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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Dec 27, 2022
Exclusive Call: What To Expect From Valuentum in 2023
Video: 2022 was a successful year by almost every measure from the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and simulated Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to the simulated High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio and Exclusive publication and beyond. There were some disappointments in 2022, of course, but the year showed the value of a Valuentum membership. Join President of Investment Research Brian Nelson on this year's Exclusive conference call to learn what to expect from Valuentum in 2023. Cheers!
Dec 25, 2022
Salesforce Doesn’t Make the Cut for the Newsletter Portfolios
Image: How we rank our favorite ideas. We're huge fans of ideas in the simulated newsletter portfolios and Exclusive publication. We like these ideas better than others on our website. We’re not interested in adding Salesforce to any of the simulated newsletter portfolios at this time, and we’re reiterating our wide fair value estimate range for shares amid executive departures and a weakened software spending environment. Microsoft remains our favorite play on the software space at this time, a company that we include in both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio.
Dec 24, 2022
Raising Our Fair Value Estimate of Dividend Aristocrat Caterpillar
Image: Caterpillar’s financial momentum is impressive. Image Source: Caterpillar. Things are looking good for Caterpillar, and the company’s free cash flow strength continues to support its payout and Dividend Aristocrat status. Caterpillar’s results are cyclical and exhibit operating leverage, which cuts both ways, but the firm’s pricing power is working wonders on its financials at the moment. Higher dealer inventories due in part to timing and labor shortages, foreign currency headwinds, and weakening dynamics in the residential construction market and in Europe and China are concerns, but the company’s strong performance warrants a fair value estimate increase, in our view. Though we like Caterpillar quite a bit, we’re not looking to add shares to any simulated newsletter portfolio at this time, however.
Dec 23, 2022
FedEx’s Revenue Falls, Operating Income Tumbles in Fiscal Second Quarter
Image: FedEx’s forecast for fiscal 2023 earnings have almost been halved since it gave guidance in June of this calendar year. Image Source: FedEx.We thought FedEx would be able to offset weakness in its business with yield and cost savings initiatives, but things have deteriorated even further than what we had been expecting. Revenue faced considerable pressure during the company’s second-quarter fiscal 2023 results, while operating income tumbled more than 60% in the period. The firm has now cut its fiscal 2023 earnings per share forecast practically in half since it gave updated guidance in June of calendar 2022, and its financial targets for fiscal 2025 may be in jeopardy. We’re no longer evaluating FedEx for inclusion in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, despite shares yielding ~2.6% at the time of this writing.
Dec 21, 2022
Nike’s Weak Earnings Growth, Markdowns, and Lofty Inventory Levels Still Telling of a Struggling Consumer
Image Source: Valuentum. Nike’s second-quarter fiscal 2023 earnings report, released December 20, revealed strong revenue growth, but concerns lurked beneath the surface. Gross margin pressure, markdowns, lofty inventory levels, and a decline in reported sales in China were among the many concerns. Nike’s strong brand and close ties with consumers, however, offer key competitive advantages, and while consumer discretionary spending is facing considerable pressure in the near term, Nike remains a strong long-term global story, in our view. Shares yield ~1.3% and are trading modestly above the high end of our fair value estimate range at the time of this writing.
Dec 21, 2022
Our Reports on the Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Our stock reports on the diversified REIT sector can be found in this article. Reports include DLR, FRT, O, REG, SPG, PEAK, OHI, VTR, WELL, PSA, EQIX, CUBE, EXR, IRM.
Dec 20, 2022
Stock Market Locked in Technical Downtrend; Millionaires Expect More Pain in 2023
Image: The stock market has been locked in a downtrend through all of 2022, and the latest bull trap has spoiled the Santa Claus rally. 2023 may be an equally rough year. This market just doesn’t want to go higher in the near term, and the latest bull trap wasn’t encouraging at all. We think long term investors should stay the course, but it is looking more and more like we won’t see a stock market bottom until sometime in 2023. Santa brought coal this year.
Dec 16, 2022
Waste Management’s Free Cash Flow Facing Pressure from Sustainability Initiatives
Image Source: Waste Management’s 2022 Sustainability Report. 2023 will mark the 20th consecutive year that Waste Management has increased its dividend payout. Though free cash flow is facing pressure due to its sustainability growth initiatives that are driving total capital expenditures higher, the company’s valuable disposal capacity and pricing power across its municipal solid waste operations are a couple qualities that we like. Shares are trading about in line with our fair value estimate at the moment, as they boast a ~1.6% forward estimated annual dividend yield.
Dec 13, 2022
Oracle Puts Up Huge Revenue Growth Number in Second Quarter Fiscal 2023 Results
Image: Trailing four-quarter free cash flow trends at Oracle are strong but lumpy. Image Source: Oracle. On December 12, Oracle Corporation reported better than expected second quarter fiscal 2023 results for the three months ended November 30. Total revenue advanced 18% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis, leaping 25% in constant currency, thanks in part to strong performance at its infrastructure and application cloud businesses. Non-GAAP operating income increased 5%--and 12% in constant currency--and its non-GAAP operating margin was 41% in the period. Fiscal second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.21 beat the consensus estimate, despite foreign currency headwinds. We liked that we saw in the quarterly results, and we’ll be sticking with the company as one of our best ideas.
Dec 10, 2022
Honeywell's ESG Efforts May Benefit from More Board Diversity and Moving Beyond Its Asbestos-Saddled Past
Image: Honeywell continues to put together a long resume of ESG highlights. Image Source: Honeywell’s Environmental, Social and Governance Report. Honeywell’s 100+ page Environmental Social and Governance Report for 2022 is a tremendous resource that indicates Honeywell means business when it comes to ESG-related efforts. The firm has a lot of work to do to get to carbon neutral by 2035, and we’d like to see a more diverse board and perhaps more reasonable compensation at the top, but the trajectory for ESG considerations at Honeywell is moving in the right direction. Prior asbestos-related issues weigh heavily on our ESG assessment of Honeywell, but we expect continued improvement across all areas of ESG in the years to come at the firm.


The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.