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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Feb 6, 2025
Chipotle's Long-term Growth Prospects Are Impressive
Image Source: Valuentum. During the fourth quarter of 2024, Chipotle bought back ~$330 million of stock, and as of the end of last year, the company had $1 billion remaining available under share repurchase authorizations. Looking to 2025, management expects full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the low to mid-single digit range and plans for 315-345 new company-owned restaurant openings with over 80% having a Chipotlane. At the end of 2024, Chipotle had 3,746 total restaurants, and the firm is targeting as many as 7,000 restaurants in North America alone. We like Chipotle’s long-term growth potential, and the firm remains a holding in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
Feb 5, 2025
Alphabet’s Cash Flow Soars in Fourth Quarter
Image Source: TradingView. Google Search and other revenue advanced 12.5% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis, while YouTube ads increased 13.8%. Total Google advertising revenue increased 10.6% in the quarter year-over-year. Total Google Services revenue edged 10.2% higher, while Google Cloud revenue increased 30% from the same period last year. Alphabet ended the quarter with $95.7 billion in total cash and marketable securities and long-term debt of $10.9 billion, good for a robust net cash position. Net cash provided by operating activities soared to $39.1 billion in the quarter versus $18.9 billion in the year-ago period. Free cash flow in the quarter was $24.8 billion, up from $7.9 billion in last year’s quarter. We continue to like Alphabet as a top weighting in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
Feb 4, 2025
Phillips 66 Outlines Strategic Priorities
Image Source: TradingView. Looking forward to its strategic priorities through 2027, Phillips 66 plans to return greater than 50% of operating cash flow to shareholders, achieve 2% higher than industry average crude utilization, target annual adjusted controllable costs of $5.50 per barrel in Refining, grow Midstream and Chemicals mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA $1 billion in total by 2027, and maintain financial strength and flexibility by reducing total debt to $17 billion. Though the quarterly performance was messy, we continue to like Phillips 66. Shares yield 3.9% at the time of this writing.
Feb 4, 2025
Tesla Remains a Net Cash Rich, Free Cash Flow Generating Powerhouse
Image: Tesla continues to attack costs with average cost of goods sold per vehicle reaching an all-time low in the fourth quarter of 2024. Image Source: Tesla. In the fourth quarter, Model 3/Y production fell 8% on a year-over-year basis, while other models production advanced 25%. Model 3/Y deliveries increased 2%, while other models deliveries advanced 3%. Tesla’s quarterly net cash provided by operating activities increased 10%, to $4.8 billion, while capital spending increased 21%, to $2.8 billion, resulting in free cash flow of $2.03 billion, down 2% on a year-over-year basis. Free cash flow for the full year 2024 was $3.58 billion, down 18% on a year-over-year basis. Tesla ended the calendar year with $36.6 billion in cash, cash equivalents and investments. Though free cash flow faced pressure during 2024, the company remains a net cash rich, free-cash-flow generating powerhouse.
Feb 2, 2025
Altria Expects Modest Earnings Growth in 2025, Shares Yield 7.8%
Image Source: Altria. Altria ended the year with $3.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $24.9 billion in debt. Looking to 2025, Altria expects to deliver full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share in a range of $5.22-$5.37, which reflects a growth rate of 2%-5% from a base of $5.12 in 2024. Management expects 2025 capital expenditures to be between $175-$225 million. Though Altria’s 2025 outlook came in lower than expected, we like the firm’s pricing power and income generation potential with a forward estimated yield of 7.8%.
Feb 1, 2025
ASML Holding’s Bookings Soar in Fourth Quarter
Image Source: TradingView. We continue to like ASML as an idea in the ESG Newsletter portfolio, and the company’s bookings number for the fourth quarter was solid, helping to alleviate some concerns that arose by its weak third-quarter bookings result. The company’s first-quarter outlook for net sales came in ahead of what the Street was looking for, and we liked that ASML reiterated its total net sales expectation for 2025 to be between €30 billion and €35 billion.
Feb 1, 2025
IBM’s Generative AI Book of Business Doing Well
Image Source: TradingView. For the full year 2024, IBM generated net cash from operating activities, excluding IBM financing receivables, of $13.9 billion and hauled in $12.7 billion in free cash flow for the year, up $1.5 billion, and exceeding dividends paid of $6.1 billion. IBM ended the fourth quarter with $14.8 billion in cash and marketable securities, and debt, including IBM Financing debt of $12.1 billion, totaled $55 billion, down $1.6 billion from the end of 2023. For full year 2025, IBM expects full-year constant currency revenue growth of at least 5% and free cash flow of $13.5 billion for the full year, both measures exceeding the consensus forecast. Shares of IBM yield 2.6% at the time of this writing.
Jan 31, 2025
Apple Reports Best Quarter Ever Despite Declining iPhone, China Sales
Image Source: TradingView. During the quarter, Apple returned to shareholders $3.9 billion in dividends and equivalents and $23.3 billion in share repurchases. Looking to the March quarter, management expects total company revenue to grow low to mid-single-digits year-over-year, with Services revenue to grow low double-digits year-over-year. It expects its gross margin to be between 46.5%-47.5%, about in line with the December quarter. We continue to be fans of Apple’s large installed base (2.35 billion active devices) and growing, high-margin Services business, and the company remains a key holding in the newsletter portfolios.
Jan 31, 2025
Visa’s Free Cash Flow Margins Are Incredible
Image Source: Visa. Visa’s cash and investment securities were $16.1 billion at the end of the calendar year versus short-and long-term debt of $20.6 billion. For the three months ended December 31, operating cash flow was $5.4 billion, up from $3.6 billion in the year ago period. Capital spending came in at $345 million in the quarter, with the firm hauling in free cash flow of $5.05 billion, revealing a free cash flow margin of 53%. Looking to full year 2025, management is targeting low double-digit growth in net revenue and low-teens earnings per share growth. We continue to like Visa as a top weighting in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands at $365 per share.
Jan 31, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of January 31
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.


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