Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Facebook Reports 2+ Billion Daily Users Across Its Platforms
Image Source: Book Catalog. After a rough stretch for shares, Facebook’s third quarter report has helped breathe some life into the stock as the company continues to grow at a robust double-digit rate and free cash flow generation remains superb.

Oct 20, 2018

Netflix’s Strong Subscriber Growth and Sizable Cash Burn Continue
Image Source: NodStrum Tech.Streaming giant Netflix continues to grow its subscriber base at an impressive rate as it works to achieve sufficient levels of operating leverage, but its free cash flow burn is as significant as ever as financial obligations mount.

Oct 8, 2018

Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Not Bad Thus Far in 2018
Part of what we take pride in at Valuentum is telling things how they are. If things are going great, we let you know. If things aren’t going as good as they could be, we don’t hold back. In the year of crypto and cannabis, 2018 hasn’t been the best year for the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, but it hasn’t been bad either.

Sep 28, 2018

In the News: Tesla’s Musk Charged with Securities Fraud; Facebook’s Security Issue
We continue to stay as far away from Tesla as possible. The company’s stock could still crater even more. It does not have a firm foundation at all. Facebook, despite being under continuous and tremendous scrutiny, is operating on a firm foundation, however. We continue to like shares of the social media giant, despite a recently-disclosed security problem. The more Facebook beefs up security and augments its platform, the bigger its competitive advantages become, as the entry costs for new entrants become even more insurmountable.

Sep 6, 2018

In the News: Musk, Facebook, and GameStop
We’re not sure that Tesla has things figured out. Social media entities, including one of our favorites Facebook, have fallen on hard times given negative sentiment. GameStop could sell itself for a significantly higher price than what the market is currently willing to exchange shares.

Sep 5, 2018

There Is Milk At The Store
"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." -- Winston Churchill

Aug 17, 2018

ICYMI -- Podcast: 2nd Annual Nelson Exclusive Yearly Round Up Call
President of Investment Research at Valuentum Brian Nelson talks the markets, valuations, the economy, the consumer and various other trends from crude oil to cryptocurrency to geopolitical risks to corporate tax reform and beyond. Running time ~25 minutes.

Aug 13, 2018

The Berkshire Breakout
Image shown: Berkshire Hathaway's shares have broken out following the release of its second-quarter 2018 results. We continue to believe Berkshire Hathaway belongs in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have more flexibility to pursue share buybacks, and we’d be flat-out surprised if Berkshire were to buy Southwest outright. Berkshire’s cash balance continues to grow, and we think a stake in Facebook might be the best opportunity for a part of the equity security allocation.

Aug 6, 2018

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution
The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones.

Jul 30, 2018

Facebook: $236 Fair Value Estimate, Now Rated 6 on the Valuentum Buying Index
Image Source: Facebook's second-quarter slide presentation. We were blindsided by Facebook’s outlook, and so was the market. Nobody feels worse about the Facebook idea than we do. Not only was Facebook a top weighting on the Valuentum Buying Index, but it also grew to a rather large position in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. We added Facebook to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio at $112.10 in January 2016, and a good portion of its outsize returns have been eroded since its peak at ~$220. We still like shares, but for the company to return to top-rated status, the market would have to get behind it in the form of an advancing stock price.

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