Phillips 66’s Stock May Be Volatile But Its Management Remains Very Shareholder Friendly

May 30, 2023

Image: Phillips 66’s shares have been quite volatile as refining margins ebb and flow, but shares are up nicely since the start of 2021 even as they’ve given up some ground so far in 2023. By Brian Nelson, CFA The refining business isn’t an easy one. Not only are refiners exposed to potentially higher feedstock costs but prices at the pump could further squeeze refining margins at times. What we like about Phillips 66 (PSX) is that it generally has advantaged feedstock resources, and it is extremely shareholder friendly. The company recently raised its dividend to $1.05 per common share on a quarterly basis and expects to return $10-$12 billion in shareholder distributions between July of last year and year-end

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of May 26

May 26, 2023

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          American Tower (AMT): now $1.57 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.56. Autoscope Technologies (AATC): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.12. Bank of Montreal (BMO): now CAD 1.47 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 1.43. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): now CAD 1.06 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 1.03. Canadian Imperial Bank (CM): now CAD 0.87 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD

Nvidia Rockets Higher to Propel Large Cap Growth

May 25, 2023

Image: Nvidia powers higher after releasing better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2024 guidance. The company continues to be a driver behind the outperformance of large cap growth as a stylistic area. By Brian Nelson, CFA We haven’t seen a quarterly guidance beat like this since Synaptics (SYNA) put up a monster quarter when Apple (AAPL) started using its innovative click-wheel technology in the first-generation iPod, almost 20 years ago. Nvidia Corp.’s (NVDA) outlook for the second quarter of its fiscal 2024 was phenomenal thanks to tremendous interest in its chips that power artificial intelligence [AI]. We expect a material increase in our fair value estimate of Nvidia, but shares remain quite pricey, in our view. Revenue during Nvidia’s fiscal second quarter is

Dick’s Sporting Goods Trades at Less Than 10x Expected Fiscal 2023 Earnings; We Like Shares

May 24, 2023

Image Source: Dick’s Sporting Goods By Brian Nelson, CFA When it comes to retail exposure, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) is one of our top considerations. The company reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2023 results for the period ending April 29, 2023, that showed 3.4% same-store-sales growth and a 19% advance in non-GAAP earnings per diluted share. For fiscal 2023, management is targeting positive same-store sales expansion and earnings per diluted share in the range of $12.90-$13.80, implying that shares are trading at less than 10x expected fiscal 2023 earnings. The company has considerable long-term operating lease liabilities, but it has a net cash position. Dick’s Sporting Goods raised its dividend considerably recently, and we continue to like shares in the Dividend

Call Me Unconcerned

May 23, 2023

Image: Large cap growth has dominated returns the past five years. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio continues to have significant exposure to this area. By Brian Nelson, CFA When it comes to the financial markets, the debt ceiling debate is nothing to worry about. Countries (sovereigns) cannot generally default on debt that is denominated in their own currency. The concern that there will be any sort of calamity if the U.S. government doesn’t raise the debt ceiling is far overblown, in our view. The political will of the U.S. to pay its debt will only resolve itself in time, and any risk premium built into Treasuries as a result of the debt ceiling showdown will be fleeting. Of course, nobody

Nice! — NASDAQ-100 Follows Through on Breakout

May 22, 2023

Image: NASDAQ-100 breaks through August 2022 resistance. NOW READ: There Are No Free ‘Income’ Lunches ———- It’s Here!  The Second Edition of Value Trap! Order today!   —– Tickerized for holdings in the QQQ. Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ, DIA, VOT, BITO, RSP, and IWM. Valuentum owns SPY, SCHG, QQQ, VOO, and DIA. Brian Nelson’s household owns shares in HON, DIS, HAS, NKE, DIA, and RSP. Some of the securities written about in this article may be included in Valuentum’s simulated newsletter portfolios. Contact Valuentum for more information about its editorial policies.         Valuentum members have access to our 16-page stock reports, Valuentum Buying Index ratings, Dividend Cushion ratios, fair value estimates and ranges, dividend reports and

Earnings Roundup: DE, WMT, CSCO, HD, FL

May 19, 2023

By Brian Nelson, CFA Deere & Company (DE) is a tried-and-true industrial giant. The company’s dealer network offers it a strong competitive advantage, and while the company’s business ebbs and flows with the general economic environment, the firm has been able to drive impressive product pricing increases of late. During the firm’s first-quarter fiscal 2023 results (ending April 29, 2023), released May 19, Deere’s worldwide net sales advanced an impressive 30%, while net income per share leapt to $9.65 per share from $6.81 per share in the same period a year ago. Deere’s pricing power continues to be on display. In its ‘Production & Precision Agriculture’ division, sales jumped more than 50% in the quarter, while operating profit more than

Magellan Midstream Soars on Takeout Deal

May 17, 2023

Image: Magellan Midstream Partners soars on a takeout offer from ONEOK, Inc. By Brian Nelson, CFA We’re as happy as we can be to see a midstream energy master limited partnership (MLP) takeout. On Sunday, May 14, it was publicly announced that Magellan Midstream (MMP) would be bought by ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) in a cash and stock deal worth ~$18.8 billion including assumed debt. According to the deal terms, the transaction would give $25 per share in cash and 0.667 common share of ONEOK for each MMP common unit. Though many are questioning the rationale behind the deal, energy infrastructure rollups continue to reduce the number of energy MLPs trading on public markets, as we predicted years ago. Units of

Our Reports on the Health Care Bellwethers Industry

May 17, 2023

Dividend Yield: Estimated on a forward-looking annualized basis. VBI: The Valuentum Buying Index, a timeliness indicator that overlays a price-to-fair-value estimate consideration. Fair Value Estimate: Derived by Valuentum’s enterprise valuation process. Dividend Cushion ratio: A ratio assessing the health of the dividend (the higher, the better). Data as of the date of this article. Individual company reports may have been updated subsequent to the publishing of this article, so please download a company’s stock and dividend report for its latest information and data. Note: The data in the tables of each of the below companies’ respective stock pages is updated the weekend after the publishing of this update. Please click on a company name below to view the corresponding equity

Disney’s 5-Year Returns Have Been Pitiful

May 14, 2023

Image: Since the beginning of 2018, Disney’s shares have fallen, while the S&P 500 has surged. Though we liked the company more recently, we no longer include shares in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. By Brian Nelson, CFA On May 10, Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported improved second-quarter results for fiscal 2023 that showed solid double-digit consolidated revenue growth and substantial cash flow improvement on a year-over-year basis. Though the market had previously shown some love for shares upon CEO Bob Iger’s return, investors are now having to face reality. The advertising market remains difficult for linear television these days, and subscription growth in the streaming market has become even more challenging. Our fair value estimate for Disney stands at

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About Our Name

But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Valuentum Exclusive publication, ESG Newsletter, and any reports, data and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, data or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor, and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. The sources of the data used on this website and reports are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum, its employees, and independent contractors may have long, short or derivative positions in the securities mentioned on this website. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Performance, including that in the Valuentum Exclusive publication and additional options commentary feature, is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Actual results may differ from simulated information, results, or performance being presented. For more information about Valuentum and the products and services it offers, please contact us at info@valuentum.com.