Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of October 14

October 14, 2022

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                A.O. Smith (AOS): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.28. Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.24 per share monthly dividend, was $0.23. Albertsons Companies (ACI): now $6.85 per share special dividend, was $0.12. Avient (AVNT): now $0.2475 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2375. BioSyent (RX:CA): now CAD 0.04 per share quarterly dividend. Cardinal Energy Ltd. (CJ:CA): now CAD 0.06 per share monthly dividend, was CAD

Serious Question: What Are You Looking At?

October 12, 2022

Image: Stocks with the largest 52-week losses, according to YahooFinance. By Brian Nelson, CFA Thank goodness that you’re subscribed to a service that didn’t include any of the above as top ideas in their simulated newsletter portfolios. Many were chasing returns in 2021 and are now left holding the bag this year, but we stuck to our methodology and processes, and we didn’t expose members to tremendous risks. That’s what it’s all about.  With that said, let’s talk about how we successfully navigated a number of these terrible ideas in the Exclusive publication, a monthly resource that includes an income idea, a capital appreciation idea, and a short idea consideration, released to members each month on the 8th. Exclusive Long Ideas

Over the Long Haul, Domino’s Has a Bright Growth Runway Ahead of It

October 12, 2022

Image Source: Domino’s Pizza Inc – 2022 ICR Conference IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Recessionary clouds are building across the globe at a time when inflationary pressures are running rampant. Only high-quality companies should be seriously considered during turbulent times such as these, and in our view, Domino’s Pizza Inc (DPZ) fits the bill. Domino’s operates of the best delivery operations out there, one supported by a top-notch digital presence and a popular customer loyalty program. We include shares of Domino’s in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, and our fair value estimate for DPZ sits at $374 per share, materially above where shares of DPZ are trading at as of this writing. Furthermore, shares of DPZ yield ~1.3% as

Stay Away from Mortgage REITs!

October 10, 2022

Image Source: Mortgage REITs have underperformed the broader stock market for years, and we don’t think individual investors and financial advisors should be dabbling in the mortgage markets via these instruments. By Brian Nelson, CFA On September 28, mortgage REIT (“mREIT”) Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) cut its dividend 28%, to $0.65 per common share. The bond markets have been experiencing a lot of pain of late, and mortgage rates have shot up considerably since the Fed started hiking. We think this spells trouble for mortgage REITs, which already suffer from highly unpredictable mortgage market dynamics. So far in 2022, the iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (REM) has fallen more than 40% (on a price-only basis), and while its forward

Recent Fair Value Estimate Updates

October 10, 2022

Image Source: Valuentum By Brian Nelson, CFA  Our work is always forward-looking in nature, consistent with the markets, which drive pricing and valuation on the basis of future expectations. 2022 has no doubt been a difficult year for many an investor across asset classes, not just equities. Perhaps the biggest insight provided by the Valuentum analyst team for this year came in the second edition of the book Value Trap, “Renowned Investor Brian Nelson Publishes Second Edition of Best Indie Book Award Winner Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation,” but such an insight has often been reiterated on our website and through the newsletters, too. To put it bluntly: We became significantly worried about the diversification benefits of the 60/40 stock/bond

Best Idea Vertex Pharma Outperforming in 2022

October 10, 2022

Image Shown: Shares of Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc, an idea included in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, have performed incredibly well year-to-date through October 2022. By Callum Turcan Through the end of normal trading hours on October 7, shares of Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc (VRTX) are up ~34% year-to-date on a price-only basis. We include shares of Vertex Pharma as an idea in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and remain huge fans of the name. Vertex Pharma’s commercialized drug portfolio consists of various treatments for cystic fibrosis (‘CF’) and the cash flows generated from sales of these therapeutics are used to invest in the biotech company’s robust drug development pipeline. Earnings and Guidance Update On August 4, Vertex Pharma reported second

Microsoft Hinted at Trouble in Calendar Q2 But AMD’s Massive $1 Billion Quarterly Q3 Revenue Miss Spells Big Problems for PC Market; Search and News Advertising Revenue Also Likely Weakening Substantially

October 8, 2022

  Image Source: Fritzchens Fritz By Brian Nelson, CFA Things aren’t going well across the technology (XLK) landscape these days. Microsoft Corp (MSFT) said in mid-July Windows OEM revenue faced pressure in its quarter ended June 30, its fourth quarter of fiscal 2022, and noted that the “PC market…deteriorated in June (slide 15).” On its fourth-quarter fiscal 2022 conference call, the software and gaming giant said that its outlook “has the trends (it) saw in June continu(ing) through Q1 (the quarter ending in September 2022). Continued weakness in the PC market demand and advertising spend (is expected to) impact Windows OEM, Surface, LinkedIn and search and news advertising revenue.” We took note of this weakness at the time, but it

ICYMI: Things Have Changed Fast; Inflation and the Fed Have Damaged the Economy

October 7, 2022

This article was originally published October 5.   Image Source: EpicTop10.com By Brian Nelson, CFA The year 2022 started out with the popping of the bubble in the alternative investments arena–namely in the cryptocurrency (BITO), non-fungible token (NFT), and the collectibles markets–coupled with worries about the Fed raising interest rates to combat inflation and weakness in the most speculative equity areas, namely disruptive innovation stocks (ARKK). It’s important to note that the consumer price index (CPI) started to edge meaningfully higher in early 2021 (not this year). Though the writing was on the wall with respect to impending Fed tightening, as investors, we have to assess what the Fed will do and the impact on the markets, not necessarily what

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of October 7

October 7, 2022

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                Alpine Summit Energy Partners, Inc. (ALPS.U:CA): now $0.03 per share monthly dividend. Bank OZK (OZK): now $0.33 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.32. Diversified Royalty Corp. (DIV:CA): now CAD 0.0196 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.0183. EMCOR (EME): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.13. First Republic Bank DEP SHS REP 1/40th PERP PFD NCUM SER N (FRC.PN): now $0.2812 per share quarterly

Nike’s Fundamental Backdrop Speaks of Serious Impending Global Recession

September 30, 2022

Image Source: Raul Gonzalez By Brian Nelson, CFA In a rapidly declining market as we have been witnessing the past many months, it becomes a relative “game.” Taking on outsize risk to drive positive returns is a quick way to the poor house. There are too many things working against the market for it to pull sustainably higher before year’s end, and we think investors are better off playing defense than attacking the bear. Things are bad out there, and they are likely going to get worse, “Things Are Bad Out There.” It is perfectly reasonable and understandable to have been bullish during the first half of this year, as we were, to at least give the market some breathing

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About Our Name

But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Valuentum Exclusive publication, ESG Newsletter, and any reports, data and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, data or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor, and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. The sources of the data used on this website and reports are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum, its employees, and independent contractors may have long, short or derivative positions in the securities mentioned on this website. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Performance, including that in the Valuentum Exclusive publication and additional options commentary feature, is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Actual results may differ from simulated information, results, or performance being presented. For more information about Valuentum and the products and services it offers, please contact us at info@valuentum.com.