Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Nov 25, 2020

Dick’s Sporting Goods’ 2%+ Dividend Yield Is Solid
Dick’s Sporting Goods put up impressive third-quarter results that showed strong sales performance across both e-commerce and brick-and-mortar. E-commerce/digital/online sales continue to soar across the broader retail arena. Dick’s Sporting Goods’ gross and merchandising margins were healthy during its third quarter, and its inventory is clean as the sporting goods retailer heads into the all-important holiday season. We’re big fans of Dick’s Sporting Goods’ tremendous free cash flow generation and its balance sheet health. For dividend growth investors, Dick’s Sporting Goods offers a compelling combination of a 2%+ dividend yield and an impressive 3.2 Dividend Cushion ratio at the time of this writing.

Nov 20, 2020

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week November 20
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week.

Oct 8, 2020

Nelson: I'm Not Worried About This Market
Image Source: The White House. President Donald J. Trump listens as U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams delivers remarks and urges citizens to wear masks in public at a coronavirus (COVID-19) update briefing. All things considered, not much has changed since our last update. I think the newsletter portfolios--Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio--are well-positioned for this market environment, our new options idea generation has been great, the Exclusive ideas have had tremendous success rates (we just closed another two winners recently), and we continue to add tremendous value in providing our work in full transparency for readers. Thanks for tuning in.

Oct 6, 2020

Third-Level Thinking and "Keynesian Convergence"
Image: The analytical process of the Valuentum Buying Index rating system. At Valuentum, we seek to identify strong, competitively-advantaged companies that are underpriced [with solid cash-based sources of intrinsic value (net cash, strong expected free cash flows)] whose share prices are either 1) also advancing, 2) have strong relative pricing strength, or 3) have just started to begin to advance toward an intrinsic value estimate (with a nice growing dividend to boot, where applicable). Third-level thinking is our foundation at Valuentum, and it continues to serve investors well.

Sep 6, 2020

Latest Report Updates
Valuentum members have access to our 16-page stock reports, Valuentum Buying Index ratings, Dividend Cushion ratios, fair value estimates and ranges, dividend reports and more. Not a member? Subscribe today. The first 14 days are free.

Sep 3, 2020

3 Lessons in Portfolio Management Over 10 Years
Image Source: http://www.epictop10.com/. "When I left as director in the equity and credit department at Morningstar in 2011, I thought I knew a whole heck of a lot about investing. I felt like I was one in the top 5-10 in the world as it relates to the category of practical knowledge of enterprise valuation (maybe include Koller at McKinsey, Mauboussin at Counterpoint, and Damadoran at Stern on this list). After all, I oversaw the valuation infrastructure of a department that used the process extensively, and the firm was among just a few that used enterprise valuation systematically. Then, at Valuentum, our small team would go on to build/update 20,000+ more enterprise valuation models. There can always be someone else out there, of course, but I don't think anybody has worked within the DCF model as much as I have across so many different companies. That said, through the past near-10 years managing Valuentum's simulated newsletter portfolios, I've also learned a number of things to become an even better portfolio manager." -- Brian Nelson, CFA

Sep 1, 2020

Valuentum Website Overview
Overview of the key features of www.valuentum.com (03:55). Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports, dividend reports, and ETF reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information.

Aug 27, 2020

Dick’s Sporting Goods Finds E-Commerce Success
Image Shown: Shares of Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc rallied by ~16% during normal trading hours on August 26 after reporting stellar same-store sales growth.  On August 26, Dick’s Sporting Goods reported second quarter fiscal 2020 earnings (period ended August 1, 2020) that beat consensus estimates on both the top- and bottom-lines. Driving this outperformance was Dick’s Sporting Goods’ 20.7% year-over-year increase in same-store sales as its e-commerce sales rose by 194%, which includes sales conducted through its curbside contactless pickup option. E-commerce sales represented ~30% of the sporting goods retailer’s total sales last fiscal quarter. Average ticket sizes and the number of transactions both grew last fiscal quarter according to management commentary included in the earnings press release. Shares of DKS shot up by almost 16% after the report was published during normal trading hours on August 26. As of this writing, shares of DKS are trading near the upper bound of our fair value estimate range (which sits at $56 per share). That means shares of Dick’s Sporting Goods appear fairly valued at the moment, and we like its strong e-commerce performance and improving outlook. After reinitiating its quarterly dividend program this past June, shares of DKS yield 2.3% on a forward-looking basis (with an annualized payout of $1.25 per share of its common stock). We will cover its financial strength and dividend policy in greater detail in this note.

Aug 26, 2020

L Brands Beats Low Expectations
Image Shown: Though shares of L Brands Inc are up year-to-date, they remain down significantly over the past five years as of this writing (before taking dividend considerations into account). The owner of the Victoria’s Secret, PINK, and Bath & Body Works retail brands L Brands reported second quarter fiscal 2020 earnings (period ended August 1, 2020) on August 19 that smashed past both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. However, those estimates were a low bar to beat as analysts had already factored in the significant headwinds the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic created for its business. Last fiscal quarter, L Brands reopened most of its stores and leaned on e-commerce sales channels to meet customer demand as best it could. For reference, Victoria’s Secret and PINK (collectively referred to as Victoria’s Secret by L Brands) sell lingerie and similar apparel/accessories while Bath & Body Works sells fragrances, soaps, hygiene products, and similar offerings.

Jul 6, 2020

Lululemon Athletica Buys MIRROR
Image Source: Lululemon Athletica Inc – First Quarter Fiscal 2020 Quarterly Financial Supplements. On June 29, Lululemon Athletica announced it was acquiring home fitness company MIRROR for $500 million in cash. MIRROR sells ~$1,500 (before taxes and installation fees) screens that come with a camera and speaker system that allow users to participate in at-home workouts assisted by trainers/videos. That offering comes with a $39 per month digital subscription which allows the user (or users, up to six people per household) to access on-demand and live workout sessions, and additionally, personal training sessions cost up to $40 each.