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Feb 15, 2018
Cisco Rallies Big Time!
Image shown: Performance of the S&P 500 (SPY) since August 2017. As US equities continue their newly-found volatility, let’s take a look at some recent earnings reports and other developments around the markets. Cisco, the workhorse of both simulated newsletter portfolios, put up a fantastic report and upped its dividend. Berkshire continues to love Apple, and we maintain the view that the 10-year Treasury rate may be the greatest determinant of how well stocks perform in the coming decades. Airlines, garbage stocks, the “gas tax,” and more. Feb 12, 2018
Stocks Stage Comeback, US Government Budget Released
Image shown: The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since September 2017.The market continues to lick its wounds following the sell-off. We’re watching interest rates and technicals for signs where the market may go next. Feb 9, 2018
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending February 9
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Feb 8, 2018
Rising Risk Free Rates Threatening Market, Removing CVS and Hanesbrands
The most important variable to keep your eye on, the 10-year Treasury, is rising, and the long-term implications on equity values could be considerable. We don’t think the moves thus far have been too disruptive, but continued concerns over US tax receipts and infrastructure/defense spending could send sovereign yields roaring higher. As fourth-quarter earnings season marches on, let’s take a look at some meaningful recent quarterly reports. We’re also shedding two companies from the simulated newsletter portfolios. Feb 8, 2018
The Turnaround at Novartis Has Begun
Image Source: Novartis. We believe Novartis is poised to accelerate from the patent cliff caused by the loss of protection of Gleevec, its former top-selling product. The company has a stellar dividend growth history, and the market is anticipating a turnaround once it anniversaries the patent cliff. Feb 7, 2018
Hasbro, Boeing Pop as Market Bounces Back
Image Source: US Missile Defense Agency. June 22, 2014 - The Missile Defense Agency's Flight Test 06b Ground-Based Interceptor launches from Vandenberg Air Force Base, Calif. on June 22, 2014. The markets have finally been getting the volatility that we’ve all been waiting for, and we don’t like the idea that the market is now trading more like a cryptocurrency. Granted, it’s important to stay focused over a long-term time horizon, which irons out the ups and downs, but there’s just something about 1,000+ daily swings on the Dow Jones Industrial Average that really doesn’t sit well with us, regardless of what that implies with respect to the percentage change. Can you imagine -- All of this over just a couple basis point increase in the 10-year and one very, very small ETF losing most of its value? What if something truly material happens? This market is fragile. Feb 6, 2018
Newsletter Portfolio Idea GM Powers Higher, Markets Calm Down…a Bit
The US markets still faced quite a bit of volatility during the trading session February 6, but it wasn’t anything compared to the bloodbath from Groundhog Day and the subsequent Monday. We can only hope that the worst has passed, but it probably hasn’t. Feb 5, 2018
Dropping Coverage of the Homebuilders Industry
Image Source: ArmchairBuilder.com. We are dropping coverage of the homebuilders industry to allocate resources elsewhere. Jan 31, 2018
Boeing!
Image shown: Boeing's shares have been rocketing higher of late! We couldn’t be more pleased with how one of our best ideas for consideration has performed: Boeing! Jan 29, 2018
The 10-year US Treasury Yield, Trump and Trade and More
We continue to pay very close attention to the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield as it has implications on borrowing costs and discount rates across valuation methodologies.
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