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Valuentum Commentary
Sep 22, 2017
Best in Biotech? Global Blood Therapeutics' Promising Treatment for Sickle Cell Anemia
Image Source: National Institute for Health. We remain impressed with the depth of research conducted over a wide host of disease states. Though a molecule may appear to hold significant promise in the pre-clinical phase, we have often witnessed the unique ability of the human body to react to various treatments. Often an unwanted side effect can torpedo a treatment, thus relegating millions of dollars of research obsolete. However, if a promising molecule is brought to market, the payoff is often well worth the effort. Our goal is to sift through the various clinical data to unearth the most promising treatments with the understanding that nothing is assured until the FDA authorizes the product for marketing in the US. We believe we have identified a promising junior biotech in the rare drug field with a promising treatment for sickle-cell anemia. Sep 8, 2017
The Wisdom of Oaktree's Howard Marks
Image Source: emmolos. The latest memo from Oaktree's Howard Marks here should be read and then read again. The section on passive investing is an absolute treasure. "Passive investing is done in vehicles that make no judgments about the soundness of companies and the fairness of prices. More than $1 billion is flowing daily to “passive managers” (there’s an oxymoron for you) who buy regardless of price. I’ve always viewed index funds as “freeloaders” who make use of the consensus decisions of active investors for free. How comfortable can investors be these days, now that fewer and fewer active decisions are being made?" -- Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital Sep 7, 2017
Adviser Fees on Indexed Assets Can Eat Up Your Nest Egg?
Indexing sounds like an easy way to track the market's performance, but if your indexed assets are held in financial advisors' accounts, it can come with a big cost: significant underperformance. Over 20 years, we estimate in this hypothetical example that the cumulative cost as a result of a 1% annual financial advisor fee on indexed assets can amount to as much as 66% of a saver's initial investment -- just for holding an index fund. Please be careful out there! Sep 5, 2017
Gilead Sciences Finally Takes Out A Promising Biotech
Image Source: Gilead. We are pleased to see that Gilead Sciences has decided to put its vast cash hoard to use by acquiring a cutting-edge technology that will further its clinical pipeline. Aug 31, 2017
Gilead's Stock Rockets Higher
Gilead’s stock is soaring on a technical breakout of the downtrend. Value investors have joined the party, too, as the hepatitis-C powerhouse remains undervalued on our discounted cash-flow process. When value and technical/momentum investors like the same stock, it often surges, and that’s what we’re witnessing. Gilead has become a Valuentum stock. Aug 7, 2017
Generic Drug Price Deflation Continues to Weigh on Shares of Teva
Shares of former Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Teva Pharmaceuticals have come under renewed selling pressure after reporting weak quarterly results due largely to deflationary price pressures felt in the generic drug division. Teva has been relatively powerless in stopping the trend. We had removed the shares from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio well before the last leg down, and the Dividend Cushion ratio warned of tremendous risk to the sustainability of the dividend far in advance. Jul 14, 2017
Systemic Risk in These Frothy Times
Image shown: Nelson's Syllogism of the Stock Market. Let’s talk about index investing, market valuations, and mention how a few ideas in the portfolio of the Best Ideas Newsletter are doing. Jul 12, 2017
Analyzing the S&P SPDR Biotech ETF
Source: S&P SPDR Biotech ETF (XBI). ETFs are rapidly becoming the preferred investment vehicle to gain broad exposure to a particular sector. The biotech industry is no different with two distinct ETFs dominating the niche. The article discusses the unique characteristics of the SPDR Biotech ETF to determine the merits of the idea. Jul 11, 2017
Loxo Oncology Presents Compelling Data on Its TRK Inhibitors
Image Source: Loxo Oncology. The field of oncology remains an area of intense focus with a dire need for new novel therapies. Loxo Oncology generated lots of excitement with the release of its clinical data for Larotrectinib, a TRK-inhibitor for the treatment of a diverse number of tumors. Jun 30, 2017
The Biosimilar Revolution Remains Stymied
Image Source: Express ScriptsWe remain intrigued by the potential of the upcoming wave of biosimilar versions of well-established specialty drugs. Even though we have been disappointed by recent FDA decisions, we feel it is inevitable biosimilars will enter the market. Let’s update readers on our thoughts. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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