Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Dec 22, 2020

Lockheed Makes an Intriguing Acquisition
Image Source: Lockheed Martin Corporation – December 2020 IR Presentation covering Lockheed Martin Corporation’s pending acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings Inc. On December 20, Lockheed Martin Corp announced it was acquiring Aerojet Rocketdyne for $56.00 per share in cash, or $51.00 per share after taking into account a special $5.00 per share pre-closing cash dividend payment that Aerojet Rocketdyne plans to pay out. The deal has a total equity value of ~$5 billion when including the special dividend component and is expected to close in the second half of 2021. In our view, this deal is highly complementary to Lockheed Martin’s existing operations. Combining Aerojet Rocketdyne’s propulsion and power systems business segments with Lockheed Martin’s expansive aircraft, helicopter, missile, space, maritime, and weapon systems business segments should lead to sizable operational and developmental synergies.

Nov 4, 2020

We Expect to Raise Our Fair Value Estimate of Honeywell
Image: Honeywell’s Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Release Slide Deck. We may have been a bit too conservative with our latest fair value estimate change of Honeywell in light of our expectations of the impact of COVID-19 on its business. Heading into the COVID-19 crash, our fair value estimate for Honeywell had been north of $150, and we expect to revise it modestly higher than that mark upon the next update of our valuation model. In light of COVID-19, we plan to apply a wider fair value estimate range, too, and that should put shares as fairly valued. Honeywell is our favorite industrial idea, but it remains on the bench in favor of better-positioned net-cash-rich powerhouses currently in the newsletter portfolios.

Aug 14, 2020

Two Exciting Names for Your Radar: PENN, SPCE
Image Source: Penn National Gaming. “Davey the Day Trader” meets space flight in this article that sums up the goings-on at two exciting companies, Penn National and Virgin Galactic. We think shares of PENN are fairly valued at the moment, and we won’t be taking a “flier” on Virgin Galactic, but we still think it is one worth watching.

Jul 7, 2020

Tesla Surges on Promising Production Report
Image Shown: Shares of Tesla Inc have more than tripled year-to-date, as of this writing, due to growing optimism about the electric vehicle and battery maker’s long-term growth outlook. On July 2, Tesla Inc provided an update on the number of electric vehicles it produced and delivered during the second quarter of 2020, when its domestic manufacturing capabilities were hit the hardest by the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. This report likely acted as the catalyst for the latest run up in shares of TSLA as its technicals have "gone parabolic" of late.

Jun 24, 2020

Steel Dynamics Bets Big on North America’s Industrial Economy
Image Source: Steel Dynamics Inc – June 2020 IR Presentation. Investor sentiment towards the steel industry is rebounding as the medium- and long-term outlook for global industrial activity has improved markedly since March 2020. The ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic has significantly hampered near-term industrial activity, though major fiscal stimulus packages (made feasible through major monetary stimulus programs) launched in various developed nations could provide some relief. Shares of Steel Dynamics have recovered meaningfully since their March 2020 lows and are trading a tad below our fair value estimate as of this writing. Shares of STLD yield ~3.6% on an annualized forward-looking basis as of this writing and we give the steel maker a Dividend Cushion ratio of 1.3x providing for a “GOOD” Dividend Safety rating. The company has made great strides in improving its financial position over the past several years. We will first provide some background on the fiscal stimulus measures that have either been approved and or proposed in key economies across the world, before digging deeper into Steel Dynamics.

Jun 9, 2020

Nikola Corp Shares Skyrocket After Getting Listed
Image Shown: Shares of Nikola Corporation have skyrocketed since completing a business combination with a special purpose acquisition company in early-June 2020. Nikola Corp completed its business combination with VectoIQ Acquisition Corp (a special purpose acquisition company or ‘SPAC’) on June 3, 2020, and a day later shares started trading under the NKLA ticker (VectolQ Acquisition previously traded under the ticker VTIQ). Effectively, this allowed Nikola Corp to become publicly traded without undergoing a “conventional” initial public offering (‘IPO’) and furthermore, the combination raised over $700 million to fund Nikola Corp’s ambitions. VectolQ Acquisition was sponsored by VectoIQ Holdings LLC, P. Schoenfeld Asset Management LP, and Cowen. Nikola Corp is run by CEO Mark Russell and Executive Chairman and founder Trevor Milton. Stephen Girsky, Managing Partner of VectolIQ, joined Nikola Corp’s board of directors, bringing with him a ton of experience in the automotive space as he was formerly Vice Chairman of General Motors (GM) from November 2009 until July 2014.