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Sep 11, 2019
Why We Like BIN Holding Visa So Much
Recent volatility in Visa’s share price aside, the long-term trajectory of this company is sound and shares of Visa trade modestly below our fair value estimate at this time. We like the strong upward momentum in Visa’s share price year-to-date and expect that shares of V could test the upper bounds of our fair value range (as it stands today) over time. Sep 10, 2019
Consider This Blue Chip High Yield Dividend Play
Shares of AT&T moved higher on September 9 after hedge fund manager Elliott Management, run by multibillionaire activist investor Paul Singer, disclosed a $3.2 billion stake in the firm. The hedge fund has big plans for AT&T and is pushing for changes at the telecommunications, media, and entertainment company. Sep 6, 2019
DGN Holding Realty Income Continues Moving Higher
We like Realty Income and think there’s room for additional upside. As growth in global economic activity continues slowing down, weakening demand for US exports and hurting business confidence, the Federal Reserve is increasingly leaning towards additional rate cuts. REITs are major beneficiaries of a lower interest rate environment, especially those with top quality investment grade credit ratings and nice long growth runways like Realty Income. Sep 6, 2019
Shares of DGN Holding Digital Realty Climbing Upwards
Image Source: Digital Realty Trust -- IR Presentation. Digital Realty is trading right above the top end of our fair value estimate range as of this writing, but we are keeping this holding in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio given its strong technical performance. We think excitement over the prospect of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates will continue to drive shares of higher yielding names higher, which includes high-quality data center REITs like Digital Realty. Sep 5, 2019
Valuentum’s Economic Roundtable: Trade War, Factors and Beyond
The markets rallied hard September 5 on relief that the US and China will go back to the negotiations table next month. This back-and-forth news cycle is enough to give any investor whiplash. Let’s catch up with the Valuentum Team on the latest developments, not only with the trade war but also with respect to factor investing, possible bubbles and beyond. Sep 5, 2019
The Valuentum Strategy in Action: Why We Are Letting BIN Holding Dollar General Run Higher
Image Shown: Best Ideas Newsletter holding Dollar General Corporation jumped up after posting great performance during the second quarter of its fiscal 2019 on August 29. The company has trounced the market return since it was added to the Best Ideas Newsletter in April 2017. We are letting this winner run higher.We are letting Dollar General run higher because we think the market is just as optimistic, or maybe even more so, on the company’s prospects than we are, indicating there’s room for further capital appreciation. If Dollar General ever wanted to augment its dividend growth story, the firm could pare back its annual share repurchases to make room for significant per share dividend increases. Sep 4, 2019
The "Hierarchy" of Valuentum Idea Generation
Image: The Valuentum Buying Index rating scale.Let's talk about this hierarchy of idea generation in this note. Sep 3, 2019
Triple-A Rated J&J’s Opioid Liabilities Likely More Than Priced In
Image Source: J&J. Shares of J&J have settled into the high-$120s at the time of this writing, well below our ~$150 fair value estimate. We’re going to stick with J&J in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio at this time. Aug 29, 2019
Where Are the Safe Havens?
"We believe that staying diversified as in holding a broad swath of ideas as in either the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio or Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as the equity portion of one’s allocation makes a lot of sense in any environment...High yield dividend investing may become more and more popular in coming years as rates across the globe approach 0%, and the amount of negative-yielding debt proliferates." -- Brian Nelson, CFA Aug 28, 2019
Smucker Cuts Guidance with Weakness Widespread
Image Source: J.M. Smucker Company -- IR Presentation. Smucker’s revenue and earnings both missed estimates for the quarter ended July 31, while management lowered the company’s full year guidance for fiscal 2020. We've taken a close look at our valuation model, but we haven't made any material changes to the fair value estimate.
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Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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