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Valuentum Commentary
Jan 29, 2018
The 10-year US Treasury Yield, Trump and Trade and More
We continue to pay very close attention to the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield as it has implications on borrowing costs and discount rates across valuation methodologies. Jan 21, 2018
Hanesbrands Leaps, IBM Falters and More
We were pleased to see the recent performance of Hanesbrands, and we continue to think IBM is not yet out of the woods, despite some life with respect to revenue trends. Let’s cover this and more. Jan 14, 2018
2018 Starts Out with a Bang!
Image Shown: An ETF that measures momentum (MTUM) has done considerably better than the S&P 500 since the beginning of 2017. Among its top 5 holdings are Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Boeing (BA)—newsletter holdings that have had excellent value characteristics along the way. Visa (V) is also included in its top 10 holdings. Even some the most bullish and optimistic investors have been surprised by the resiliency of today’s market environment. Why does it seem appropriate to remind members that the stock market doesn’t always go straight up with almost no volatility? Dec 1, 2017
Shopping for Income Within Retail in a Digital World
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The 2017 holiday shopping season has shown that e-commerce has never been stronger and it will only continue to grow. But there is still potential for income generation among more traditional retailers. Investors must be tremendously discerning in the retail area, however, as margin, and ultimately free cash flow, pressures remain prevalent. We like Walmart, Target, Costco as income ideas in the broader retail space, but TJX Companies and Best Buy may be worth a look, too. We're avoiding the department stores and teen retail like the plague, regardless of their Dividend Cushion ratios. May 1, 2017
Seeking Balance: What’s Happening in the Crude Oil and Iron Ore Markets
Image Source: Sollven Melindo. Commodity prices are notoriously volatile as the global markets often struggle to maintain a sustainable balance of supply-demand. Let’s take a look at some recent developments and coming events that are impacting the prices of crude oil and iron ore. Apr 28, 2017
More First-Quarter Earnings Flying In: GM, Ford, Big Oil and More
Image Source: General Motors. GM’s dividend yield and valuation opportunity are incredible, while Microsoft’s free cash flow generation and solid net cash position speak to tremendous dividend strength. We liked what we saw out of Union Pacific during the first quarter, and you have to be aware of Big Oil’s bloated balance sheets. All of this and more included in this piece. Jan 24, 2017
Alibaba Group: Still the Quintessential “Play” on China?
Image Shown: Alibaba’s strong free cash flow generation; source: Alibaba. Alibaba has taken a lot of heat from other publishers, but we’ve long liked the company even if it may no longer be a part of the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Some balk at its valuation, but the company’s free cash flow generation and strong balance-sheet net cash position offer substantial legitimacy and support to shares. Jan 11, 2017
Pedal to the Metal for GM Heading Into 2017
Image Source: Abdullah AlBargan. Shares of GM are leaping again, this time on a 2017 guidance update. Nov 22, 2016
What You Should Know About MMORPGs
The Valuentum analyst team talks about the Chinese gaming industry and the financials of Tencent and Netease, in particular. Both generate strong free cash flow and have solid balance sheets, but there are myriad risks to consider, too. ~5 mins. Nov 15, 2016
Opinion: China-US Trade Augmented, Not Paralyzed Under Trump
Image Source: Fuzzy Gerdes. China is threatening a “tit-for-tat” approach in the event President-elect Trump moves forward with stiff tariffs on imports from the country. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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