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Jul 11, 2024
PepsiCo Adjusts Organic Revenue Growth Guidance
Image: PepsiCo’s shares have been choppy since the beginning of 2022. We’re not reading too much into PepsiCo's modest downward organic revenue growth guidance revision for 2024 (approximated 4% versus at least 4%), as the firm's underlying profitability remains strong, with expectations for at least 8% core constant currency expansion in 2024. Total cash returns to shareholders is targeted at $8.2 billion for 2024, consisting of dividends of $7.2 billion and share repurchases of $1 billion. For the 24 weeks ended June 15, PepsiCo had negative free cash flow, while it retained a hefty net debt position on the balance sheet. Though PepsiCo is not a net-cash-rich, free cash flow generating powerhouse, we like the diversification benefits it provides in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Jul 8, 2024
3 High Dividend Yielders for Consideration
Image: Energy Transfer, Philip Morris, and Altria have outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 Dividend ETF since the beginning of 2024. The market remains laser-focused on inflation readings and employment trends – two of the main dynamics that influence policy at the Federal Reserve. Since the beginning of 2024, the market has ratcheted down expectations of rate cuts from as many as 5 or 6 to just 1 or 2 in 2024. With yields on risk-free instruments poised to go lower soon, a focus on high yielding equities may be appropriate for the income investor. Here are three high dividend yielders that we like for consideration. Jul 6, 2024
Constellation Brands’ Beer Business Continues to Propel Results
Image Source: Constellation Brands. On July 3, alcoholic beverages giant Constellation Brands reported mixed first quarter fiscal 2025 results, where revenue came in a bit light relative to expectations, but non-GAAP earnings per share was better than the consensus forecast. Comparable net sales increased 6%, while comparable operating income jumped 12%. Comparable earnings per share advanced 17%, to $3.57. Shares yield ~1.6% at the time of this writing. Jul 3, 2024
High Yield Dividend Income Investing Is Not as Easy as Chasing the Highest Yield
Image: EpicTop10.com. The skills to successfully invest for long-term capital gains or long-term dividend growth are much different than those required for generating high yield dividend income. Income investing is a much different proposition. However, the skills do center on a similar equity evaluation process, but one that requires an acknowledgement and heightened awareness of considerably greater downside risks. Income investing, or high yield dividend income investing, should at times be considered among the riskiest forms of investing, as many high dividend-yielding securities tend to trade closer to the characteristics of junk-rated bonds than they do most net cash rich and free cash flow generating powerhouses that we like so much in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Jul 1, 2024
Boeing to Acquire Spirit AeroSystems
Image: Boeing’s shares have traded sideways the past few years as it works to fix safety issues. Boeing benefits from its global oligopoly with Airbus, but the company is in a world of hurt at the moment. Looking at its first-quarter results shows a sizable core non-GAAP net loss per share, operating cash flow burn of $3.4 billion, as well as free cash flow burn of $3.9 billion. We think the near term will continue to be difficult for Boeing as it struggles to right the ship, but a more bullish take will point to its total company backlog of $539 billion, which includes 5,600+ commercial airplanes, as one reason to be optimistic. To us, however, Boeing continues to be a show-me story, and we remain on the sidelines with respect to shares. Jun 28, 2024
Nike’s Revenue Under Pressure
Image: Nike’s shares have languished of late, and a comeback will take some time. Nike retains one of the strongest brand names across our coverage universe, and customer loyalty remains a key attribute to a bull case for shares. However, the company’s fiscal 2025 will be challenging, with considerable weakness during the first quarter of fiscal 2025. We like Nike’s business model, but we remain on the sidelines as we adjust our valuation model to reflect the lower-than-expected fiscal 2025 performance. Jun 27, 2024
Shares of Walgreens Boots Alliance Collapse
Image: Walgreens’ shares have been under constant pressure for some time now. On June 27, Walgreens Boots Alliance reported mixed third quarter results for fiscal 2024. Though net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow improved in the fiscal third quarter, the better cash management was overshadowed by lowered guidance. The company lowered its fiscal 2024 adjusted earnings per share guidance to the range of $2.80-$2.95 “reflecting challenging pharmacy industry trends and a worse-than-expected U.S. consumer environment.” Consensus had been looking for $3.22 per share in adjusted earnings for the fiscal year. We’re not interested in Walgreens at all and think the worst may still be ahead for the company. Shares yield ~8.5% at the time of this writing. Jun 26, 2024
FedEx’s Cost Initiatives Drive Strong Fiscal 2025 Guidance
Image Source: FedEx. On June 25, FedEx reported better than expected fourth quarter results for fiscal 2024. The company continues to focus on becoming more efficient, closing facilities as well as retiring inefficient aircraft. Shares yield ~2.1% at the time of this writing. Jun 25, 2024
Carnival Corp. Experiencing Strong Demand Trends
Image: Carnival Corp.’s shares have bounced from its 2022 lows, but the company has yet to return to new highs, despite strong bookings demand. On June 25, Carnival Corp. reported better-than-expected second quarter results for fiscal 2024. The company is experiencing strong bookings momentum and generated record booking volumes for 2025 sailings. The strong demand is facilitating higher prices (in constant currency) for orders taken during 2024 and its most recently completed second quarter, in particular. Jun 24, 2024
FactSet Research Reveals Softness on Top Line
Image: FactSet’s shares have been choppy the past couple years. On June 21, FactSet Research reported mixed third-quarter fiscal 2024 results that showed revenue increasing 4.3%, in-line with expectations, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $4.37, up 15.3% from last year’s quarter and better than what the Street was looking for. Quarterly free cash flow was $216.9 million, up 12.6%. FactSet’s recent 6% dividend increase marked the 25th consecutive year the firm has raised its dividend on a stock split-adjusted basis. Shares yield ~1%.
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