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Aug 18, 2019
Investors Aren’t Sold on Lear’s Ostensibly “Cheap” Valuation and Neither Are We
Image Shown: While Lear Corporation appears attractive at first glance, its technical performance tells a different story. The market is concerned that the global synchronized downturn that has emerged will get worse, which would weigh on Lear’s expected financial trajectory. Global automotive sales are already coming under pressure, and there’s not much Lear, as a leading auto parts supplier, can do about that. We think the market might be right on this one. While Lear appears cheap at first glance, we think this is another Value Trap. Aug 18, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Broad Line Semiconductor Industry
Image Source: Laineema. We've optimized our technology coverage. Aug 16, 2019
Ebix Might Be a Value Trap
Image Source: Ebix Inc -- IR Presentation. We think Ebix, even after its fall, has the makings of a value trap, and we caution our readers that there may be better opportunities out there. Why catch a falling knife with a low dividend yield? Aug 15, 2019
Macy’s Cuts Guidance, Dividend Cut Could Be on the Horizon
Image Shown: Macy’s cut adjusted EPS guidance for FY2019, which implies a material drop from its FY2018 performance. Flat revenue guidance, gross margin pressure, and rising SG&A expenses all signal there’s likely more pain yet to come. Image Source: Macy’s – IR Presentation. We are staying far away from Macy’s and most retailers in general, but continue to like Dollar General Corporation as the nimble retailer has posted stellar performance since joining the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio in April 2017. Aug 14, 2019
A Tale of Two Big Agricultural Industries: Protein Producers Win and Farm Equipment Manufacturers Lose After Recent USDA Report
Image Shown: The tale of two big agricultural companies in one chart, with shares of poultry producer Sanderson Farms Inc (SAFM) shooting up on Monday, August 12, as chicken feed prices fell after a recent USDA report (which sent corn prices sharply lower) while shares of agricultural equipment manufacturer AGCO Corporation (AGCO) tanked as the market priced in continued pressure on US farm incomes and the dynamic impact that has on demand for farm equipment. We are monitoring the agricultural industry but don’t have any agricultural-oriented equities in our Best Ideas Newsletter or Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios for a reason. In the short- to medium-term, the space will continue to experience volatility as the next chapter of the US-China trade war unfolds. Aug 13, 2019
Thought Piece: The Hidden Advantage
Image Source: Kamilla Oliveira. As activist investing proliferates, investors are becoming more and more familiar with celebrity investing gurus such as Carl Icahn and David Einhorn. Let’s examine how these investing giants have carved out a unique structural advantage over mom-and-pop investors. This article was originally published in June 2014. Aug 12, 2019
DXC Technology’s Guidance Cut Highlights the Value of VBI
Combining technical/momentum indicators with undervalued stocks can help you avoid value traps, and that's exactly what the Valuentum Buying Index did with DXC Technology recently. The VBI helped us avoid a catastrophe. Aug 12, 2019
Intel Seeks 5G Network and IoT Growth to Offset Data Center Weakness
Image Source: Picture taken by the author. We still like Intel but are closely monitoring the news for any material changes to the ongoing US-China trade war, particularly as it relates to how that could impact Intel’s future financial performance. Our fair value estimate for Intel stands at $53/share. Aug 11, 2019
In the News: Amazon, GE, Kraft-Heinz, Disney, CVS Health, Gilead
We're reiterating the large range of fair value outcomes for Amazon. We're staying far away from General Electric and Kraft-Heinz. Netflix may have its back against the ropes with Disney Plus. CVS Health and Gilead were two setbacks in the newsletter portfolios in the past, but we kept losses to a minimum and new ideas more than offset the weakness. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio continues to do very well. Aug 8, 2019
Booking Holdings Pops, Still Underpriced
Image Source: Valuentum’s forecasts for Booking Holdings’ free cash flow.Booking Holdings, formerly Priceline, reported solid second-quarter 2019 results. We continue to believe this Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding is undervalued. Our fair value estimate stands at ~$2,130+.
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Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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