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Valuentum Commentary
Mar 22, 2018
Trump Targets China with Tariffs
Image: Shanghai, China (December 2016), Andrey Filippov. Stock markets in the US are slowly building in the prospect of retaliation (a “trade war”) from China, as a result of President Trump’s new tariffs. We maintain our view that the stock market has been frothy for some time, and the recent volatility may just be the beginning of a reversion to normalized valuations, with or without concerns about global trade. Mar 12, 2018
The "Luck" and "Randomness" of Index Funds
If the year-to-year performance of active funds relative to index funds can be considered “random,” so then is the year-to-year performance of index funds relative to active funds, regardless of fees and expenses. Image shown: page 1 of 14. Mar 7, 2018
Protectionists Gaining Control, Implications on Europe and China
It looks like the US-imposed tariffs are moving forward, and we’re starting to hear chatter about retaliation from Europe. Could China be next? Canada and Mexico may be exempt from the tariffs, however. Mar 1, 2018
Trump’s Tariffs Ignite Concerns about Protectionism, Rising Input Costs
Image Source: Michael Vadon. President Trump is making true on his promise to protect the domestic steel and aluminum industries. Input costs may move higher for many global industrials, and the long-term implications of protectionist policy will be tested. We’re not expecting retaliation, but we can’t rule it out either. Rising rates remain our primary concern. Feb 27, 2018
Buffett’s Berkshire, Corporate Buybacks on Pace for Record; Lithium, Steel Prices on the Move
Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway, Shareholder Letter (2017). “Fifteen common stock investments at year end that had the largest market value.” “The less the prudence with which others conduct their affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must conduct our own.” – Warren Buffett, Shareholder Letter (2017) Feb 23, 2018
In the News: General Mills, Realty Income, Energy Transfer
General Mills makes a big deal, Realty Income delivers, while Energy Transfer tries to battle back to even. Feb 18, 2018
Subscribe: The Nelson Exclusive Is Simply One of a Kind
“I think the Nelson Exclusive publication is worth far more than what we charge for it, and we’re making it even better.” Feb 12, 2018
Stocks Stage Comeback, US Government Budget Released
Image shown: The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since September 2017.The market continues to lick its wounds following the sell-off. We’re watching interest rates and technicals for signs where the market may go next. Jan 5, 2018
Admit It: You Know Nothing About the Dividend
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about how the concept of a dividend is completely miscontrued due to societal and cultural reasons, but he also explains why he likes dividends. Warning: He's going to bust out Monopoly pieces. You don't want to miss this! Running time: ~15 minutes. Dec 24, 2017
I Love Dividends But the Dividend Discount Model is DEAD!
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson gives a plethora of reasons why the dividend discount model is dead and expresses his worries about how it continues to be used academically and professionally. Also included is a discussion about why the weighted average cost of capital, or the WACC, is used in the enterprise free cash flow valuation process, or the free cash flow to the firm process. Running time: ~13 minutes. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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