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Latest
Valuentum Commentary
Mar 20, 2019
Outperformance No Matter How You Measure It
Image shown: The performance of Valuentum's simulated Best Ideas Newsletter since the inaugural edition of the newsletter, July 13, 2011. We migrated to a weighting range format for the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio ideas beginning in 2018. At that time, Visa (V) was the top weighting by far at 8.6%. Shares of Visa have soared since, and other ideas haven't been too shabby either! Source. Valuentum's Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio is in a class by itself. Did you know that ~90% of active fund managers are underperforming their benchmarks over prolonged periods of time? The lack of volatility of the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio had been driven by its massive average cash "weighting" of 25% during its history, something we moved to 0% at almost the precise near-term bottom December 26, 2018. Mar 20, 2019
It Definitely Is a *Best* Ideas Newsletter!
Image shown: Valuentum migrated to a weighting range format for the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio ideas beginning in 2018. Mar 15, 2019
DG Newsletter Alert, Markets on a Roll! New Highs Coming?
Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a "fully invested" position, from a 30% and 20% cash "weighting" at the high end of the range, respectively. It doesn't look like the timing could have been much better. Mar 12, 2019
FB/FIZZ Methodologically Speaking and CMG, AAPL, BA!
Let’s talk about the importance of having CFA charterholder research at your advisory practice and some recent notable stock price movements within the context of our methodology. Mar 7, 2019
Valuentum's Stock and Data Screens and Screeners
Let’s go over where to find Valuentum’s stock and data screens and screeners. We believe our stock screeners are among the most robust when it comes to providing forward-looking data, and our data comes straight from our enterprise discounted cash flow models that we use to derive a company's fair value estimate. Feb 22, 2019
Kraft-Heinz Blows Up, More Updates!
Image shown: The rating history of Kraft-Heinz (KHC). Valuentum members were warned in advance of this pricey equity in 2016/2017, and the VBI rating never advanced past 5 since then after registering a 1, the worst rating, on two separate occasions. Jan 30, 2019
A Great Couple Months! Apple Pops!
Image shown: The markets continue to rally significantly since the near-term bottom in December. No changes to simulated newsletter portfolios. Jan 30, 2019
Apple’s Services Growth on Track; Weakness to Persist in China
Image Source: William Hook. Apple delivered fiscal first quarter results after the close January 29 that were largely in-line with recently adjusted expectations. China has been and will likely continue to be a soft spot, but the company’s Services revenue continues to impress. Strong free cash flow generation and balance sheet health are synonymous with the company. Jan 29, 2019
Caterpillar Crushed by Expectations for No Growth in China
Image Source: Mining.com. Heavy equipment giant Caterpillar saw its share price drop significantly following its fourth quarter report January 28 as it reported disappointing bottom-line results for the quarter and announced expectations for softness in China. Jan 23, 2019
Consider Selling Discipline = Systematic, Forward-looking, Repeatable
Image shown: An illustration of Valuentum's call on Kinder Morgan during 2015. You can read about this in more detail in the Preface of Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation. For a consider-selling discipline to be successful, it must be systematic, forward-looking and repeatable. The Valuentum process worked equally well with General Electric during 2017 (image later in note). No changes to simulated newsletter portfolios.
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Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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