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Valuentum Commentary
Aug 2, 2023
ICYMI: Let’s Play Devil’s Advocate: What’s the Bear Case for Realty Income?
Image Source: Realty Income. It’s helpful to challenge one’s thesis on a favorite idea every now and then, and we’ve done just that with Realty Income in this article. We see three areas of weakness at Realty Income that could challenge our bullish take on the name: 1) its retail exposure, 2) its financial leverage and arguably unwarranted investment-grade credit rating, and 3) the current rising interest rate environment. Perhaps the most compelling component of the bear case on Realty Income is its massive net debt position and present value of future dividend liabilities that dwarf its annual operating cash flow. The REIT business model isn’t as attractive as many make it out to be. Jul 26, 2023
4 REITs For Consideration
Image Source: Mike Mozart. We like these four REITs for the long haul. Jul 24, 2023
Public Storage Picks Up Simply Self Storage; M&A Remains Hot in Self Storage
Image Source: Public Storage. On July 24, Public Storage announced that it had agreed to acquire Simply Self Storage from Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (BREIT) for $2.2 billion. The news follows the Public Storage-Life Storage takeout saga that ended with Life Storage running to Extra Space Storage for a deal. A PSA-LSI deal had made a lot of sense, and we’re not sure why LSI wanted nothing to do with PSA, but it may have had to do with a poor cultural fit. LSI apparently said it wasn’t for sale right before it tied the knot with EXR--moves that just didn’t seem to add up, in our view. In any case, we’re glad PSA walked away from a possible “winner’s curse” had it pursued LSI, and we’re largely indifferent to the smaller transaction regarding Simply Self Storage. Jun 1, 2023
ICYMI: The Impact Rising Interest Rates Have on Equity REITs
Image: REITs have not performed as well as one might have thought. The Vanguard REIT ETF has underperformed the broader market considerably since 2015, while dividends per share have not grown much, if at all, since 2005. Source: Vanguard. The question on most everyone's minds: How will equity real estate investment trusts (REITs) fare in the current rising interest-rate environment? The topic has long been debated and studied, and there are myriad opinions on the subject. From where we stand, however, there are a two main moving parts consisting of fundamental and investment dynamics that investors should be aware of. Let's have a look. Apr 21, 2023
Extra Space Storage Pursues the Winner’s Curse; LSI Shareholders Should Take the Money and Run
Image Source: Extra Space Storage. It would seem that Life Storage wants nothing to do with Public Storage, first refusing to negotiate with Public Storage regarding its proposal to merge, then rolling out a revised severance package for its CEO, CFO and COO on March 17, and now most recently announcing that it would tie the knot with Extra Space Storage on April 3. Feb 10, 2023
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 10
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Feb 7, 2023
Two Top Income Ideas Locked in Hostile Takeover Battle
Image Source: Public Storage. On February 5, Public Storage announced it has launched a hostile takeover of Life Storage. Life Storage seems content in refusing to negotiate with Public Storage at this time, but the saga is not over yet. We’re anxiously awaiting either PSA’s or LSI’s next move. We think a combined entity will have higher levels of profitability, a better credit rating, and greater financial capacity to drive even further growth in adjusted funds from operations and dividends per share. Both entities yield ~3.9% on a forward estimated basis. Jan 20, 2023
Why Are the Dividends of REITs So Risky?
REITs, as measured by the Vanguard ETF (VNQ), have generated a total return of 39.5% since the beginning of 2015 through the end of 2022, an eight-year period that has translated into a measly compound annual return of just 4.25%. This compares to a total return of the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) of 116.3%, which translates into a compound annual return of 10.1% over the same time period. Not only have REITs underperformed terribly during the past 8 years, but there have been more than 100 dividend cuts by REITs over this time period, too. REITs just aren’t what some make them out to be. Be careful. Dec 27, 2022
Exclusive Call: What To Expect From Valuentum in 2023
Video: 2022 was a successful year by almost every measure from the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to the simulated High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio and Exclusive publication and beyond. There were some disappointments in 2022, of course, but the year showed the value of a Valuentum membership. Join President of Investment Research Brian Nelson on this year's Exclusive conference call to learn what to expect from Valuentum in 2023. Cheers! Dec 21, 2022
Our Reports on the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Our stock reports on the diversified REIT sector can be found in this article. Reports include DLR, FRT, O, REG, SPG, PEAK, OHI, VTR, WELL, PSA, EQIX, CUBE, EXR, IRM. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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