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Valuentum Commentary
Jan 15, 2020
Visa Enhances Its Long-Term Outlook
On January 13, top weighted Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Visa announced it was buying financial tech company Plaid for $5.3 billion. Plaid primarily offers a network that allows consumers to connect financial accounts to apps securely and safely, meaning that when a consumer downloads a mobile financial-oriented app to their phone (for example), Plaid is the company that ensures a smooth connection between app and the relevant financial institution when it comes to transferring information and ultimately money. What’s important about this acquisition is that Visa, once again, is showcasing its ability to spot and capitalize on high quality opportunities within the financial services space. Jan 4, 2020
Valuentum Exclusive Success Rates Trump Even the Best Quant Hedge Funds
Image: President of Investment Research Brian Nelson, CFA. A new book, “The Man Who Solved the Market,” hit bookshelves last year, and thus far it has been a hit. The text goes into the story of quant hedge fund Renaissance Technologies and its hedge fund, the Medallion Fund, which has put up mammoth returns since inception. Dec 11, 2019
Visa Operates a Great Business
Image Shown: Shares of Visa have shot upwards over the past year and we continue to like the name as a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. One of our favorite companies out there is Visa. The company generates robust free cash flows, its outlook is supported by powerful secular growth tailwinds, the firm doesn’t take on credit risk as it doesn’t issue out credit cards (making Visa a “pure play” on the shift from cash to card around the world), and generally speaking, the company has been very shareholder friendly. We continue to like Visa as a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, a position it has been for some time now. Dec 11, 2019
Apple Charging Higher
Image Shown: Shares of Apple Inc continue to climb higher and we like the name in both our Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. This is a long-term holding with substantial potential capital appreciation and dividend growth upside. We like Apple’s pristine balance sheet, top quality free cash flow profile, and decent growth outlook. The company retains an enormous amount of firepower for additional share buybacks and material dividend increases going forward. Depending on whether the US decides to impose additional tariffs on Chinese imports soon will be very material to Apple’s near-term performance, but the long-term trajectory remains the same. Beyond Apple Pay, the company has its new streaming offering (Apple TV+) which launched on November 1 to drive services-related revenue growth. Dec 6, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending December 6
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Nov 22, 2019
PayPal Buys Honey and We Like the Fit
Image Source: PayPal Holdings Inc – Press release covering its acquisition of Honey. A holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, PayPal Holdings announced on November 20 it was acquiring the shopping and rewards start-up Honey for ~$4 billion. Honey is a high-growth technology platform (delivered through a browser add-on and mobile application) that helps consumers find deals and save when they shop online. That includes finding price discounts, promotions and events, sending alerts, creating lists, and offering a rewards system known as Honey Gold to its ~17 million monthly active users. We think this deal is highly complementary to PayPal’s operations, and we continue to give shares of PYPL a fair value estimate of $125 per share. Oct 27, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Financial Tech Services Industry
Image Source: frankieleon. We've optimized our technology coverage. Oct 25, 2019
Portfolio Holdings Intel and Visa Hit It Out of the Park
Image Shown: Shares of Intel Corporation leapt higher on Friday October 25 as the market digested its solid earnings report and guidance for this quarter. We continue to really like Intel in our Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, and Visa in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The share price action seen in shares of INTC and V on Friday October 25 seem to indicate the market really appreciated each company’s latest earnings report, with shares of both companies marching higher as of this writing. Oct 24, 2019
Shares Up +9%; Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Holding PayPal Posts a Blowout Quarter
Image Source: PayPal Holdings Inc – Third quarter 2019 earnings press release. We think PayPal should continue to perform very well going forward as secular growth tailwinds combined with strong operational performance (with an eye towards its rising ‘Merchant Services’ and Venmo total payment volumes) support the company’s free cash flow growth trajectory. The company does not pay out a common dividend at this time but could given its pristine balance sheet and quality free cash flow profile. Our fair value estimate for PYPL stands at $125 per share at the time of this writing. Oct 17, 2019
An Update on Facebook’s Libra as Roughly Two Dozen Members Sign On
Image Shown: Facebook has room to run higher, with or without Libra. While several large financial technology and payment processing firms have recently made it clear they no longer want to be a part of the nascent Libra Association, that didn’t stop roughly two dozen members from signing the group’s charter in Geneva, Switzerland, on October 15. We really must stress that our discounted free cash flow models for Facebook don’t take in account the upside its proposed asset-back cryptocurrency Libra might generate. This opportunity represents pure upside to our forecasts, and we continue to like Facebook as a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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