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Jun 29, 2025
Valuentum's Dividend Growth Newsletter Portfolio
We disclose the holdings of the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio in this article. This portfolio can always be found in each edition of the monthly Dividend Growth Newsletter. Jun 29, 2025
View Current and Archived Dividend Growth Newsletters
View previous editions of the Dividend Growth Newsletter in this article. At Valuentum, we seek to deliver to our subscribers the best dividend growth ideas, and our Dividend Growth Newsletter does just that for dividend growth investors. The Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio puts into practice our rigorous valuation and dividend growth frameworks. The Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio is generally found on page 5 of each edition. Jun 28, 2025
General Mills’ Top Priority Is to Restore Volume-Driven Organic Sales Growth
Image: General Mills’ shares have been under pressure as of late. On June 25, General Mills reported mixed fiscal fourth quarter results with revenue coming up short of forecasts, but non-GAAP earnings per share exceeding the consensus estimate. In the fourth quarter, net sales dropped 3% driven by lower pound volume and unfavorable net price realization and mix, while organic sales were also down 3%, in line with expectations. Adjusted gross margin was down 220 basis points. Adjusted operating profit of $622 million was down 22% in constant currency, while its adjusted operating profit margin fell 330 basis points year-over-year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share came in at $0.74, which was down 27% in constant currency. Jun 28, 2025
Nike’s Fiscal Fourth Quarter Better Than Feared
Image: Nike’s shares have been pummeled of late. On June 26, Nike reported better than expected fourth quarter fiscal 2025 results with revenue and GAAP earnings per share exceeding the consensus forecasts. Fiscal fourth quarter revenues were $11.1 billion, down 12% on a reported basis and 11% on a currency-neutral basis. Nike Direct revenues were down 14% on a reported and currency-neutral basis in the quarter, while wholesale revenues fell 9% on a reported and currency-neutral basis in the period. Quarterly revenues for Converse fell 26%. Gross margin declined 440 basis points in the fiscal fourth quarter, to 40.3%, while diluted earnings per share fell 86% in the quarter, to $0.14. Jun 28, 2025
Clorox Misses Consensus Estimates in Its Fiscal Third Quarter
Image: Clorox’s shares have been under pressure more recently. Year-to-date, Clorox’s net cash provided by operations was $687 million compared to $355 million in the year-ago period, representing a 94% increase. For fiscal 2025, Clorox expects net sales to be down 1% to flat and adjusted organic sales to be up about 2%. Gross margin is now expected to be up about 150 basis points, with margin enhancement efforts more than offsetting cost inflation, high trade promotion spending, and higher costs from recently implemented tariffs. Adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $6.95-$7.35, up 13% and 19%, respectively, and the midpoint slightly higher than consensus. Clorox ended the quarter with $2.5 billion in debt and $226 million in cash. We’re steering clear of Clorox due in part to its weak revenue performance and large net debt position. Shares yield 4.1% at the time of this writing. Jun 25, 2025
Disney Expects Strong Earnings Growth in Fiscal 2025
Image Source: Valuentum. Looking to all of fiscal 2025, Disney expects adjusted earnings per share of $5.75, a 16% increase over 2024 levels. Cash provided by operations is targeted at $17 billion, benefiting from a $2 billion increase from the deferral of tax payments. Disney is targeting a double-digit increase in operating income for its Entertainment segment for the year, while Sports is expected to increase 18% with respect to segment operating income in fiscal 2025. Its Experiences segment is targeted for 6%-8% operating income growth for the year. We like Disney, but view shares as fairly valued at the moment. Shares yield 0.9% at the time of this writing. Jun 25, 2025
Exxon Mobil’s Shares Have Been Choppy of Late
Image: Exxon Mobil’s shares have been choppy of late. Exxon Mobil continues to be shareholder friendly while it exercises cost discipline. Shareholder distributions in the quarter totaled $9.1 billion, consisting of $4.3 billion of dividends and $4.8 billion of share repurchases. The oil and gas giant has now achieved $12.7 billion of cumulative structural cost savings versus 2019, with $0.6 billion of cost savings achieved during the quarter. Management expects to deliver $18 billion of cumulative savings through the end of 2030 versus 2019. Free cash flow in the quarter was $8.84 billion, and the company ended the quarter with industry-leading debt-to-capital and net-debt-to-capital ratios. We like Exxon Mobil as energy exposure in a diversified portfolio, but we don’t include shares in any newsletter portfolio at this time. Shares yield 3.5% at the time of this writing. Jun 22, 2025
J.M. Smucker Sets Fiscal 2026 Earnings Outlook Below Consensus
Image: J.M. Smucker’s shares have been under pressure of late. Looking to its fiscal year 2026 outlook, J.M. Smucker’s net sales are targeted to increase 2%-4% with adjusted earnings per share in the range of $8.50-$9.50 versus consensus of $10.25 per share. Comparable net sales are expected to increase approximately 3.5%-5.5%, which excludes noncomparable sales in the prior year related to the divestitures of the Voortman business and certain Sweet Baked Snacks value brands. Free cash flow is targeted at $875 million for the year, considering capital expenditures of $325 million. Shares yield 4.5% at the time of this writing. Jun 21, 2025
Realty Income’s Monthly Dividend Is Durable
Image Source: Realty Income. Looking to 2025, Realty Income largely reiterated its prior guidance, with the exception of net income per share being lowered to the range of $1.40-$1.46 from $1.52-$1.58 previously. Adjusted funds from operations was reiterated in the range of $4.22-$4.28 per share for the year with same store rent growth of approximately 1%. Occupancy is targeted at over 98% while investment volume is expected to be approximately $4 billion. We like the durability of Realty Income’s monthly dividend, with shares yielding 5.7% at the time of this writing. Jun 21, 2025
Johnson & Johnson Remains an Innovation Powerhouse
Image Source: Johnson & Johnson. J&J generated free cash flow of ~$3.4 billion in the first quarter compared to $2.85 billion in the year-ago period. Looking to full year 2025 guidance, J&J reiterated its adjusted operational sales growth target in the range of 2%-3%, but it raised its operational sales growth expectations to the range of 3.3%-4.3% from 2.5%-3.5% previously and its estimated reported sales growth guidance to the range of 2.6%-3.6% from 0.5%-1.5% previously. It lowered its adjusted operational earnings per share guidance for the year, but it maintained its adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance in the range of $10.50-$10.70, reflecting 6.2% growth at the midpoint. Shares yield 3.5% at the time of this writing.
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