Member LoginDividend CushionValue Trap |
Valuentum
Reports
Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for
any changes.
Latest
Valuentum Commentary
Sep 16, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Auto Making Industry
Image Source: HRYMX. The auto manufacturers industry is characterized by high fixed costs, substantial operating leverage, and intense competition. Vehicle sales are impacted by general economic conditions, which are largely out of the control of participants, and by the cost of credit and fuel. Excess capacity, price discounting and other marketing initiatives can pressure the top line, while rising raw material and labor costs can squeeze the bottom line. Changing consumer preferences in type, model and fuel-efficiency can cause abrupt shifts in market share. The structural characteristics of the group are very poor. Aug 23, 2019
Trump "Tweet Storm" Reveals Increased Frustration with Fed, China
Markets are starting to look toppy. Aug 18, 2019
Investors Aren’t Sold on Lear’s Ostensibly “Cheap” Valuation and Neither Are We
Image Shown: While Lear Corporation appears attractive at first glance, its technical performance tells a different story. The market is concerned that the global synchronized downturn that has emerged will get worse, which would weigh on Lear’s expected financial trajectory. Global automotive sales are already coming under pressure, and there’s not much Lear, as a leading auto parts supplier, can do about that. We think the market might be right on this one. While Lear appears cheap at first glance, we think this is another Value Trap. Aug 1, 2019
How About the New Vette? General Motors Bouncing Back
Image Source: GM Chevrolet Next-Generation Corvette, 2020 Stingray revealed July 18. Shares of General Motors held up well in an otherwise weak market August 1 after posting a solid second quarter 2019 earnings report. The new Vette looks sharp. Jul 25, 2019
Viewing Intrinsic Value as a Range of Outcomes: Tesla’s Margins Come Under Fire in Second Quarter, Shares Sell Off
Image Source: The Valuentum Buying Index almost called the top in Tesla's shares. Tesla shares are under considerable pressure, and we can understand why. Investors are concerned positive free cash flows may be farther away than previously anticipated as Tesla’s margins come under pressure from its transition into the mass-market via the Model 3 offering. We value shares of TSLA at $219 per share at the midpoint of our fair value estimate range and are staying away from the electric automaker as it doesn’t appear the company is firing on all cylinders just yet. Jun 3, 2019
Now a Trade War on Multiple Fronts!
“To complicate matters further, President Trump also announced that he is looking to tariffs on Mexico if the country doesn’t take steps to stop the flow of illegal immigration. The US is now fighting a trade war on two fronts.” – Brian Nelson, CFA May 20, 2019
"Hardcore:" Tesla's Stock May Collapse to Double Digits
Image: The Valuentum Buying Index almost called the top in Tesla's shares.Whenever a CEO comes out saying that the company must engage in "hardcore" cost cutting, bad things happen. Morale is likely in the pits at the car company, and cost takeouts will probably cut more than just some excess fat. The downward spiral at Tesla has been in the works for many months now, but the writing is on the wall for a major disappointment that truly resets reality for shareholders. May 14, 2019
Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger
Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a "fully invested" position, from a 30% and 20% cash "weighting" at the high end of the range, respectively. Apr 9, 2019
Top Research and Ideas You May Have Missed
Is Quant Value Giving Intrinsic Value Investors a Bad Name? Surely, you don't believe Warren Buffett's "style" is out of favor? Apr 2, 2019
Lyft Takes a Fall, S-1 Reads Like Business School Homework
Image Source: Lyft S-1Reminiscences of the dot-com boom came back to the markets with the over-hyped initial public offering of Lyft, a stock that continues to get shellacked as its first days as a publicly-traded enterprise. Those that know Valuentum know that we wouldn’t touch such investments with a 10-foot pole. The company lost $43 per share in 2018. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
|