Brian Nelson

Enterprise Product Partners’ DCF Covered Its Distributions 1.7x in Third Quarter

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Image: Enterprise Products Partners’ units have done well the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA On October 29, Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) reported third quarter results that came in slightly lower than expected. The midstream energy company reported net income attributable to common unitholders of $1.43 billion, or $0.65 per diluted unit, reflecting an 8% increase versus the $1.35 billion ($0.60 per diluted unit) it recorded in the third quarter of last year. Management had the following to say about the quarter: Enterprise reported another strong quarter as recently completed organic growth assets generated new sources of earnings and cash flow. Operationally, we set 5 volumetric records including 7.5 billion cubic feet per day of inlet natural gas processing … Read more

Phillips 66’s Dividend Well Covered with Free Cash Flow

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Image Source: Phillips 66 By Brian Nelson, CFA Phillips 66 (PSX) reported third quarter earnings October 29. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $2 billion, down from $2.18 billion in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $859 million versus $984 million in the same period last year. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.04 versus $2.31 in last year’s quarter. Cash flow from operations was $1.13 billion versus $2.1 billion in the year-ago period. Capital expenditures and investments were $358 million, down from $367 million in the same period a year ago. During the quarter, the company bought back $800 million of stock and returned $477 million in dividends to shareholders. Phillips 66 ended the quarter with $1.6 billion in … Read more

In the News: Newmont, McDonald’s, the Election

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Newmont’s Costs Balloon in the Wake of Higher Gold Prices, Roughly Flat Production Expected in 2025 Newmont (NEM) reported lower than expected third quarter results October 23, with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share missing the consensus forecast. Revenue advanced 84.7% in the quarter, while non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.81. We liked the revenue growth in the quarter, propelled by an average realized gold price of $2,518, but all-in sustaining costs (per ounce) also increased to $1,611, up materially from $1,426 recorded in the same period a year ago. Newmont, nonetheless, generated operating cash flow of $1.64 billion and free cash flow of $760 million in the quarter, up materially from the third … Read more

UPS Returns to Revenue and Profit Growth

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Image: UPS’ shares have been under pressure the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA UPS (UPS) reported better than expected results October 24 with both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in higher than the consensus forecast. Consolidated revenue of $22.2 billion in the quarter reflected a 5.6% increase from the same period last year. Consolidated operating profit of $2.0 billion was up 47.8% compared to the third quarter of last year, while the measure advanced 22.8% on a non-GAAP adjusted basis. Diluted earnings per share was $1.80 for the quarter, while non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share came in at $1.76, a 12.1% increase from the same period a year ago and above the consensus forecast of … Read more

IBM Targeting $12+ Billion in 2024 Free Cash Flow

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Image: Shares of IBM are flirting with record highs. By Brian Nelson, CFA IBM (IBM) reported mixed third quarter results October 23 with revenue coming in lower than expectations, while non-GAAP earnings per share topped the consensus forecast. Revenue advanced 1% (2% on a constant currency basis) in the period, with software revenue up 9.6%, consulting revenue down 0.5%, and infrastructure revenue down 7%. In the third quarter, operating gross profit came in at $8.6 billion, up 5% from the same period a year ago thanks in part to 2.1 percentage points of operating gross profit margin improvement. Operating pre-tax income came in at $2.5 billion, up 8%, thanks to a 1 percentage point improvement in operating pre-tax income margin. … Read more

Coca-Cola’s Organic Growth Shines in Third Quarter

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Image: Coca-Cola’s shares have done quite well the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA Coca-Cola (KO) reported better than expected third quarter results October 23. Net revenue fell 1% in the quarter, but organic sales on a non-GAAP basis grew 9%. Comparable currency neutral operating income grew 14% in the quarter, as its comparable non-GAAP operating margin advanced 1 percentage point, to 30.7%. Reported earnings per share declined 7%, but comparable non-GAAP earnings per share increased 5%, to $0.77. On a consolidated basis, concentrate sales dropped 2%, while the company benefited from a 10% gain in price/mix in the third quarter. Organic revenue was particularly strong in Latin America (+24%) and North America (+12%) in the quarter, and the … Read more

Honeywell Adjusts Full Year 2024 Guidance

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Image: Honeywell’s shares have traded sideways the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA Honeywell (HON) reported mixed third quarter results October 24 with revenue coming in a bit light relative to the consensus forecast and non-GAAP earnings per share beating what the Street was looking for. Sales came in at $9.7 billion in the quarter, up 6%, while organic sales advanced 3%. Its operating margin was 19.1%, down from 20.9% in the prior year period due mostly to an impairment related to classifying its personal protective equipment (PPE) business as assets held for sale. The company’s segment profit increased 6% in the quarter, and its segment margin came in at 23.6%–above the high end of prior guidance by 30 … Read more

Clean Energy Idea GE Vernova Reaffirms 2024 Guidance

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Image: GE Vernova shares have powered higher as of late. By Brian Nelson, CFA GE Vernova (GEV) reported mixed third quarter results on October 23 with revenue beating expectations, but GAAP earnings per share coming in lower than expected. Total revenue increased 8% (10% organically) in the third quarter with growth in both equipment and services. Total orders came in at $9.4 billion, up 17% organically, with particular strength in services (+28% organically). Adjusted EBITDA came in at $243 million on an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.7%, up from $205 million and 2.5% in the same period a year ago. Management was positive in the press release: GE Vernova had a solid third quarter, delivering double-digit orders and continued revenue … Read more

Tesla’s Margins, Free Cash Flow Swell in Third Quarter

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Image: Tesla has returned to a free cash flow rich entity. By Brian Nelson, CFA Tesla (TSLA) reported solid third quarter earnings on October 23. Total revenues increased 8%, while gross profit increased 20% in the quarter, as gross margins expanded nearly 200 basis points. Income from operations was up 54% thanks to more than a 320 basis-point improvement in its operating margin. Adjusted EBITDA advanced 24% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis thanks to a 240 basis-point improvement in its EBITDA margin. Non-GAAP net income increased 8% year-over-year, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased 9% year-over-year. Tesla’s total production was 469,796 in the quarter, up 9%, while total deliveries increased 6%, both on a year-over-year basis. Management … Read more

NextEra Energy Reaffirms Outlook

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Image: NextEra Energy’s shares have bounced back nicely from their October 2023 lows. By Brian Nelson, CFA On October 23, NexEra Energy (NEE) reported solid third-quarter results with net income attributable to NextEra Energy on a GAAP basis of $1.852 billion, or $0.90 per share, which compares to $1.219 billion, or $0.60 per share, for the third quarter of last year. On an adjusted basis, third quarter earnings came in at $2.127 billion, or $1.03 per share, compared to $1.92 billion, or $0.94 per share, in the third quarter of last year. Management had a lot to say in the press release: NextEra Energy delivered strong third-quarter results, increasing adjusted earnings per share by approximately 10% year-over-year, reflecting continued solid … Read more