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Valuentum Commentary
Sep 11, 2019
Economic Roundtable: “Value” Versus “Growth” Rotation
“This kind of trading activity could be setting the stage for a big quant fund blow up, if the kind of leverage it takes to move the markets to this magnitude was applied. All it may take is for the B/M “value” factor to continue to suffer in the coming 12-18 months--it’s possible we could see a few quant firms go belly up. My guess is that market participants are paying very close attention to this activity, and if they “smell blood,” things could get ugly.” – Brian Nelson, CFA Sep 5, 2019
Valuentum’s Economic Roundtable: Trade War, Factors and Beyond
The markets rallied hard September 5 on relief that the US and China will go back to the negotiations table next month. This back-and-forth news cycle is enough to give any investor whiplash. Let’s catch up with the Valuentum Team on the latest developments, not only with the trade war but also with respect to factor investing, possible bubbles and beyond. Sep 4, 2019
The "Hierarchy" of Valuentum Idea Generation
Image: The Valuentum Buying Index rating scale.Let's talk about this hierarchy of idea generation in this note. Aug 29, 2019
Where Are the Safe Havens?
"We believe that staying diversified as in holding a broad swath of ideas as in either the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio or Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as the equity portion of one’s allocation makes a lot of sense in any environment...High yield dividend investing may become more and more popular in coming years as rates across the globe approach 0%, and the amount of negative-yielding debt proliferates." -- Brian Nelson, CFA Aug 20, 2019
Nvidia Beats Low Expectations and Shares are Rewarded Accordingly
Image Source: Nvidia Corporation - IR Presentation. Nvidia beat low expectations and its share price was rewarded accordingly, keeping in mind NVDA trades well off its 2018 highs. Our fair value estimate for NVDA stands at $184 per share, meaningfully above where shares are trading at, as of this writing. We are staying away from the name given risks associated with its purchase of Mellanox, weakness in data center demand in the face of trade war concerns and the synchronized slowdown in global economic activity, and in light of Nvidia’s low VBI rating. We think there are better investment opportunities out there, but we can respect that Nvidia is showing promising signs of improvement. Aug 18, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Broad Line Semiconductor Industry
Image Source: Laineema. We've optimized our technology coverage. Aug 13, 2019
Thought Piece: The Hidden Advantage
Image Source: Kamilla Oliveira. As activist investing proliferates, investors are becoming more and more familiar with celebrity investing gurus such as Carl Icahn and David Einhorn. Let’s examine how these investing giants have carved out a unique structural advantage over mom-and-pop investors. This article was originally published in June 2014. Aug 12, 2019
Intel Seeks 5G Network and IoT Growth to Offset Data Center Weakness
Image Source: Picture taken by the author. We still like Intel but are closely monitoring the news for any material changes to the ongoing US-China trade war, particularly as it relates to how that could impact Intel’s future financial performance. Our fair value estimate for Intel stands at $53/share. Aug 7, 2019
Join the Conversation on the Market Plunge
The Valuentum team shares its thoughts on the recent surge in volatility and collapse in interest rates amid a trade and currency war between two of the largest economies in the world, the US and China. Jul 25, 2019
Google, Intel -- Yes!
Let's talk Google and Intel, remind you that we've removed Chipotle, Xilinx, and Boeing from the newsletter portfolios some time ago. I'll talk a little about PayPal's run higher and address some other themes, including contingent liabilities with J&J and 3M. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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