Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.

Oct 30, 2022

Something New!
Hi everyone: To stay true to our mission, you'll find something new regarding our methodology. In the coming weeks, you'll see this table in our work going forward.

Oct 19, 2022

New Payment Option! Valuentum Research Update!
We're excited to say that we're adding additional payment flexibility at Valuentum. Many members have expressed interest in paying via other providers, and we have added Square to the mix. You can use credit or debit card or bank (ACH) to pay via invoice. With all of the goings-on in the financial technology and payments space, we wanted to continue to provide members options to pay their memberships how they want and through who they want. You can always reach out to us at info@valuentum.com.

Aug 19, 2022

Nelson: The 16 Most Important Steps To Understand The Stock Market
Image Source: Tim Green. We outline the '16 Most Important Steps to Understand the Stock Market.' We think it's important to take a read of these key stock market tenets when things are going great -- and perhaps even more important when things aren't going your way. This continues to be a working document.

Jan 23, 2020

Resetting Your Mental Model
Image Source: affen ajlfe. Having the right mental model and using the right information can be the reason why you win or lose in investing.

Jan 9, 2020

Yum! Brands Buys Habit Restaurants
Image Shown: An overview of Yum! Brands Inc’s operations. Image Source: Yum! Brands Inc - Investor Fact Sheet. On January 6, quick-service restaurant chain Yum! Brands (which owns the KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell brands) announced that it was acquiring fast causal burger joint Habit Restaurants for $14 per share in cash for a total cash consideration of $375 million. Habit Burger’s footprint includes ~265 restaurants in total across more than a dozen US states and China under its namesake brand, Habit Burger Grill, and please note roughly 90% of those locations are company-owned. Having the benefit of Yum! Brands global marketing and advertising wing will support future growth endeavors at the Habit Burger Grill brand. We still aren’t interested in shares of YUM here as the top end of our fair value range estimate sits at $106, or just a few dollars ahead of where YUM is trading at as of this writing.

Oct 20, 2019

Our Reports on Stocks in the Restaurants - Fast Casual & Full Service Industry
The restaurant industry has benefited from a long-term trend toward eating out, but the space has become increasingly more competitive as new concepts are introduced and successful chains expand. Not only are there pricing pressures and trade-down threats, but rising costs for commodities and labor have pressured profits. Barriers to entry are low, and many constituents have a difficult time differentiating themselves. We tend to like larger chains that benefit from scale advantages and international expansion opportunities, though niche franchises can be appealing. We’re neutral on the structure of the group.

Nov 8, 2018

Comps Accelerate and Margins Expand in Chipotle’s Third Quarter
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The once beaten down fast casual restaurant chain Chipotle is back to delivering solid comparable restaurant sales growth thanks to menu price increases, and restaurant level operating margin expanded significantly as lower marketing and promotional spending was required to appease cautious consumers.

Jun 27, 2018

Restaurant Traffic Down, Chipotle Still a Favorite Idea
Image Source: Chipotle (page 89 of 160). In late April of this year, we added Chipotle to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The high end of our fair value estimate is nearly $600.

May 2, 2018

Optimizing Coverage
We're shifting our coverage around a bit to better allocate resources to areas that are of interest to you!

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