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Latest
Valuentum Commentary
Aug 3, 2016
A Kleenex? Consumer Staples Trading At Nosebleed Levels
Image Source: Alan Levine. The latest reading on the forward price-to-earnings ratio of S&P 500 companies is 17 (July 29, 2016), above its 5-year and 10-year averages, while the forward price-to-earnings ratio of the consumer staples sector is even “frothier” at nearly 21 times – yes, that’s the forward 12 month price-to-earnings ratio, which assumes bottom-line growth. Jul 26, 2016
Nelson’s Warning to the Board Rooms of America
Image Source: Robert Lyle Bolton. “In some ways, a cash dividend is like paying shareholders with their own money, and making a big deal about it!” – Brian Nelson, CFA Jul 11, 2016
Understanding the Market Melt Up
Image Source: Martin Thomas. No – things are not getting better. The discount rate is shrinking – and that means rising equity values. Jun 27, 2016
Keep Calm and Carry On?
Image Source: War History Online, June 22. Markets often overshoot to the downside, and we’re not even at “fair valuation” in the context of widely-followed market multiples. Patience is a virtue. Jun 24, 2016
Brexit: Secession Bells Are Ringing!
First Baptist Church in Columbia, S.C., where the first secession convention in the United States opened on Dec. 17, 1860. Source: Library of Congress, Washington, DC. Photo. Encyclopædia Britannica Online. Web. 24 Jun. 2016. Global markets are plunging, and the implosion may still be in the early innings. Market valuations remain stretched among stagnant global economic growth, and “Brexit” may be the catalyst for a correction. May 23, 2016
Why The Fed Matters
As higher discount rates are embedded in traditional valuation models, the value of long-duration free cash flows is reduced exponentially, shrinking estimates of intrinsic worth. It’s purely fundamental. May 18, 2016
Soros, Icahn, Nelson Hedge for Market Fall
Pictured: George Soros; source: Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung. Three investors are betting that the broad equity market will fall…and soon. Apr 21, 2016
The Market – On Its Head
Let’s discuss what’s been working and what’s not been working in today’s market. Mar 14, 2016
The Corporate Buyback Conundrum
The broader risks to the market remain, and the biggest buyer of stock is not who you think. Are corporations the ones holding this market together? Feb 12, 2016
Your Hard-Earned Money
Valuentum is releasing its February Best Ideas Newsletter early, February 12, in light of Presidents’ Day weekend. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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