Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Nov 19, 2017

Nelson on Bogle, Part I
Image shown: An example illustrating how the dividend is a component of capital appreciation that otherwise would have been achieved had the dividend not been paid. Such a situation applies to both regular and special dividends. "The kind of commentary that makes broad generalizations about expectations of future returns is exactly why people are so eager to get into passive investment strategies. Since the 1920s, it seems as though the individual investor has assumed the stock market was rigged or impossible for average Joes to figure out, but instead of the "I'll get it next time" mentality that was present leading to the crash of '29, individual investors have "evolved" to the point that now the idea is if you can't beat the market, just buy the whole thing. Leaders like Bogle continue to take tremendous shortcuts in explaining forecasts, leaving the average investor like a student trying to copy math homework off a peer that didn't show his/her work. When the test comes around, and the problem is a bit different, the copier is up a creek." -- The Valuentum Team

Oct 31, 2017

Novartis Gearing Up for Growth
 Image Source: Novartis. Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea Novartis continues to grow its free cash flow stream while producing a string of products still in the infancy of their respective growth curves. The pharma/biotech realm remains bedeviled with patent issues that can disrupt cash flow generation once protection is lost, causing us to look for companies positioned for a fresh leg of growth. To that end, let’s take a look at Novartis’ pipeline, near-term potential, and how it relates to its dividend health.

Oct 12, 2017

An Overview on Valuing Junior Biotech Companies -- Does Clovis Fit the Bill?
The biotech industry remains one of the most fascinating yet perplexing industries for investors. Anecdotes of the entry-stage biotech with a home-run new therapy are often romanticized, but the reality is the vast majority of molecules fail in various stages of clinical testing.  Due to the boom-bust nature of the industry, many are wary of investing in the space, and traditional valuation metrics are not as useful due to a large number of such speculative entities being in the pre-revenue stage. With this in mind, let’s take a glimpse into our thought process when evaluating upstart biotech companies.

Aug 14, 2017

Post-Earnings Update: AbbVie
Image Source: Global Panorama. AbbVie’s top-line performance has been relatively strong (unlike its big pharma peers), translating into a generous dividend--further enhancing the appeal of the equity. But are the company’s attractive fundamentals about to change? Let’s take a look at AbbVie’s fundamentals following its second-quarter report, released July 28.

Aug 7, 2017

Generic Drug Price Deflation Continues to Weigh on Shares of Teva
Shares of former Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Teva Pharmaceuticals have come under renewed selling pressure after reporting weak quarterly results due largely to deflationary price pressures felt in the generic drug division. Teva has been relatively powerless in stopping the trend. We had removed the shares from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio well before the last leg down, and the Dividend Cushion ratio warned of tremendous risk to the sustainability of the dividend far in advance.

Aug 3, 2017

Video: Explaining the Valuentum Buying Index
The Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) stands on the shoulders of giants in finance in uncovering investment ideas.

Jul 31, 2017

A Review of Johnson and Johnson’s Pharmaceutical Division
Image Source: J&J. Let’s take a deep dive into Johnson and Johnson’s pharmaceutical division Janssen Pharmaceuticals. Janssen traditionally serves as an area of clinical innovation adding an element of growth to the more stable product categories such as consumer health. However, there may be a few cracks in the Janssen revenue stream that could make growth at J&J harder to come by over the next few years.

Jul 31, 2017

Amgen’s Pipeline Continues to Disappoint
Image Source: Amgen. The ability to generate commercially-viable products via the clinical pipeline is crucial to grow profits and offset revenue declines from the loss of patent protection. We remain unimpressed with the progress shown thus far by biotech stalwart Amgen. Let’s review the clinical pipeline along with a consideration of the recently-released earnings report.

May 4, 2017

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More
Valuentum's President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing.

May 1, 2017

Big Pharma, Big Dividends: Earnings Update Featuring Eli Lilly, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and AbbVie
Image Source: Drugs.com. Let’s dive into some recent developments and earnings reports from three big pharma players with meaningful income considerations.