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Jul 27, 2024
Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating
Image shown: An examination of the problem that might arise by focusing exclusively on companies that have economic moats, or sustainable and durable competitive advantages.Without an economic castle, an economic moat doesn’t matter. Let's examine Valuentum's Economic Castle™ rating. Jul 26, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of July 26
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Jul 25, 2024
Honeywell Adjusts Full Year 2024 Guidance on Margin Pressures
Image: Honeywell’s shares have traded sideways for the past 12-18 months. Honeywell is a fantastic company, and we continue to like shares in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Second quarter results were better than expected, but the quarterly beat was overshadowed by lowered adjusted earnings per share and free cash flow guidance for 2024. Though the news wasn’t great, we’re not making any changes to our newsletter portfolios at this time. Shares of Honeywell yield 2% at the time of this writing. Jul 25, 2024
IBM’s Free Cash Flow Generation on the Up and Up
Image: IBM’s shares have staged a nice recovery since the beginning of 2023. Looking ahead to full-year 2024 expectations, IBM continues to expect constant currency revenue growth in the mid-single-digit range, while it now expects free cash flow to be in excess of $12 billion on the year. IBM ended its second quarter with $56.5 billion in total debt and $13.7 billion in cash and marketable securities. We like IBM’s improvement in free cash flow generation and exposure to AI, but we prefer other ideas in big cap tech, namely Alphabet and Microsoft. Shares yield 3.6%. Jul 25, 2024
Republic Services Showcases Pricing Strength, Raises Dividend
Image: Republic Services’ stock has been consistently strong since the beginning of 2023. For 2024, Republic expects revenue in the range of $16.075-$16.125 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $4.9-$4.925 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $6.15-$6.20. Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $2.15-$2.17 billion on the year. Management continues to be shareholder friendly buying back stock, and the firm raised its quarterly dividend by $0.045, to $0.58 per share. We like Republic’s pricing strength, its attractive disposal assets, as well as its free cash flow generation. The company remains a holding in the newsletter portfolios. Jul 24, 2024
AT&T’s Dividend Coverage with Free Cash Flow Is Solid
Image Source: AT&T. Dividend coverage looks much better at AT&T these days. For the first six months of 2024, free cash flow was $7.7 billion, which comfortably covered the company’s cash dividends paid of $4.1 billion. Free cash flow after dividends was $3.58 billion for the first six months of the year, and management’s 2024 free cash flow guidance indicates a stronger back half of dividend coverage. AT&T has a huge net debt position, but free cash flow coverage of this 6.1% yielder is a sight to see. We’re considering the company for addition to the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio. Jul 24, 2024
Tesla’s Second Quarter Report Wasn’t Great
Image: Tesla’s trailing twelve-month performance across vehicle deliveries, operating and free cash flow, as well as adjusted EBITDA have faced pressure in recent quarters. In short, Tesla’s second quarter report wasn’t great and was weighed down by reduced vehicle selling prices, restructuring charges, higher operating expenses due to AI projects, and lower vehicle deliveries, which fell 5% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter. Tesla continues to focus on “reducing COGS per vehicle, growing (its) traditional hardware business and accelerating development of (its) AI-enabled products and services,” and all eyes remain fixated on the timing of its Robotaxi deployment as well as the pace of Cybertruck deliveries. We remain on the sidelines with respect to shares. Jul 24, 2024
Alphabet’s Free Cash Flow Faces Pressure in Second Quarter
Image: Alphabet’s shares have performed well so far in 2024. Alphabet reported solid second quarter results with strong performance across its operating segments. In the quarter, Google Cloud revenue came in better than expectations, while YouTube ads missed only slightly. Alphabet now pays a dividend, and it continues to aggressively buy back stock. The company’s free cash flow faced pressure in the quarter due to investments to drive innovation, and while this may pressure ROICs in the coming periods, we still like Alphabet as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Jul 23, 2024
Coca-Cola’s Organic Growth Surprises to the Upside
Image: Coca-Cola’s shares are trading near all-time highs. Coca-Cola reported solid second quarter results on July 23, with net revenues up 3% and organic non-GAAP revenues advancing an impressive and better-than-expected 15% thanks to a 9% increase in price/mix and 6% growth in concentrate sales. Looking to the full year 2024, Coca-Cola expects to generate organic non-GAAP revenue growth in the range of 9%-10%. For 2024, management is targeting comparable non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 5%-6% relative to $2.69 per share in 2023, while it expects to deliver comparable currency-neutral non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 13%-15% on the year. Free cash flow is expected to be $9.2 billion for the year. Shares of Coca-Cola yield 3% at the time of this writing. Jul 23, 2024
Lockheed Martin Issues Strong Second Quarter Results, Raises Outlook
Image: Lockheed Martin’s shares have recovered nicely since their October 2023 bottom. Performance across Lockheed Martin’s Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space divisions continue to move in the right direction, with all four segments showcasing improved revenue and operating profit performance during the second quarter and for the first half of the year. We like that Lockheed Martin’s free cash flow covers its dividend nicely, and while the company has a net debt position, we’re not worried about the company meeting its obligations. We continue to like Lockheed Martin as a dividend growth idea, with shares yielding ~2.6% at the time of this writing.
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