Brian Nelson

Tiffany Is Getting Back on Track

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Luxury jeweler Tiffany (click ticker for report: ) posted decent second quarter results Tuesday morning. Sales increased 4% year-over-year to $926 million, falling slightly short of consensus estimates, but not enough to warrant concern. Earnings per share were 15% higher than the year-ago period at $0.82, several pennies higher than consensus expectations. Source: Valuentum, Company Filings Same-store sales growth at Tiffany wasn’t bad during the second quarter, up 5% year-over-year on a constant-currency basis. However, it is hard to ignore the two-year trend that is clearly declining, as the two-year stacked comp shows (see light blue line on right in image above). Americas Recent trends in the Americas region reveal that much of Tiffany’s potential growth in the market has … Read more

Strength in Footwear Persists

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Shoe retailers DSW (click ticker for report: ) and Brown Shoe Company (BWS) posted better-than-expected second-quarter results. DSW On Tuesday, DSW’s second-quarter release revealed that its sales surged 9.7% year-over-year to $562 million, easily exceeding consensus expectations. Earnings per share adjusted for luxury testing and the termination of Retail Venture Inc’s pension plan increased 47% year-over-year, to $0.97. Image Source: Valuentum, Company Filings After same-store sales slipped 2.4% during the first quarter, DSW returned to growth in the second quarter, with same-store sales 4.4% higher than the same period a year ago, re-accelerating the two-year comp trend (8.6%). Not only has DSW added some new merchandise to stores with necklaces and other small accessories, but management pointed to strength in … Read more

Joy Global: Business Is Bad and Getting Worse; Share Buybacks Are Value Destructive

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The Power of a Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) Score of 1–the worst possible measure Mining equipment maker Joy Global (click ticker for report: ) posted lackluster results Wednesday for its fiscal year 2013 third quarter. Competitor Caterpillar (click ticker for report: ) posted similarly weak results as it deals with many of the same weakening global trends that are impacting Joy Global. During the period, Joy Global’s revenue declined 7% year-over-year to $1.3 billion, though that was better performance than consensus estimates predicted. Excluding items, earnings per share fell 9.1% year-over-year to $1.70, which was also slightly above consensus estimates. Free cash flow was actually better than the prior-year quarter at $320 million, equal to 24% of total revenue. Image … Read more

The Potash Situation Gets More Interesting

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Late last month, Russian producer Uralkali backed out of a highly profitable and rational potash cartel arrangement, creating a free-for-all in the global potash market. As a result, shares of North American potash producers such as Potash (click ticker for report: ), Mosaic (click ticker for report: ), Agrium (click ticker for report: ), and Intrepid Potash (click ticker for report: ) have come under significant pressure as a result of the prospects for significant lower economic returns. Then mining giant BHP (click ticker for report: ) confirmed it will invest in its Jansen potash project, which will add even more potash supply to the market. A look at industry bellwether Potash’s shares below reveals the recent difficult performance experienced by the … Read more

Headline Risk Entering the Market

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The summer months have been relatively uneventful, with the exception of concerns relating to the Federal Reserve’s coming tapering of its bond-buying program and quibbles between hedge fund giants over a company that makes protein shakes—we’re talking about Herbalife (HLF) in the latter example. Even the sequester proved to be a largely underwhelming event so far through 2013. As a result, the market has focused on fundamentals, awarding strong performance and punishing poor performance (almost irrespective of valuation parameters). However, the market remains fully valued at current levels, with the forward price-to-earnings ratio on S&P 500 companies in-line with its 10-year average at 14.1 times, and the distribution of our Valuentum Buying Index ratings tilting decidedly negative. The forward price-to-earnings … Read more

Foot Locker’s Revenue Growth Slows; Will Hicks Leave?

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Athletic footwear retailer Foot Locker (click ticker for report: ) posted second quarter results Friday that were largely in-line with expectations. Revenue increased 6.4% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, in-line with consensus estimates. Earnings per share excluding the integration of Runners Point Group increased 21% year-over-year to $0.46, a penny below consensus expectations but not much of a disappointment. Same-store Sales Growth Decelerating… Source: Valuentum, Company Filings Foot Locker’s same-store sales increased only 1.8% year-over-year, down dramatically from the growth in excess of 5% we’ve seen from the retailer since the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue growth at existing stores becomes more difficult since comp sales growth has been so strong during the past few years. We don’t think Foot … Read more

Pandora Preps for Battle

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Internet radio giant Pandora (click ticker for report: ) posted solid second-quarter results Thursday afternoon. Revenue rose 57% year-over-year to $157 million, slightly above consensus estimates. Earnings-per-share on a non-GAAP basis was much higher than the prior year at $0.04, which was also much better than consensus expectations. Free cash flow during the quarter was a negative $8.5 million as the firm continues to invest heavily in future growth. Goodbye Hours-Cap Perhaps the most important development during the quarter was that Pandora will remove its 40-hour cap on mobile listening effective September 1. After re-implementing the hours-cap in February, total listening hours declined 7% sequentially (but were still up 18% year-over-year though) to 3.88 billion. Pandora had no choice, in … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending August 23 Included Altria and Gap

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Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending August 23. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here (or use our ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header). Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Altria Group (MO): now $0.48 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.44. Brinker International (EAT): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Chemical Financial Corp (CHFC): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.21 Community Bank System (CBU): now $0.28 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. Delta Natural Gas (DGAS): was $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Dillard’s (DDS): now $0.06 per share … Read more