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Latest
Valuentum Commentary
Dec 20, 2017
Dividends: Costco and Walmart
Image Source: Fiscal Year 2017 Annual Report. The retail sector is undergoing a revolutionary change to its traditional business model of delivering value to customers in a brick-and-mortar format with a tepid nod towards an e-commerce platform. There will inevitably be winners and losers from such a massive paradigm shift to online, but we think Costco and Walmart will be able to adapt effectively, while delivering a tidy dividend to boot. We do not believe Amazon will rule the world. Dec 19, 2017
Video: Quants! You're NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson's Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes. Dec 12, 2017
CVS Health at the Crossroads, Too Much Debt
Image Source: CVS Health. We have been disappointed with the lack progress displayed by CVS Health thus far in 2017. We knew the business was entering into an earnings trough as a result of key contract losses, but recent events have unfolded that, in our view, have lessened the attractiveness of its business model, to a meaningful degree. Let’s talk more about what’s happening at CVS Health, the changing PBM market, Amazon’s threat, and too much leverage. We’re not overreacting, but we’re not happy either. Dec 10, 2017
Video: Indexing/Quant Bubble, Pitfalls of Backward Multiple Analysis, and Thoughts on the CAPE Ratio
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about what causes a stock pricing bubble, notes how the "price setters" are disappearing in today's market, explains the pitfalls of backward-looking multiple analysis, and shares his thoughts on the CAPE (cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings) ratio. Running time: ~11 minutes Dec 5, 2017
Video: North Korea, Indexing, and ETFs
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about the non-zero probability of nuclear war, lofty equity market valuations, the impact of ultra-low interest rates, the Bitcoin phenomenon, the importance of paying attention to financial adviser fees, as well as the pitfalls when it comes to assigning styles to ETFs. Running time: ~11 minutes. Dec 1, 2017
Shopping for Income Within Retail in a Digital World
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The 2017 holiday shopping season has shown that e-commerce has never been stronger and it will only continue to grow. But there is still potential for income generation among more traditional retailers. Investors must be tremendously discerning in the retail area, however, as margin, and ultimately free cash flow, pressures remain prevalent. We like Walmart, Target, Costco as income ideas in the broader retail space, but TJX Companies and Best Buy may be worth a look, too. We're avoiding the department stores and teen retail like the plague, regardless of their Dividend Cushion ratios. Nov 29, 2017
Strategy Versus Tactics in the Dividend Growth Newsletter Portfolio
Image Source: fauxto_digit. We made a few tactical tweaks to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio during 2017. Let’s walk through them, and how we’re out to win the war, not win every battle. Nov 27, 2017
Strategy Versus Tactics in the Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio
Image Source: Anna & Michal. We made a few tactical tweaks to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio during 2017. Let’s walk through them, and how we’re out to win the war, not win every battle. Nov 26, 2017
How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already. Nov 21, 2017
A “Terrible” Negative Alpha-Generating “Trade” and More
Let’s walk through some of the news before the Thanksgiving holiday, and one of the bigger missteps we made during 2017. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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