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Valuentum Commentary
Dec 10, 2016
Image: Returns Following the Trump Victory
The stock market is at all-time highs…again. Optimism about what the Trump administration might bring is the main driver, and many are pointing to reduced corporate taxes, translating to higher dividend payments, as reasons to be even more optimistic. Nov 10, 2016
Assessing Reactions to Trump’s Victory
Image Source: Gage Skidmore. Donald Trump will be the 45th President of the United States of America. Let’s dig into some of the reactions across the market. We’re keeping our cool. Oct 23, 2016
Podcast: FALLACY of Index Funds!
The Valuentum Analyst team digs deep into the logical fallacy that paved the way for index funds, and the very real risks investors take while driving with their hands off the wheel looking only through the rear-view mirror. Aug 15, 2016
Pop the Bubbly? Everyone Is Getting Rich
Image Source: Bryan Rosengrant. Federal Reserve policy and negative interest rate policy across the globe mean hurdle rates on new projects and investments are approaching zero. As “acceptable” returns fall, asset prices are being bid up to nosebleed levels. Everyone is getting rich, but what will the fallout be? Aug 3, 2016
A Kleenex? Consumer Staples Trading At Nosebleed Levels
Image Source: Alan Levine. The latest reading on the forward price-to-earnings ratio of S&P 500 companies is 17 (July 29, 2016), above its 5-year and 10-year averages, while the forward price-to-earnings ratio of the consumer staples sector is even “frothier” at nearly 21 times – yes, that’s the forward 12 month price-to-earnings ratio, which assumes bottom-line growth. Jul 26, 2016
Nelson’s Warning to the Board Rooms of America
Image Source: Robert Lyle Bolton. “In some ways, a cash dividend is like paying shareholders with their own money, and making a big deal about it!” – Brian Nelson, CFA Jul 11, 2016
Understanding the Market Melt Up
Image Source: Martin Thomas. No – things are not getting better. The discount rate is shrinking – and that means rising equity values. Jun 24, 2016
Brexit: Secession Bells Are Ringing!
First Baptist Church in Columbia, S.C., where the first secession convention in the United States opened on Dec. 17, 1860. Source: Library of Congress, Washington, DC. Photo. Encyclopædia Britannica Online. Web. 24 Jun. 2016. Global markets are plunging, and the implosion may still be in the early innings. Market valuations remain stretched among stagnant global economic growth, and “Brexit” may be the catalyst for a correction. May 23, 2016
Why The Fed Matters
As higher discount rates are embedded in traditional valuation models, the value of long-duration free cash flows is reduced exponentially, shrinking estimates of intrinsic worth. It’s purely fundamental. Apr 21, 2016
The Market – On Its Head
Let’s discuss what’s been working and what’s not been working in today’s market. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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