Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Aug 1, 2023

Trash Taker Republic Services’ Outlook Keeps Getting Better
Image Source: Republic Services. Republic Services reported solid second-quarter 2023 results July 31, and it raised its full-year 2023 guidance across the board. During the period ending June 30, 2023, total revenue advanced 9.1% with more than half coming via organic means, while GAAP earnings per share of $1.41 exceeded the consensus forecast by $0.10. Republic Services continues to experience strong pricing power, helping to drive double-digit EBITDA expansion in the quarter. Adjusted free cash flow came in at ~$1.265 billion through the first six months of the year. Earlier in July, Republic Services increased its dividend ~8% to a quarterly payout of $0.535 per share (was $0.495). Shares yield ~1.4% at the time of this writing.

Apr 10, 2023

Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Idea Republic Services Continues to Execute Well
Image: Republic Services has been executing nicely, growing its adjusted free cash flow at a 14% compound annual growth rate the past three years. Image Source: Republic Services. Shares of Republic are trading about in line with our fair value estimate ($130-$135) but have valuation upside on the basis of the high end of our fair value estimate range ($158 per share), in our view. The company boasts an investment-grade credit rating and has liquidity of ~$1.7 billion, while most of its debt doesn’t come due until after 2029. Republic Services’ equity is currently yielding ~1.5% at the moment, and we think it is a great fit for the newsletter portfolios. The garbage hauler continues to deliver in both good times and bad, and we have no reason to believe that it won’t continue to do so. Trash is cash when it comes to the waste-management business.

Dec 16, 2022

Waste Management’s Free Cash Flow Facing Pressure from Sustainability Initiatives
Image Source: Waste Management’s 2022 Sustainability Report. 2023 will mark the 20th consecutive year that Waste Management has increased its dividend payout. Though free cash flow is facing pressure due to its sustainability growth initiatives that are driving total capital expenditures higher, the company’s valuable disposal capacity and pricing power across its municipal solid waste operations are a couple qualities that we like. Shares are trading about in line with our fair value estimate at the moment, as they boast a ~1.6% forward estimated annual dividend yield.

Aug 10, 2022

Garbage Hauler Republic Services Beats Estimates, Raises Guidance
Image Shown: Shares of newsletter portfolio idea Republic Services have put up strong performance so far year-to-date in the face of volatile capital markets. There is a lot to like about Republic Services as the waste management firm is a tremendous free cash flow generator with ample pricing power. Management is incredibly shareholder friendly, as seen through recent per share dividend increases, and the company has been firing on all cylinders of late. We continue to like Republic Services in our newsletter portfolios. Our recently updated fair value estimate for RSG sits at $132 per share and the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $158 per share of Republic Services.

Aug 8, 2022

Loving Stocks Here! Meta and Alphabet Setting Up Nicely for Long Term Investors!
Image: Nelson still remains bullish. We wouldn't be surprised to see the markets make new highs as they have done time and time again over the stock market's storied history of bull and bear markets, crashes and rip-your-face off rallies, and economic booms and recessions! There are myriad risks, but we're not overthinking this market. We like stocks for the long haul. One of the hardest parts of investing is keeping your head when others around you are running for the exits. That's exactly what we did for members (we don't manage money), and the stock market has come roaring back since the mid-June bottom! Anyone who has read our book Value Trap knows that the rapid fall in the 10-year Treasury yield to ~2.8% today from the mid-3% range in mid-June has helped support this stock market advance (due to a lower cost of capital in discounted cash-flow models -- enterprise valuation is the key driver behind stock market performance, in our view, as it has been revealed time and time again). After calling the COVID-19 crash when others doubted the impact that the coronavirus would have on the markets, and then calling the tremendous bull run that followed, we still remain bullish on these markets, and the simulated newsletter portfolios have done fantastic on a relative basis so far this year.

May 18, 2022

Newsletter Portfolio Idea Republic Services Holding Up Quite Well in the Face of Major Headwinds
Image Shown: Shares of Republic Services Inc have held up quite well over the past several months while equity markets swooned lower. On May 5, Republic Services reported first quarter 2022 earnings that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. The waste management firm is benefiting from its immense pricing power and volume growth. We continue to like Republic Services as an idea in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter and ESG Newsletter portfolios. Shares of RSG yield ~1.4% as of this writing.

Feb 10, 2022

Dividend Growth and ESG Favorite Republic Services Is Buying U.S. Ecology
Image Shown: Republic Services Inc is one of our favorite waste management companies. On February 9, the company announced it was acquiring US Ecology Inc through an all-cash deal. US Ecology provides specialized waste management services and has an asset base that is nearly irreplaceable. We like the deal as it could generate meaningful cost saving and revenue synergies. Image Source: Republic Services Inc – February 2022 Infographic. On February 9, one of our favorite waste management companies, Republic Services announced a deal to acquire U.S. Ecology through an all-cash deal worth about $2.2 billion when including net debt considerations. Republic Services is paying $48 per share in cash to take over U.S. Ecology, which provides specialized waste management services. We like this deal as it will add nearly irreplaceable assets to Republic Services’ asset base and is expected to be immediately accretive to its adjusted earnings and free cash flow performance once the transaction closes.

Nov 16, 2021

The Valuentum Weekly Is a Hit! Only Delivered By Email!
The Valuentum Weekly is a brand-new weekly market commentary from Valuentum Securities, released each weekend in digital form. The Valuentum Weekly offers members a weekly synopsis of the markets and major events. It will be straight and to-the-point. Our goal is to deliver to you the latest information and insights. We welcome your feedback on how we can make the Valuentum Weekly as useful and as relevant for you as ever!

Nov 1, 2021

Don’t Throw Out These Garbage Stocks
Image Source: Republic Services. We’re huge fans of the waste-hauling industry, and we nailed one of the best-performing ideas in Republic Services for the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Shares of Republic Services have advanced nearly 40% so far this year, and fundamental momentum has continued in its business, with the executive team raising both adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance and adjusted free cash flow guidance for 2021 when it reported third-quarter earnings. Shares yield ~1.4% at the time of this writing.

Aug 13, 2021

Dividend Growth Idea Republic Services Is a Stellar Enterprise
Image Source: Republic Services Inc – August 2021 IR Presentation. Republic Services recently posted second-quarter 2021 earnings that beat both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates, and its strong performance enabled the firm to raise its full-year guidance (again) for 2021. Furthermore, Republic Services announced it was increasing its quarterly dividend by 8% sequentially on July 29. Shares of RSG yield ~1.5% on a forward-looking basis as of this writing.