Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Jun 25, 2025

Exxon Mobil’s Shares Have Been Choppy of Late
Image: Exxon Mobil’s shares have been choppy of late. Exxon Mobil continues to be shareholder friendly while it exercises cost discipline. Shareholder distributions in the quarter totaled $9.1 billion, consisting of $4.3 billion of dividends and $4.8 billion of share repurchases. The oil and gas giant has now achieved $12.7 billion of cumulative structural cost savings versus 2019, with $0.6 billion of cost savings achieved during the quarter. Management expects to deliver $18 billion of cumulative savings through the end of 2030 versus 2019. Free cash flow in the quarter was $8.84 billion, and the company ended the quarter with industry-leading debt-to-capital and net-debt-to-capital ratios. We like Exxon Mobil as energy exposure in a diversified portfolio, but we don’t include shares in any newsletter portfolio at this time. Shares yield 3.5% at the time of this writing.

Jun 22, 2025

J.M. Smucker Sets Fiscal 2026 Earnings Outlook Below Consensus
Image: J.M. Smucker’s shares have been under pressure of late. Looking to its fiscal year 2026 outlook, J.M. Smucker’s net sales are targeted to increase 2%-4% with adjusted earnings per share in the range of $8.50-$9.50 versus consensus of $10.25 per share. Comparable net sales are expected to increase approximately 3.5%-5.5%, which excludes noncomparable sales in the prior year related to the divestitures of the Voortman business and certain Sweet Baked Snacks value brands. Free cash flow is targeted at $875 million for the year, considering capital expenditures of $325 million. Shares yield 4.5% at the time of this writing.

Jun 21, 2025

Realty Income’s Monthly Dividend Is Durable
Image Source: Realty Income. Looking to 2025, Realty Income largely reiterated its prior guidance, with the exception of net income per share being lowered to the range of $1.40-$1.46 from $1.52-$1.58 previously. Adjusted funds from operations was reiterated in the range of $4.22-$4.28 per share for the year with same store rent growth of approximately 1%. Occupancy is targeted at over 98% while investment volume is expected to be approximately $4 billion. We like the durability of Realty Income’s monthly dividend, with shares yielding 5.7% at the time of this writing.

Jun 21, 2025

Johnson & Johnson Remains an Innovation Powerhouse
Image Source: Johnson & Johnson. J&J generated free cash flow of ~$3.4 billion in the first quarter compared to $2.85 billion in the year-ago period. Looking to full year 2025 guidance, J&J reiterated its adjusted operational sales growth target in the range of 2%-3%, but it raised its operational sales growth expectations to the range of 3.3%-4.3% from 2.5%-3.5% previously and its estimated reported sales growth guidance to the range of 2.6%-3.6% from 0.5%-1.5% previously. It lowered its adjusted operational earnings per share guidance for the year, but it maintained its adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance in the range of $10.50-$10.70, reflecting 6.2% growth at the midpoint. Shares yield 3.5% at the time of this writing.

Jun 20, 2025

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 20
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Jun 19, 2025

Lennar Sees Softness in Housing Market
Image Source: TradingView. On June 16, Lennar Corp. reported mixed fiscal second quarter results with revenue beating the consensus forecast but non-GAAP earnings per share missing the consensus mark. Total revenues fell to $8.4 billion in the quarter from $8.8 billion in the year-ago period, while second quarter net earnings, excluding mark-to-market losses on technology investments were $499 million, or $1.90 per share, compared to $3.38 per share in the same period a year ago.

Jun 19, 2025

Adobe Raises Guidance Due to AI Strength
Image: Adobe’s stock has been choppy the past few years. Adobe’s cash flow from operations was $2.19 billion in the fiscal second quarter, and the firm exited the period with $19.69 billion Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), with current accounting for 67% of them. During the quarter, Adobe repurchased approximately 8.6 million shares. Looking to all of fiscal year 2025, total revenue is targeted in the range of $23.5-$23.6 billion, better than the consensus estimate of $23.45 billion, while non-GAAP earnings per share is expected in the range of $20.50-$20.70 versus consensus of $20.36. We like Adobe's fundamentals, but don't include shares in any newsletter portfolio.

Jun 13, 2025

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 13
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Jun 12, 2025

Oracle Expects Accelerated Growth in Fiscal 2026
Image: Oracle’s shares have broken out to new all-time highs. On June 11, Oracle reported better than expected fourth quarter fiscal 2025 results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share exceeding the consensus forecasts. Total revenue was up 11% in the quarter, while the company posted non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.70, up from $1.63 in last year’s quarter and better than the consensus forecast of $1.64. Non-GAAP operating income was $7.0 billion, up 5% in USD and up 4% in constant currency. Fourth quarter remaining performance obligations jumped 41%, to $138 billion. Operating cash flow was $20.8 billion during fiscal year 2025, up 12% in USD.

Jun 10, 2025

Salesforce Raises Full Year Revenue Guidance, Announces Plans to Acquire Informatica
Image: Salesforce’s shares have been choppy the past few years. Salesforce initiated second quarter fiscal 2026 revenue guidance calling for growth of 7%-8% in constant currency, while it raised its full-year revenue guidance to the range of $41-$41.3 billion, up 8% in constant currency and the range above the consensus forecast at the time of the report. Salesforce maintained its full year GAAP and non-GAAP operating margin guidance, as well as its full year operating cash flow guidance of approximately 10%-11% year-over-year growth. Free cash flow is targeted at 9%-10% year-over-year growth for the full year, while non-GAAP earnings per share is expected in the range of $11.27-$11.33 versus consensus of $11.17 per share at the time of the report. We liked Salesforce’s strong first quarter fiscal 2026 results and its raised full year revenue guidance. We have no qualms with its announced acquisition of Informatica, but we don’t include shares in any newsletter portfolio. Shares yield 0.6% at the time of this writing.