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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jun 4, 2018
Solar Not So Hot
Image Source: zak zak. Though First Solar stands alone as one of the stronger players in the solar space, we think the industry backdrop is among the weakest in our coverage universe. We’re huge fans of clean renewable energy but separating what we want to be a good industry like solar from an industry that actually has strong structural characteristics is a key component of being a good investor. Oftentimes, it is better to own an average company in a great industry than a good company in one of the worst industries out there.
Jun 4, 2018
RE: Energy Transfer Partners: Why You Shouldn’t Worry, DEC 19, 2015
Image shown: The performance of Energy Transfer Partners (ETP) since we warned about the MLP space in mid-2015. We’ll never truly know the damage that has been caused by articles written in this spirit across the web, some articles we may not even know about. We thought it appropriate to clarify things in this response, and we’re going to continue to take the high road with everything we do. We hope you appreciate that and find tremendous value in the independent insight that our team of analysts provide.
Jun 1, 2018
Microsoft Now $100+ Per Share
Almost every dividend-related presentation we made around the country, we talked about how much we liked Microsoft as a dividend growth idea. The stock was originally added to the simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio at inception at ~$26 per share, and we started the company out as an 8% position! It means the world to us to let you know that Microsoft’s stock has now surpassed $100 per share! Seriously – could we possibly have done any better with our top dividend growth idea out of the gates?
Jun 1, 2018
The Free Cash Flow Shortfall in the Master Limited Partnership Space
With the recent acceleration of master limited partnership simplification transactions, we find it appropriate to revisit the internally-generated cash flow shortfall present throughout much of the space. The table provides a breakdown of traditional free cash flow (cash from operating activities less all capital spending) relative to distributions paid, as well as a measure of the elevated financial leverage often found within the group.
May 31, 2018
General Motors Pops on SoftBank Deal; Dollar General Drops on Weak Customer Traffic
We continue to believe that General Motors is one of the most attractively priced equity considerations in the market today, on the basis of its dividend yield and price-to-earnings ratio. Though Dollar General’s first-quarter results weren’t up to par, we continue to like the discount retailer. Dollar General may be more resilient than other retailers in the face of e-commerce competition and under a scenario where the economy may head south.
May 30, 2018
Strong Backdrop Driving Homebuilders’ Top Lines But Rising Costs Making Presence Known
Image Source: Montgomery County Planning Commission. Homebuilding stocks have experienced volatility following recent earnings reports from major companies in the industry. The economic backdrop for the group has translated into robust top-line growth, but cost increases have called into question the group’s ability to turn that growth into bottom-line gains, at least for some operators.
May 25, 2018
PPL’s UK Business Provides Drag to Otherwise Strong Earnings
Image Source: Arnoooo. Former simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea PPL Corp turned in strong earnings from ongoing operations growth in the first quarter of 2018 despite its UK segment, its largest business, taking a meaningful step back in the period.
May 23, 2018
Tiffany Rallies 20%+ on 1Q’18 Report; Positive Read-Through for China, High-End Retail Margins
Tiffany’s first-quarter 2018 results were from another planet! Strong increases in comparable store sales almost across the board, blowing by consensus estimates, and the company’s free cash flow outlook has only improved. The read-through is significantly positive for aspirational and luxury players, in our view, and Ralph Lauren’s gross-margin improvement during its quarterly release bodes well for many brands across most of the high-end apparel space. Foreign tourism and high-end consumer spending remain very strong on the basis of Tiffany’s quarterly results, and geopolitical concerns did not impact the breakneck pace of jewelry sales in China or the Korean Peninsula. It’s hard to imagine Tiffany having a better first quarter than it did.
May 23, 2018
Cracker Barrel Raises Dividend; All-in Yield Impressive
Simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea Cracker Barrel reported decent fiscal-third quarter 2018 results and hiked its quarterly payout. The company declared a special dividend in its fiscal third-quarter report, too.
May 21, 2018
Campbell Soup Representative of Weakening Consumer Staples Equities
Image Source: Neil Conway. When our team presented at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017, we warned about the possible coming pressures on consumer staples stocks, and so far, our concerns have come to fruition. Not only have a number of high-profile players in the tobacco and beverage arena soured, but household consumer products and packaged foods players have felt the pain, too. Campbell Soup’s recent fallout has been among the worst. Shares have been halved since mid-2017.


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