Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Oct 19, 2015

Investment Banking Round Up: Citigroup’s Equity To Rapidly Converge to Tangible Book?
The US financial system remains on solid ground, but we still prefer diversified exposure to the financials sector, if any at all. Citigroup could see shares surge to $60 each in a heartbeat.

Sep 18, 2015

The Fed Freezes; Outlook as Bad as Feared or Worse?
The global economy may be far worse than even some pessimists believe, as the need for a continued ZIRP (zero interest-rate policy) remains the Fed’s tactic, at least for now.

Sep 15, 2015

As the World Turns
We’re keeping our eyes on a number of things. First, we’re monitoring property prices in Shanghai and in other larger Chinese cities to assess the potential calamity that falling housing prices and deflation would have on the country’s banking sector and the likelihood of contagion via the British banks, HSBC and Standard Chartered, and the US ones, namely Citigroup and JP Morgan. Second, we’re watching the price of crude oil closely, as its fall will have huge implications on the earnings trajectory of companies that benefit (airlines, restaurants) as well as the ones that suffer (upstream and energy services). The net effect of falling crude oil prices has thus far been negative for S&P 500 earnings, but this may change as the energy sector becomes an ever-smaller part of index construction. Third, who can forget about the Fed, the expected duration of any tightening monetary cycle, and the resulting implications on dividend-paying stocks as Treasury yields rise?

Sep 4, 2015

Unemployment Rate Falls to 5.1%! Great Times in America!
Historical economic data doesn’t drive the stock market, unfortunately.

Sep 2, 2015

Extreme Volatility in Crude Oil Prices Continues
Saudi Arabia remains undeterred, China weakness spreads, and EIA inventories suggest we’re still awash in crude.

Aug 28, 2015

Forget About the New iPhone; The Banks in China!
Banks operate on confidence, and it has been shattered. We’ve seen this all before.

Aug 24, 2015

The Debt Bubble Is Deflating; Will It Pop?
"What remains to be seen, from our perspective, is whether the collapse in the mining and energy sectors and the crisis in emerging-market currencies will eventually lead to yet another credit crisis, similar to the one that shocked the world in 2008-2009 and brought some well-known names to their knees across the financial sector." -- inside this piece

Jun 27, 2015

Dear member,
The past few weeks have been exciting, to say the least...

Jun 6, 2015

The Global Pandemic of Cybercrime, Cyber Espionage and Cyber Warfare
The latest case of cyber espionage has resulted in the theft of the personal information of more than 4 million government employees. Let’s get a lay of the land of the companies that are poised to help put down such criminal behavior, and how investors can play the secular theme of increased spending to prevent cyberattacks.

May 24, 2015

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 22
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 22. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header.