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Latest
Valuentum Commentary
Mar 12, 2018
The "Luck" and "Randomness" of Index Funds
If the year-to-year performance of active funds relative to index funds can be considered “random,” so then is the year-to-year performance of index funds relative to active funds, regardless of fees and expenses. Image shown: page 1 of 14. Feb 2, 2018
What Goes Up… Well, You Know the Rest
Groundhog Day proved to be painful for the markets. Though a few companies disappointed with respect to their earnings reports, the real reason for the sell-off is two-fold: the market is overpriced by most metrics and Treasury rates, used within valuation frameworks, are rising. Jan 9, 2018
Microsoft: A Dividend Growth Giant
Image Source: Microsoft. Microsoft is no longer a tech dinosaur. Estimates suggest it is beating Amazon at its own game. We’re huge fans of Microsoft’s free cash flow generation and balance-sheet health and what that means for the dividend. There’s not a lot to dislike about Microsoft, and while the risks are many, few company’s have a stronger business model. Jan 6, 2018
Markets Update: January 5, 2018
Image shown: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has performed incredibly since the news of the election of Donald Trump. We’re off to a great start in the New Year. Let’s see how a few newsletter portfolio ideas are performing. Jan 4, 2018
Intel Facing Selling Pressure Over Security Issue
Image Source: Intel. Dividend Growth and Best Ideas Newsletter idea Intel is facing pressure after reports of a chip flaw surfaced. We’re not overreacting to what may be a transient issue, but we’re monitoring developments like a hawk. Dec 10, 2017
Video: Indexing/Quant Bubble, Pitfalls of Backward Multiple Analysis, and Thoughts on the CAPE Ratio
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about what causes a stock pricing bubble, notes how the "price setters" are disappearing in today's market, explains the pitfalls of backward-looking multiple analysis, and shares his thoughts on the CAPE (cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings) ratio. Running time: ~11 minutes Dec 1, 2017
Shopping for Income Within Retail in a Digital World
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The 2017 holiday shopping season has shown that e-commerce has never been stronger and it will only continue to grow. But there is still potential for income generation among more traditional retailers. Investors must be tremendously discerning in the retail area, however, as margin, and ultimately free cash flow, pressures remain prevalent. We like Walmart, Target, Costco as income ideas in the broader retail space, but TJX Companies and Best Buy may be worth a look, too. We're avoiding the department stores and teen retail like the plague, regardless of their Dividend Cushion ratios. Nov 21, 2017
A “Terrible” Negative Alpha-Generating “Trade” and More
Let’s walk through some of the news before the Thanksgiving holiday, and one of the bigger missteps we made during 2017. Nov 14, 2017
How Have Our “Best Ideas” Performed During 2017?
The top-weighted ideas are getting the job done, while we avoided one of the biggest missteps in all of 2017. We’ve had better years, but 2017 was still a great one. Nov 8, 2017
Alphabet Soars to New Highs, Priceline Tumbles
Image shown: Alphabet’s shares have been surging higher, and we think the move is justified on the basis of our fair value estimate. Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Alphabet continues to drive tremendous fundamental performance via its strength in search, and its pipeline of new opportunities may offer another blockbuster product in the years ahead. Priceline, on the other hand, has been under selling pressure following a disappointing bottom-line outlook for the fourth quarter. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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