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Valuentum Commentary
Dec 6, 2018
Trade Uncertainty Update
Image Source: John Karakatsanis. The arrest of a high profile Chinese tech executive has renewed concerns over trade tensions after the US markets were closed for a day of remembrance for the 41st President of the US. Also, the Fed released its Beige Book. Dec 4, 2018
What’s Weighing on the Markets
Renewed concerns over the severity of trade tensions, a flattening yield curve, negative news out of the homebuilding space and other geopolitical uncertainties have investors feeling anxious. December 4 marked the worst day for the Dow Jones Industrial Average since October 10. Nov 30, 2018
In the News: Conflicting Crude Oil Reports, All Eyes on G20 Summit, HP Battling Through Tariffs, Altria Eyes Crown Juul of E-Cigs
Let’s take a look at some top stories across the markets, including conflicting reports on the likelihood of a crude oil production cut agreement from OPEC and Russia, implications of the G20 Summit this weekend, HP’s solid fiscal fourth quarter report, and Altria’s potential acquisition of a stake in noted private e-cig maker Juul. Nov 26, 2018
In The News: Record-Low Smoking Rates, China Steel Demand Concerns, and a New Look GM
US smoking rates are at all-time lows, and the FDA is pushing to restrict sales of menthol products and flavored e-cigarettes. Meanwhile General Motors has announced an accelerated restructuring plan, and concerns have cropped up regarding steel demand in China. Oct 12, 2018
In the News: Expensive Energy, China’s Trade Surplus and Auto Market, and Big Tobacco Developments
The IEA is concerned about the impact of rising energy prices on global economic growth, and both it and OPEC have lowered near-term oil demand growth expectations. The impact of the US-China trade dispute continues to be sized up by a number of industries, including automakers, and big tobacco companies may be looking to the cannabis market for future growth as the space remains sensitive to potentially increasing regulations. Oct 10, 2018
In the News: Sears Nears Bankruptcy, Luxury Apparel Weakens, Fastenal Reports, and Financial Tech Stocks Take Hit
In what was a long-time coming, Sears looks to finally be succumbing to the pressures of the brick-and-mortar retailing business. It won’t be the last big-name retailer to fail, and it certainly wasn’t the first. Luxury stocks are reeling as a result of worries in China. Financial tech stocks gave back a fraction of their huge gains more recently, as investors size up credit risk at this stage of the economic cycle. We continue to believe financial tech is the place to be, however, with PayPal and Visa as two of our top considerations. Sep 17, 2018
Economic Data Recap in 3 Minutes
Image Source: CreditDebitPro via Flickr. There’s a lot happening to impact the markets these days. Let’s cover some key economic data, stocks that may see a fundamental boost from Hurricane Florence, and we’ll reiterate our view that trade tantrums between the US and China will likely not amount to much of a negative impact on global economic activity, despite huge headline numbers. Sep 11, 2018
In the News: Brexit, Unilever Simplification, and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Uncertainty related to Brexit continues to loom over the outlooks of multinational companies operating in Europe, and other geopolitical issues are making their presence known on global markets as well. Aug 17, 2018
ICYMI -- Podcast: 2nd Annual Nelson Exclusive Yearly Round Up Call
President of Investment Research at Valuentum Brian Nelson talks the markets, valuations, the economy, the consumer and various other trends from crude oil to cryptocurrency to geopolitical risks to corporate tax reform and beyond. Running time ~25 minutes. Jul 11, 2018
In the News: More Tariff Talk Keeps Markets Volatile
Many market observers were caught by surprise after President Trump continued down a path of escalating trade tensions late July 10. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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