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Valuentum Commentary
Apr 4, 2025
Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We're Doing
The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in the coming months. Feb 25, 2025
Public Storage Impacted by California Wildfires
Image Source: Public Storage. Looking to 2025, Public Storage expects revenue growth in the range of -1.3%-0.8%, with net operating income growth in the range of -2.9%-0.2%. On a consolidated basis, non-same store net operating income is expected to be between $444-$464 million, while ancillary net operating income is expected to be between $198-$203 million. Funds for development openings is targeted at $370 million with maintenance of real estate facilities and energy efficiencies expected at $150 million and $50 million, respectively. Core FFO per share is expected to be between $16.35-$17.00 (below the consensus forecast of $17.18), implying growth of -1.9%-2% on a year-over-year basis. The wildfires in Southern California in early 2025 will negatively impact core FFO for 2025 by $0.23 on both the low-end and high-end of its guidance range. Nov 4, 2024
Public Storage’s Core FFO Comfortably Covers Its Dividend
Image: Public Storage is bouncing off lows hit in late 2023. Public Storage’s core FFO allocable to common shareholders in the quarter came in at $4.20, down 3% on a year-over-year basis, but in excess of its regular common quarterly dividend of $3.00. Looking to 2024, management is targeting revenue to fall 0.5%-1.3%, with expense growth in the range of 2%-3.5%, and net operating income to fall 1.3%-2.7%. Non-same store operating income is targeted in the range of $480-$495 million, while core FFO per share for 2024 is expected in the range of $16.50-$16.85, down 0.2%-2.3% from last year but comfortably above the $12.00 annual dividend per share run rate. Shares yield 3.7% at the time of this writing. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Aug 1, 2024
In the News: MO, META, QCOM, PSA, ALB
Image Source: Meta Platforms. Altria's improved performance will be weighted to the second half of 2024. Meta Platforms remains a free cash flow generating powerhouse. Qualcomm's free cash flow has been impressive as well. Public Storage cut its funds from operations (FFO) outlook on weak customer move-in rents driven by the competitive environment, while Albemarle continues to suffer from reduced lithium market pricing. Jul 3, 2024
High Yield Dividend Income Investing Is Not as Easy as Chasing the Highest Yield
Image: EpicTop10.com. The skills to successfully invest for long-term capital gains or long-term dividend growth are much different than those required for generating high yield dividend income. Income investing is a much different proposition. However, the skills do center on a similar equity evaluation process, but one that requires an acknowledgement and heightened awareness of considerably greater downside risks. Income investing, or high yield dividend income investing, should at times be considered among the riskiest forms of investing, as many high dividend-yielding securities tend to trade closer to the characteristics of junk-rated bonds than they do most net cash rich and free cash flow generating powerhouses that we like so much in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site. May 17, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. May 1, 2024
Public Storage Puts Up Mixed First Quarter Results
Image: Public Storage is working hard to return to levels reached in early 2022. Looking to 2024, Public Storage's net operating income growth is targeted in the range of -2.4% to 0.7%, while core FFO per share is expected between $16.60-$17.20, a change of -1.7% to 1.8% from 2023 core FFO per share. We continue to like Public Storage as a key REIT income idea. Feb 26, 2024
Latest Report Updates
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Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
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accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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