Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Jan 26, 2016

Not Doom and Gloom – But Just Cautious…
Let’s go around the world in this note…

Jan 19, 2016

Excited About Putting Cash to Work…Eventually
Patience is so important in selecting entry points. You wouldn’t overpay for a bag of groceries, so why would you overpay for stock? Wait for the right price because you might just get it in this market.

Oct 19, 2015

Investment Banking Round Up: Citigroup’s Equity To Rapidly Converge to Tangible Book?
The US financial system remains on solid ground, but we still prefer diversified exposure to the financials sector, if any at all. Citigroup could see shares surge to $60 each in a heartbeat.

Sep 18, 2015

The Fed Freezes; Outlook as Bad as Feared or Worse?
The global economy may be far worse than even some pessimists believe, as the need for a continued ZIRP (zero interest-rate policy) remains the Fed’s tactic, at least for now.

Sep 15, 2015

As the World Turns
We’re keeping our eyes on a number of things. First, we’re monitoring property prices in Shanghai and in other larger Chinese cities to assess the potential calamity that falling housing prices and deflation would have on the country’s banking sector and the likelihood of contagion via the British banks, HSBC and Standard Chartered, and the US ones, namely Citigroup and JP Morgan. Second, we’re watching the price of crude oil closely, as its fall will have huge implications on the earnings trajectory of companies that benefit (airlines, restaurants) as well as the ones that suffer (upstream and energy services). The net effect of falling crude oil prices has thus far been negative for S&P 500 earnings, but this may change as the energy sector becomes an ever-smaller part of index construction. Third, who can forget about the Fed, the expected duration of any tightening monetary cycle, and the resulting implications on dividend-paying stocks as Treasury yields rise?

Sep 2, 2015

Extreme Volatility in Crude Oil Prices Continues
Saudi Arabia remains undeterred, China weakness spreads, and EIA inventories suggest we’re still awash in crude.

Sep 1, 2015

Batten Down the Hatches – Another US Market Crash Probable
The aftermath of China’s equity market collapse and the Dow’s crash last week will have material spillover effects.

Aug 28, 2015

Forget About the New iPhone; The Banks in China!
Banks operate on confidence, and it has been shattered. We’ve seen this all before.

May 4, 2015

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 1
Let's take a look at the list of firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Jan 16, 2015

We Need To Bring Back Respect To This Industry
The financial industry has been mired in avoidable embarassments from glorified commercials to encouraging overleveraged risk-taking. Valuentum's President Brian Nelson talks about how investors have lost respect for investment professionals during the past decade, and why the industry must reinvent itself to properly serve its core customer.