 2024. Though net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow improved in the fiscal third quarter, the better cash management was overshadowed by lowered guidance. The company lowered its fiscal 2024 adjusted earnings per share guidance to the range of $2.80-$2.95 “reflecting challenging pharmacy industry trends and a worse-than-expected U.S. consumer environment.” Consensus had been looking for $3.22 per share in adjusted earnings for the fiscal year. We’re not interested in Walgreens at all and think the worst may still be ahead for the company. Shares yield ~8.5% at the time of this writing.
Jun 26, 2024
General Mills' Organic Performance Reveals Underlying Weakness
Image Source: General Mills. On June 26, General Mills reported mixed fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 results that showed weakness on the top line, but a modest beat relative to the consensus forecast on the bottom line. Looking to 2025, General Mills’ organic sales are expected to be flat to up 1%, a target that is achievable, but one that may prove optimistic given trends in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2024. Free cash flow conversion is expected to remain robust at more than 95% of adjusted after-tax earnings. Shares yield 3.5% at the time of this writing.
Jun 26, 2024
FedEx’s Cost Initiatives Drive Strong Fiscal 2025 Guidance
Image Source: FedEx. On June 25, FedEx reported better than expected fourth quarter results for fiscal 2024. The company continues to focus on becoming more efficient, closing facilities as well as retiring inefficient aircraft. Shares yield ~2.1% at the time of this writing.



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