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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary

Oct 9, 2019
Fair Value Estimates Matter – Case Study: Boeing
Image Source: Boeing’s share price converged to our estimate of intrinsic value in the summer of 2019. The plane maker continues to navigate tumultuous skies with its 737 MAX. In early 2019, we thought shares of Boeing were severely overpriced, and they aggressively converged to our fair value estimate by summer, only to bounce a bit since then. We’re still huge fans of the company but working through the 737 MAX issues will take some time to get “right.” We expect more headline risk as it relates to contingent liabilities associated with the disasters, but nothing so punitive to shake the plane maker to the core. Boeing is an investment-grade credit with a huge backlog, and while we expect shares to be range-bound in the near-term, investors get to collect a nice juicy dividend as they wait for Boeing to sort things out. Shares yield 2.2% at the time of this writing.
Aug 11, 2019
In the News: Amazon, GE, Kraft-Heinz, Disney, CVS Health, Gilead
We're reiterating the large range of fair value outcomes for Amazon. We're staying far away from General Electric and Kraft-Heinz. Netflix may have its back against the ropes with Disney Plus. CVS Health and Gilead were two setbacks in the newsletter portfolios in the past, but we kept losses to a minimum and new ideas more than offset the weakness. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio continues to do very well.
Jul 25, 2019
Coca-Cola, Visa, and More from Valuentum
If you recall, Facebook issued a terrible outlook in mid-2018 that sent the stock tumbling. Many of our members cancelled their membership during 2018 on this decline. But we stuck with our conviction in the name. But why? How could we possibly stick with a company like Facebook all the way down and ditch entities like Kinder Morgan and General Electric, seemingly iron-clad companies, right at their tops. The answer, my dear members, is a focus on the financial statements and forward-looking analysis.
Jul 23, 2019
Roaring 20s? -- Consumer Staples Valuations Stretched
Image Source: Alan Levine. Strong outlooks for Kimberly-Clark, United Technologies, Hexcel and Lockheed Martin point to an economy that is still gaining momentum. We caution investors of consumer staples stocks, however, with many equities holding large net debt positions, and the sector trading at almost 20 times forward earnings. Learn about the difference between the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and the Exclusive publication and much more in this note.
Jun 11, 2019
The United Technologies-Raytheon Merger Will Create a Defense and Commercial Aerospace Giant
Image Source: United Technologies' IR Presentation. While there are many hurdles United Technologies and Raytheon must vault before their proposed merger of equals gets approved, we see this deal leading to material cost savings which will drive significant free cash flow growth in the medium term. The company expects to generate $6.0 billion in pro forma free cash flow this year, and management forecasts that could rise to $8.0 billion by 2021.
May 23, 2019
Lowe's Misses, Nordstrom Buckles, Target and Best Buy Shine
Need short idea considerations in this tumultuous market? Consider the Exclusive publication here. We release a new short idea consideration each month, in addition to an income and capital-appreciation idea. East Coast friends: Brian will be available for a book signing at Headline Books booth 957 at the American Library Association Conference at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center in Washington DC June 22 (more details to follow). Value Trap has been named a Next-Generation Indie Award Winner!
May 14, 2019
Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger
Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved  the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a "fully invested" position, from a 30% and 20% cash "weighting" at the high end of the range, respectively.
May 13, 2019
When We Get It "Wrong" -- How To Think About Our Methodology In Action
Let's talk about the newsletter portfolios, some areas where we've made mistakes, and how some members use our services.
Apr 30, 2019
Top-Weighted Visa Leaps to Mid-$160s, More Earnings Reports
Image: Visa has been the top-weighted idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter for as long as we can remember. In December 2017, when we migrated to weighting ranges for ideas in the newsletter portfolio, the company's "weight" was 8.6%. The image above shows its performance relative to the S&P 500 since then. Source (pdf).
Apr 26, 2019
Facebook Was Textbook, Intel Still About Fairly Valued After Weakness
Image: Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Facebook's stock has advanced 56% since it bottomed in December. This is yet another textbook execution of the Valuentum Buying Index, a strong breakout of the downtrend on a significantly undervalued stock. See also the example with Apple on page 241 in Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation.


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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.